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ROLE OF STATE IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF VIETNAM’S AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY FOR THE PERIOD 2011 - 2020

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According to Decision No. 177/2004/QD-TTg dated October 05th, 2004, promulgated by The Prime Minister, approving the planning on development of Vietnam’s automobile industry till 2010, with a vision to 2020, Vietnam has to achieve the goal of developing Vietnam’s automobile industry by acquiring and applying world’s advanced technologies. By exploiting and gradually improving existing technologies and equipment, Vietnam’s automobile industry, at first, has to meet most of the requirements of domestic automobile market, and then, moving toward exporting automobile and accessory. Specific goals need to be achieved: - Popular automobiles: meet 40-50% of the domestic demand in terms of quantity and get a localization rate of 40% by 2005; meet above 80% of the domestic demand in terms of quantity and get a localization rate of 60% by 2010 (For engines, the localization rate shall reach 50% by 2010, and for gearbox, it shall reach 90% by 2010). - For special-use automobiles: meet 30% of the domestic demand in terms of quantity and get a localization rate of 40% by 2005; meet 60% of the domestic demand in terms of quantity and get a localization rate of 60% by 2010. - For high-class automobiles: Tourist cars manufactured by joint ventures must reach the localization rate of 20-25% by 2005, and 40-45% by 2010. For high-class buses, the localization rate shall reach 20% by 2005 and 35- 40% by 2010, meeting 80% of the domestic requirement. Although specific goals were set, almost all of the goals have not been met till now. For instance localization rate just reaches 12% and the prices are too high compared to the income of Vietnamese. It could probably be caused by many different reasons, among of which the main reason is we did not foresee the difficulties and complexity of automobile industry. For example, Thailand, a leading country in East Asia in automobile manufacture with production of 1.2 million vehicles/year, does not have its own brand name cars. It does not mean that Thailand automobile industry is underdeveloped because it has 700 car components manufactures and 1000 auxiliary manufacturers, turning Thailand into a reliable supplier to most of car manufacturers in the world. In China, automobile industry has been developed for 30 years and protected by the government. Till now, there are just few so-called “big manufacturers” out of 2500 car manufacturers and car components manufacturers in China. Annual turnover of China’s Automobile Industry is lower than car sales of a medium-sized car manufacturer in Japan, USA or Europe. In India, the first car appeared in 1898. Since then, India has attached special importance to development of automobile industry. However, due to its economic characteristics, cars manufactured in India serve middle class or lower classes only. India automobile industry is more and more developing and becomes a “power” in automobile industry worldwide. India is now the second biggest motorcycle manufacturer in the world; ranks 11th in manufacturing tourist cars and ranks 13th in manufacturing commercial cars. India is now an ideal destination for many big manufacturers in the world and realizes its ambitions to be a leading center for automobile manufacturing in 2016 with “Action Plan of Motors”. Its goal is to reach production of 32 million vehicles in period of 2015-2016 with total investment of 35-40 billion US dollars. Above analyses help to produce the judgment that it takes many years to develop our automobile industry, depending on the development of our economy and on related industries. Therefore, it is necessary to analyze development ability of Vietnam’s automobile industry based on its current status, requirements and ability to satisfy the requirements.

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SOLVAY-BRUSSELS SCHOOL OF

ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT

NATIONAL ECONOMICS UNIVERSITY

Vietnam – Belgium Master Programs MASTERS IN PUBLIC MANAGEMENT AND ECONOMICS

FINAL PROJECT

ROLE OF STATE IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF VIETNAM’S AUTOMOBILE

INDUSTRY FOR THE PERIOD 2011 - 2020

Prepared by: Hoa Ngoc Tu Supervisor: Do Thi Hai Ha PhD

Hanoi 2011

TABLE OF CONTENTS

ACKNOWLEDGEMENT 2

TABLE OF CONTENTS 3

LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS 5

LIST OF TABLES & FIGURES 6

Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION 7

1.1 RATIONALE 7

1.2 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES 8

1.3 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 8

1.3.1 Research methods 8

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1.3.1.2 Main factors influencing Vietnamese automobile industry: 10

1.3.1.3 Assessment of role of the government: 12

1.3.1.4 Recommendations to improve the current situation: 12

1.3.2 Data collection 13

1.4 SCOPE OF RESEARCH 13

1.6 PROJECT STRUCTURE 13

Chapter 2 OVERVIEW OF VIETNAM’S AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY 14

