is considering purchasing two machines, A and B, which are expected to generate $36,000 and $40,000 respectively in cash flows per year for 5 years.. d Machine A comes with an optional m
Trang 1Winter 2007 Question 1 (18 marks)
Blooper Technology Inc is considering purchasing two machines, A and B, which are expected to generate $36,000 and $40,000 respectively in cash flows per year for 5 years Although Machine B is more expensive than Machine A, its payback period (3.25 years) is shorter compared to that of Machine A (3.5 years) Blooper’s opportunity cost of capital is 10%
(a) Which machine would you take if the machines were mutually exclusive and if shareholder maximization were your basis for decision? Explain (5 Marks)
Answer
COST OF MACHINE A=3.50×36,000=$126,000
COST OF MACHINE B=3.25×40,000=$130,000
NPVA=-126,000+36,000(PVIFA5,10%)= $10,468.32
NPVB=-130,000+40,000(PVIFA5,10%)= $21,631.47
MACHINE B SINCE IT HAS A GREATER NPV
(b) If the company is willing to accept any project with a discounted payback period less than 4.25 years, would you recommend buying these
machines? Explain (4 Marks)
Answer
(CASH FLOWS IN THOUSANDS OF DOLLARS)
$32.73 $29.75 $27.05 $24.59 $22.35
DISCOUNTED PAYBACK A=4.53 YEARS REJECT BECAUSE DPB>4.25
$36.36 $33.06 $30.05 $27.32 $24.84
DISCOUNTED PAYBACK B=4.13 YEARS ACCEPT BECAUSE DPB<4.25
Trang 2(c) Calculate the internal rate of return on each machine Would you buy
these machines based on IRR? Explain (3 Marks)
Answer
IRR OF MACHINE A:13.20% (PV=-126,PMT=36,FV=0,N=5,I=?)
IRR OF MACHINE B:16.32% (PV=-130,PMT=40,FV=0,N=5,I=?)
YES.BOTH IRRS ARE GREATER THAN THE COST OF CAPITAL
(d) Machine A comes with an optional module which extends its useful life 2 more years (with the same annual cash flows of$36,000)at an additional initial cost of $20,000 Which machine should you take after considering this option? ( 6 Marks)
Answer
THE PV OF THE CF STREAM FROM MACHINE A =-146+36 X (PVIFA7,10%)
=-146+36×4.8684 =$29,263.08
EQUIVALENT ANNUAL CF FROM A= $29,263.08/4.8684=$6,010.82
THE PV OF THE CF STREAM FROM MACHINE B=-130+40×(PVIFA5,10%)
=-130+40×3.7908
=$21,631.47
EQUIVALENT ANNUAL CF FROM B= $21,631.47/3.7908=$5,707.31
CHOSE MACHINE A
Question 2 (10 marks)
Calculate the NPV for the following capital budgeting proposal: $110,000 initial cost, to be depreciated straight-line over five years to an expected salvage value
of $5,000, 35 percent tax rate, $35,000 additional annual revenues, $5,000 additional annual expense, $7,000 additional investment in working capital today
to be recovered in year 5 Project has a 9 percent cost of capital Assume that the CCA is same as depreciation
Answer
(Cash flows are in dollars)
Trang 3Year 0 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Cost
(110,000) Change in
Working Capital
Revenues
35,000 35,000 35,000
35,000 35,000 less Expenses
5,000 5,000 5,000
5,000 5,000 less
Depreciation 21,000 21,000 21,000
21,000 21,000
= Net Inc
9,000 9,000 9,000
9,000 16,000 less Taxes
3,150 5,600 = NI After Tax
5,850 5,850 5,850
5,850 10,400 Salvage Value
5,000
(117,000) 26,850 26,850 26,850
26,850 36,400 NPV of Project = PV of Cash Flows - Initial Investment
NPV = $26,850 + - $117,000 = -$6,356.02
Given that the NPV is negative, you reject the project
Alternatively,
(Cash flows are in dollars)
Cost
(110,000) Change in
Working Capital
Revenues
35,000 35,000 35,000
35,000 35,000 less Expenses
5,000 5,000 5,000
5,000 5,000 less
Depreciation 21,000 21,000 21,000
21,000 21,000
= Net Inc
9,000 9,000 9,000
9,000 9,000
1 09
1 09(1.09)4
$36,400(1.09)5
Trang 4less Taxes
3,150 3,150 = NI After Tax
5,850 5,850 5,850
5,850 5,850 Salvage Value
5,000
(117,000) 26,850 26,850 26,850
26,850 38,850
NPV of Project = PV of Cash Flows - Initial Investment
NPV = $26,850 + - $117,000 = -$4,763.68
Given that the NPV is negative, you reject the project
Both answers will be considered as valid
Question 3 (14 marks)