2.1 THE FORMATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF VIETNAM’S AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY 14

2.1.1 Development of car assembly joint venture enterprises 14

2.1.2 Development of domestic automobile manufacture/assembly enterprises 16 2.1.3 Vietnam’s domestic automobile market 17

2.2 CONTRIBUTION OF VIETNAM’S AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY 19

2.2.1 Contribution to economic development through investment 19

2.2.2 Contribution to state budget 19

2.2.3 Creating jobs 20

2.2.4 Technology transfer 21

2.3 FACTORS AFFECTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF VIETNAM’S AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY 21

2.3.1 Internal factors 21

2.3.2 External factors 23

Chapter 3: ROLE OF STATE IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF VIETNAM’S AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY 26

3.1 STATE’S ORIENTATION ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF VIETNAM’S AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY 26

3.3 INCENTIVE POLICIES 28

3.4 SUPERVISION ON REGISTRATION AND QUALITY CONTROL 29

3.4.1 Government apparatus 29

3.4.2 Assessment of coordination among government apparatus 31

3.5 OVERALL ASSESSMENT OF STATE’S REGULATIONS ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF VIETNAM’S AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY 32

3.5.1 Achievement 32

3.5.2 Shortcomings 33

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3.5.3 Reasons for shortcomings 34 3.5.3.1 Internal factors 34 3.5.3.2 External factors 34

Chapter 4: RECOMMENDATIONS FOR IMPROVING STATE’S

REGULATION ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF VIETNAM’S

AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY FOR THE PERIOD 2011 – 2020 36 4.1 FORECASTING THE TREND OF DEVELOPMENT OF VIETNAM’S

AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY IN THE PERIOD 2011-2020 36 4.1.1 Three main trend for global automobile industry: 36 4.1.2 Development orientation by government in other countries for

development of automobile industry 37 4.2 Development orientation for Vietnam’s automobile industry 38

4.3 RECOMMENDATIONS FOR IMPROVING STATE’S REGULATION

ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF VIETNAM’S AUTOMOBILE

INDUSTRY FOR THE PERIOD 2011 – 2020 39

REFERENCES 47

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LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS

ASEAN: The Association of Southeast Asian Nations

CP: Government

GDP: Gross Domestic Product

R&D: Research and Development

SUV: Sport Utility Vehicle

VAMA: Vietnam Automobile Manufacturer Association

WTO: World Trade Organization

2.5: Engine capacity of 2.5 liter

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LIST OF TABLES & FIGURES

Table 2.2 The sale of cars of VAMA’s members in 2010 17

Table 2.3 Comparing prices between domestic cars and foreign cars(brand new cars)

18

Table 2.4 Investment capital of some VAMA’s members 19

Table 2.5 Contribution to state budget from car manufacture joint venture enterprises

20

Table 2.6 Number of employees working in car manufacture joint venture

enterprises 20

Table 2.7 Comparing income of employees in Vietnam and in other countries 22

Table 2.8 Number of annual exported cars 23

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Chapter 1 INTRODUCTION

1.1 RATIONALE

According to Decision No 177/2004/QD-TTg dated October 05th, 2004, promulgated

by The Prime Minister, approving the planning on development of Vietnam’s

automobile industry till 2010, with a vision to 2020, Vietnam has to achieve the goal of

developing Vietnam’s automobile industry by acquiring and applying world’s advanced

technologies By exploiting and gradually improving existing technologies and

equipment, Vietnam’s automobile industry, at first, has to meet most of the

requirements of domestic automobile market, and then, moving toward exporting

automobile and accessory Specific goals need to be achieved:

- Popular automobiles: meet 40-50% of the domestic demand in terms of quantity

and get a localization rate of 40% by 2005; meet above 80% of the domestic demand in

terms of quantity and get a localization rate of 60% by 2010 (For engines, the

localization rate shall reach 50% by 2010, and for gearbox, it shall reach 90% by 2010).

- For special-use automobiles: meet 30% of the domestic demand in terms of

quantity and get a localization rate of 40% by 2005; meet 60% of the domestic demand

in terms of quantity and get a localization rate of 60% by 2010.

- For high-class automobiles: Tourist cars manufactured by joint ventures must

reach the localization rate of 20-25% by 2005, and 40-45% by 2010 For high-class

buses, the localization rate shall reach 20% by 2005 and 35- 40% by 2010, meeting 80%

of the domestic requirement.

Although specific goals were set, almost all of the goals have not been met till now For

instance localization rate just reaches 12% and the prices are too high compared to the

income of Vietnamese It could probably be caused by many different reasons, among

of which the main reason is we did not foresee the difficulties and complexity of

automobile industry For example, Thailand, a leading country in East Asia in

automobile manufacture with production of 1.2 million vehicles/year, does not have its

own brand name cars It does not mean that Thailand automobile industry is

underdeveloped because it has 700 car components manufactures and 1000 auxiliary

manufacturers, turning Thailand into a reliable supplier to most of car manufacturers in

the world.

In China, automobile industry has been developed for 30 years and protected by the

government Till now, there are just few so-called “big manufacturers” out of 2500 car

manufacturers and car components manufacturers in China Annual turnover of China’s

Automobile Industry is lower than car sales of a medium-sized car manufacturer in

Japan, USA or Europe.

In India, the first car appeared in 1898 Since then, India has attached special

importance to development of automobile industry However, due to its economic

characteristics, cars manufactured in India serve middle class or lower classes only.

India automobile industry is more and more developing and becomes a “power” in

automobile industry worldwide India is now the second biggest motorcycle

manufacturer in the world; ranks 11 th in manufacturing tourist cars and ranks 13 th in

manufacturing commercial cars India is now an ideal destination for many big

manufacturers in the world and realizes its ambitions to be a leading center for

automobile manufacturing in 2016 with “Action Plan of Motors” Its goal is to reach

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production of 32 million vehicles in period of 2015-2016 with total investment of 35-40

billion US dollars.

Above analyses help to produce the judgment that it takes many years to develop our

automobile industry, depending on the development of our economy and on related

industries Therefore, it is necessary to analyze development ability of Vietnam’s

automobile industry based on its current status, requirements and ability to satisfy the

requirements.

1.2 RESEARCH PROBLEMS

To get the goals set for the period of 2011-2020, some research problems to

be implemented are as follows:

1 Current status of Vietnam Automobile Industry;

2 Requirements for developing automobile industry; and

3 Ability to satisfy the requirements

1.3 RESEARCH OBJECTIVES

Proposing comprehensive solution to develop Vietnam Automobile

Industry for the period of 2011-2020

1.4 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

1.4.1 Research methods

In order to analyse the existing problems of Vietnamese automobile

industry and the current role of Vietnamese government in supporting the

industry, as well as to make recommendation for a better government role

in supporting the industry, the following approaches are undertaken: (i)

SWOT anlysis where strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats to

Vietnamese automobile industry are analysed; and (ii) knowledge and

approaches learnt from the classes on Role of State in a Market Economy

which was lectured by Prof Daniel Van Houte;Throughout this thesis, the

roles played by the following actors and the interactivity of these actors

will be analysed carefully

The approaches undertaken have helped identify the following findings:

1.4.2 Actors involving in the Vietnamese automobile industry

Government: The government has played a significant role in Vietnamese

automobile industry Through the tax policies, protectionism policies,

environment rules, liberalisation of automobile sector (under its FTA

negotiations) and infrastructure development, the ministries and agencies of

Vietnamese government has created substantial influence on the industry

CONSUMERS

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Domestic car makers: The domestic car makers comprises mainly two

groups They are joint venture companies between a Vietnamese partner

and a FDI enterprise These joint ventures companies in fact mainly

assembled cars based on the supplies of car parts imported into Vietnam

Cars importers: They include two main groups as follows: importers of

Completely Built Units (CBU vehicles - - brand new cars), and importers

of used cars Currently, the car importers operating in Vietnam are mainly

Vietnamese trading companies, but there is a tendency showing that some

domestic car makers are expanding their business to importing CBU

Association: The Vietnam Automobile Manufacturing Association

(VAMA) is the only one association represeting the car makers and car

importers By the end of 2010, VAMA had eighteen members This

association is having a stronger voice influencing the government’s

policies Nonetheless, its recommendations about policies to the

government are mainly encouraging protectionism because the VAMA

members, most of them are car makers, enjoy lots of benefits from

protectionist policies

Accessories industry: Vietnam has a very premature accessories industry

which lack capital, advanced technologies, and skilled workers Most

importantly, the accessories industry of Vietnam fails to create a strong link

with car makers, and at the same time does not have a development

strategy for itself

Consumers: The role of Vietnamese consumers in this respect are evolving

rather quickly They are moving from preference for cheap used cars to the

choice of medium priced vehicles as their income get improved in the

recent years However, besides the improving purchase power, Vietnamese

consumers have not yet had an influential voice to protect themselves

because of the limited role played by the Vietnamese Consumers Protection

Association

1.4.3 Main factors influencing Vietnamese automobile industry:

SWOT analysis, as described briefly in the table below, will go closely with

all details of this thesis In particular, the factors reflecting the environment

in which the automobile industry operates are more clearly seen through

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- under-developped accesory industry;

OPPORTUNITIES

- Improving incomes of people;

- Huge market of 86 million

people;

Potential exports of CBU and car

parts under existing and future

Government direct policies: The policies enacted by the government of

Vietnam create the strongest direct and indirect influence on the situation

of the automobile industry Strong protectionist policies on tariffs, mostly

seen before 2007, the year when Vietnam officially joined the World Trade

Organisation, and particularly before 2000 induced the establishment of

many domestic car makers Meanwhile, the trade liberalisation policy of

the government, which commenced with Vietnam’s WTO membership in

January 2007 and intensified with the signing of several FTAs (CEPT with

China and ASEAN, Vietnam-Japan FTA, FTA between Vietnam and

Australia-New Zealand…), has resulted in the growing number of trading

companies operating in cars importation

Government indirect policies: The indirect policies of the government

such as stimulus measures applied by the government in 2009 and 2010

have shown significant increase in the purchase of cars At the same time,

pending policy on environment tax (which is under the discussion of the

National Assembly in a draft Law on Environment) is believed to create

discouragement to car users The government’s investment in construction

of roads a bridges are certainly influencing the consumers’ decision on

buying cars

Technology and capital availability: This factor depends a lot on foreign

investors In fact, most of the technologies currently used by domestic car

joint ventures are not advanced Model of cars assembled in Vietnam are

often two years later than those made in foreign countries Regarding

capital source, Vietnamese car assembling joint ventures depend a lot on

foreign partners with as much as 70% of the capital contributed by foreign

partners The under-developed accessories industry of Vietnam, which

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lacks both capital and technologies, is strong evidence for the weakness of

the automobile industry in this respect

Consumers’ habits and income: Vietnamese consumers’ income is

improving quickly from a GDP per capita worth USD331 in 1996 to more

than USD1156 in 2009 As a result, more and more Vietnamese people can

afford a car Importantly, because the number of people having cars in

Vietnam presently is relatively low, thus the potential of this market is

huge The consumers’ habit has similar importance on business decisions

of car makers and importers

To determine the appropriate role of the government in developing the

automobile industry of Vietnam, the above factors should be taken into full

consideration

1.4.4 Assessment of role of government:

The government’s decision on supporting the development of Vietnam’s

automobile is legitimate and right given the important source of tax

collection, jobs creation, and the industrialisation and motorisation targets

However, the policies taken by the government are not well-coordinated

and not visional The policies are even conflicting and keep changing

during different periods of time which are demonstrated through the

changing import tariffs, special consumption taxes, and changing

orientation of priortised types of vehicles Now time does not support the

government of Vietnam especially since Vietnam signed a number of FTAs

with foreign partners, in which bound rates for CBU cars of below 9

seaters are foreseen to be 60% in 2013 to 0% in 2018 under the CEPT

The government is now facing a big question: (i) continuing its support to

domestic car makers, so that Vietnam may have a car brand Made in

Vietnam in future; (ii) and/or developing a strong accessories industry to

become part of the regional supply chain of car parts It is crucially

important to have a secure and visional answer to this question sooner

rather than later The analysis, as presented later in this thesis, has proved

that the policies taken by the government of Vietnam so far are inconsistent

and partially unsuccessful

1.4.5 Recommendations:

The government of Vietnam should review the development strategy for

automobile industry in a practical manner and well-connected with its

macro development policies Priorities should be given to development of

accessories industry where Vietnam can reap considerable benefits from its

participation in the regional supply chain of car parts At the same time, the

government should maintain a consistent support to two types of vehicles

affordable to and mostly used by Vietnamese people They are: (i) the first

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type of car recommended in this thesis is five-seaters sedan below 1 litre

engine This type of cars is friendly to environment, cheap price, and not

subject to any commitment of FTAs liberalisation; (ii) the second type of

vehicles/ cars is bus of 30 seaters, which can be used more efficiently in

future given the demand of public means of transport

1.5 SCOPE OF RESEARCH

Research objectives:

Research objectives of this thesis are problems related to Vietnam’s

automobile industry including manufacturing sector, supporting industries,

sale and import, supporting policies of the state

The research focuses on the elements of Vietnam's automobile industry On

the basis, appropriate and feasible solutions to develop are proposed

Scope of research:

Time: from the establishment of the first automobile manufacturing joint

venture company (1991) to 2010

Space: The research focuses mainly on development activities of VAMA’s

members and refers to activities of some other automobile enterprises

In addition, the research will have study on success of the automobile

industries of Thailand, China and India The research tries to give a more

comprehensive view of the automobile industry of Vietnam and

development orientations for the automobile industry in Vietnam

3 Chapter 3: ROLE OF STATE IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF

VIETNAM’S AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY

4 Chapter 4: RECOMMENDATIONS FOR IMPROVING STATE’S

REGULATION ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF VIETNAM’S

AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY FOR THE PERIOD 2011 – 2020

5 Conclusions

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To properly assess the formation and development of Vietnam’s

automobile industry, we can start from beginning of the past 1990s

Before 1990, there were about 38,212 registered cars in Vietnam, including

Gat, Lada, Zil, Volga, Zil, Uaz, Lada, Gat, Peugeot, Ford, Jeep, Paz, etc

In 1991, many famous car manufacturers in the world such as Ford, Toyota

and Mercedes-Benz participated in automobile joint venture enterprises in

Vietnam In 2003, there were 11 joint venture enterprises in Vietnam with

total investment capital of 543,429 million US dollars, total production of

148,900 cars/year and creating jobs for more than 3,000 employees

Until now, there are 18 automobile enterprises nationwide joining in

Vietnam Automobile Manufacturer Association (VAMA), not including

some other automobile manufacturers such as 1/5 motor factory, JRD

motor factory, Cuu Long motor factory, etc

It can be said that the formation of joint venture enterprises which

specialize in manufacturing, assembling cars in Vietnam recognizes

Vietnam as a potential automobile market

2.1.1 Development of car assembly joint venture enterprises

Table 2.1 Establishment of car assembly joint venture companies in

Vietnam

No Car makers/ status of capital Status of Operation

1 Mekong auto company:

JV between Vietnam, Japan,

and South Korea;

- Operation started in1992;

continues;

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- Operation continues;

- License withdrawn;

13 Hino Motors Vietnam:

JV between Vietnam and

Japan

- Operation started in1996;

- Operation continues;

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JV between Vietnam,

Denmark and Japan

- Operation continues;

- Operation continues;

- Operation continues;

Source: Ministry of Planning and InvestmentWe find that most of the

world’s leading car manufacturers from three automobile centers of USA,

Europe and Japan are present here in Vietnam Total investment capital is

over 700 million USD, total legal capital is over 400 million USD and total

designed capacity is about 200,000 cars/year Joint venture enterprises play

a key role in automobile industry They turn Vietnam’s Automobile

Industry from zero into fulfilling domestic automobile demand

State-owned enterprises such as Transinco, Veam also contribute to

development of Vietnam’s automobile industry although their contribution

is still small We have now 52 domestic enterprises involving in

assembling vehicles but the production is still low and the technology is

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still underdeveloped Therefore, referring to Vietnam's automobile

industry, most people only talk about the operation of 11 automobile

manufacture/assembly joint-venture enterprises

On the other hand, production and assembly of automotive joint venture

companies in Vietnam has not shown modernity in automobile

manufacturing A standard car factory must have at least four basic

processes, including stamping, welding, painting and assembly, whereas

the automobile joint ventures in Vietnam (except for Toyota which has

stamping process) have only 3 last processes (welding, painting and

assembly) All these 3 processes do not require high technology, thus not

improve the localization rate of products

After this period, the joint ventures develop more car styles, pay attention

to importing cars (e.g., Mercedes, Toyota) Besides, there are some

motorcycle manufacturing joint ventures investing in automobile

production They are VMEP and HONDA These joint venture companies

have created a quite busy automotive market in our country

2.1.2 Development of domestic automobile manufacture/assembly

enterprises

After the appearance of the car manufacturing joint venture enterprises,

domestic automobile factories have gradually formed and developed as

Truong Hai, Vinaxuki, Cuu Long, Veam, etc

In domestic car assembly enterprises, they focus primarily on light trucks

providing mainly for domestic market and avoiding competition with other

brands of joint venture enterprises such as Truong Hai with Proto, Force;

Xuan Kien with Vinaxuki; Cuu Long with TMT Afterwards, some

domestic factories have begun to assemble individual cars (sedans) with

little-known and low price brands such as Xuan Kien with Chinese brands,

Truong Hai with Kia, Hyundai (Korea) and more recently, Mazda (Japan)

Overall, the domestic automobile factories are less developed, they only

specialize in car assembly, and they do not have private car brand because

of weak financial resources and automotive technology

Currently, Vietnam’s automotive industry specializes in assembly only,

including the following types:

- SKD (Semi Knocked Down): cars to be assembled from

components, cluster, imported unconnected details

- CKD (Completely Knocked Down): is a complete kit needed to

assemble a product There are two forms of this type: CKD1 and

CKD2

- IKD (Inteopally Knocked Down) cars to be assembled from

components, cluster, unconnected details Unconnected details can

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be imported or made in Vietnam Body and chassis are made in

Vietnam

While some regional countries like Thailand, Indonesia is focusing in depth

on the type of IKD, both 11 automobile joint ventures in Vietnam have

recently moved from simple assembly (SKD) to detailed assembly (CKD)

2.1.3 Vietnam’s domestic automobile market

In December, 2010, turnover of members of VAMA got 12,485 vehicles,

17% decrease compared to that of December, 2009 In which, sale of

multi-purpose vehicles fell 19%, cars 21% and commercial vehicles 13%

Output of entire sales in 2010 reached 112,224 vehicles, 6% decrease over

the same period last year with decrease of commercial vehicles of 4%, cars

of 3% and multipurpose vehicles of 13% (See summary table below)

Table 2.2 The sale of cars of VAMA’s members in 2010

North Central South Total

Vehicle consumption is reduced compared to that of the previous year due

to inflation in the economy and high exchange rate between Vietnam dong

and the dollar Also, it can also be seen that car consumption in our country

is quite low compared to that of the region and the world The reason is:

- First, Vietnam's market is too small compared with the car industry,

per capita income is low According to calculations by economists, a

country must achieve GDP per capita of about $ 1,000 per year to

create a large enough market for the automotive industry with stable

profit and over $ 3,000 per year to ensure a rapidly-developed

automobile industry Whereas, Vietnam has achieved GDP of

approximately U.S $ 800-1000 per year per person

- Second, massive import of old cars, which are cheaper than cars

manufactured by automobile joint ventures, reduces market share of

automobile joint ventures in Vietnam Massive import of new cars

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with equivalent price also affects the market share in the same way

in one hand and in the other influences to demand side

- Third, the price of cars produced and assembled in Vietnam is much

higher than the price in the region and in the world The reason is

that most of the parts and components are imported

One important reason is that the automobile industry of Vietnam is very

young, only developed in about 10 years so most plants are new with high

capital investment and long period of depreciation These should lead to

high cost and low competitiveness

Table 2.3 Comparing prices between domestic cars and foreign cars(brand

2.2 CONTRIBUTION OF VIETNAM’S AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY

Being a young industry in Vietnam, Vietnam’s automobile industry has

certain contribution to Vietnam economy, as follows:

2.2.1 Contribution to economic development through investment

Vietnam’s automobile industry contributed a very big amount of

investment capital to the economy For joint venture enterprises, till June,

2001, total investment capital was 326,813 million USD, making up 2.39%

of total foreign investment capital This amount of capital is equivalent to

total capital of Vietnam’s mechanical industry after 40 years of

establishment This is a very high rate, initially confirmed the role of the

automotive industry for the economic development of Vietnam

According to VAMA, investment capital of several members of VAMA is

as follows:

Table 2.4 Investment capital of some VAMA’s members

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No Name Total investment capital

(USD)

Legal capital(USD)

Compared with the initial capital investment (Table 2.1), the investment

level increased significantly

2.2.2 Contribution to state budget

In the early 2000s, the automobile production joint ventures have

contributed significantly to the state budget The total contribution of joint

ventures to the state budget by the end date of 30/06/2001 is 154,323,000

Dollars If calculated by the method of simple averages, the average

contribution rate in the period 1996-2000 is $ 30,864,600 per year

In 2000, the vehicle sale is increased sharply; the joint ventures have

contributed to state budget with a record amount of $ 45,467,846

Table 2.5 Contribution to state budget from car manufacture joint venture

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Source: Ministry of Industry

According to VAMA, only 18 members of VAMA for 6 years from 2000

to 2006 have contributed $ 1.2 billion in taxes to the state, creating stable

jobs for 8,500 employees in the automotive sector in particular and about

35,000 workers in supporting industries

Some domestic automobile enterprises are successful in making their own

automotive brands such as Samco Vietnam, Truong Hai Auto, Vinaxuki…

Their products are more or less known to the domestic market These

enterprises play an important part in economic development Their

products involve in the public sector, agriculture, industry and services

Source: Ministry of Industry

For Truong Hai Company, till 2010, number of employees was up to 1,500

persons

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2.2.4 Technology transfer

Most production lines contributed by the foreign partners of the joint

venture enterprises were made in the early of the 90s in leading

industrialized countries Therefore, these lines are still in good condition

with high performance and enable the production of modern products

However 100% of these production lines are only for assembly form of

CKD2 (some components have not been assembled into the frame), IKD1

(localization ratio below 10%) will not stimulate the production of parts

and accessories in Vietnam, but mainly develop assembly technology In

addition, all the R& D are conducted in foreign firms, not Vietnam, so

Vietnamese engineers just follow all the instructions from the foreign side

and they do not have condition to develop their professional ability

2.3 FACTORS AFFECTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF

VIETNAM’S AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY

2.3.1 Internal factors

In general, according to development strategy of Vietnam’s automobile

industry in period of 2001-2010, goal of protection of domestic automobile

industry was got basically Otherwise, prices were too high compared to

world’s price level and the goal of development of Vietnam’s automobile

industry failed There are many reasons for that but one important reason is

we have regulated the industry with a single tool in more than 10 past

years It is tax Whereas, we ignored many other factors such as new

technology, quality control, etc

Another reason for that is ability of management levels They do not

distinguish between domestic manufactured cars and domestic assembled

cars

Hereafter, we consider some internal factors affecting the automotive

industry as follows:

Low income:

People's income remains very modest compared to other countries in the

region and the world Therefore, most people are using less expensive

vehicles, such as buses, motorcycles, bicycles In a past few years, although

the number of people belonging to the middle class in Vietnam has

increased but the number of people buying cars is still low

Table 2.7 Comparing income of employees in Vietnam and in other

countries

(USD/year)

Difference(times)

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Inconsistency and frequent change of policy:

According to feedback from the domestic automobile enterprises,

production and business environment in Vietnam still lacks the conditions

for them to focus on long-term plans such as investment in manufacturing

components and parts, investment in production of heavy-duty vehicles,

multiple-seat buses They said that government policies, particularly tax

policy, often change and are unreasonable causing many troubles At

present, we only have two tax levels (CKD1 and CKD2) for CKD tariff,

one tax level for spare parts For example, tax level for importing spare

parts of under 5 seat cars is 60% of CIF value Therefore, fewer than 5 seat

cars assembled in Vietnam are protected by tariffs and excise taxes of

320% of CIF value Whereas the imported components for assembly in the

form CKD2 pay only 20% import duty and VAT of 5% The lack of

uniformity was one of the causes of fraud and tax evasion of opportunists

Within about tariffs for imported components, the Ministry of Trade and

Industry and Ministry of Finance has not yet agreed Therefore, they can

not support domestic production

Poor infrastructure:

Currently, many Asian countries have quite good high-speed road system

like Singapore, Malaysia, Korea, China, etc., in which the ratio of the

length of the highway and the total length of road network is relatively high

(for example, 4.4% for Singapore and 2.5% for Korea) Whereas Vietnam

does not have a highway in the true sense of the word though Trung

Luong-Ho Chi Minh highway has just been put into operation 602

communes throughout the country also has no motor roads to the center

Furthermore, Vietnam is still in a serious lack of parking lots and garages

which are considered as indispensable static traffic system for

transportation by car

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