The Atkinson College Entrepreneurship Team (ACET) is consulting to New Venture Skis Inc (NVS) who has designed a new top of the line ski The skis are expected to retail at $600 with a profit margin (PM) of 60%
The first round of consulting to NVS, concluded earlier in the year, had been billed to NVS for $150,000 The research indicated that NVS would sell
50,000 sets of the new skis per year for 7 years which will reduce 12,000 sets
of projected sales per year from the current high end line of skis These high end skis sell for $1,000 with a variable cost of $550 However sales of the firm’s least expensive $300 skis will increase annually by 10,000 sets at a 33.3% PM
Fixed costs are $7 million annually One million dollars has been spent on research and development of the new $600 skis New plant and equipment will cost $15,400,000 and has a 30% CCA rate and an expected salvage of
$2 million Net working capital will increase by $900,000 annually that will be returned at the end of the project NVS has a 40% tax rate and a 14% cost of capital The half-year rule applies Compute the following for NVS:
(a) Payback period (3 marks)
Answer
The marketing study and the research and development are both sunk costs and should be ignored
1 09
1 09(1.09)4
$38,850(1.09)5
Trang 5Sales
New skis $600 × 50,000 = $30,000,000
Expensive
skis $1,000 × (– 12,000) = –$12,000,000
Cheap skis $300 × 10,000 = $3,000,000
Total $21,000,000
Var costs
New skis $240 × 50,000 = $12,000,000
Expensive
skis $550 × (–12,000) = –$6,600,000
Cheap skis $200 × 10,000 = $2,000,000
Total $7,400,000
For the next 4 years:
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Sales $21,000,000 $21,000,000 $21,000,000 $21,000,000
Variable costs 7,400,000 7,400,000 7,400,000 7,400,000
Fixed costs 7,000,000 7,000,000 7,000,000 7,000,000
CCA 2,310,000 3,927,000 2,748,900 1,924,230
EBIT 4,290,000 2,673,000 3,851,100 4,675,770
Taxes 1,716,000 1,069,200 1,540,440 1,805,462
Net income $ 2,574,000 $1,603,800 $2,310,660 2,805,462
The half-year rule has been incorporated into the calculation of the annual
CCA To accurately calculate the payback period, we need to estimate the operating cash flows in the first four years These can be determined
from the following relationship (for this part depreciation is assumed to be the same as the CCA) :
OCF1 = NI + D = $(2,574,000 + 2,310,000) = $4,884,000
OCF2 = NI + D = $(1,603,800 + 3,927,000) = $5,530,800
OCF3 = NI + D = $(2,310,660 + 2,748,900) = $5,059,560
OCF4 = NI + D = $(2,805,462 + 1,924,230) = $4,729,692
The initial cost is made up of the cost of the plant and equipment plus the increase in net working capital in Year 0:
= $15.4M + 0.9M = $16.3M
The sum of the OCFs in the first 3 years is: $ $15,474,360
So the payback period = 3 years + $(16,300,000 – 15,474,360) / $4,729,692
= 3.175 years
(b) NPV (6 marks)
Answer
To find the NPV and IRR we need the after-tax net revenue each year as
Trang 6well as the present value of the CCA tax shield and the initial and ending cash flows
Initial cash flow = -$(15,400,000 + 900,000) = -$16,300,000
After-tax net revenue in Years 1-7 = (S – C)(1 – Tc)
= $(21,000,000 – 14,400,000)(1 – 0.4)
= $3,960,000
Ending cash flows (Year 7) = recovery of NWC + salvage value =
$900,000 + 2,000,000 = $2,900,000
PV of CCATS = 15,400,000(0.3)(0.4) x (1 + 0.5(0.14))
0.14 +0.3 1 +0.14
-2,000,000(0.3)(0.4) x 1 0.14 + 0.3 (1.14)7
= $3,724,121
NPV = –$16.3M + $3.96M (PVIFA14%,7) + $3,724,121 + $2.9M/1.147
= $5,307,458
Alternatively, the after-tax net revenue in Years 1-7 = $3,960,000 –
$900,000 (change in NWC annually) = $3,060,000
NPV = –$16.3M + $3.06M (PVIFA14%,7) + $3,724,121 + $2.9M/1.147
= $1,705,282
Both NPV figures are acceptable for this question
(c) IRR (5 marks)
Answer
To simplify the IRR calculation, it is assumed that CCA tax shield cash flows are as risky as the cash flows for the company’s overall operations Accordingly, the appropriate discount rate for the CCA tax shield is the company’s cost of capital The PV of CCATS is thus the same as for the NPV calculation
NPV = 0 = –$16.3M + $3.96M (PVIFAIRR%,7) + $3,724,121 + $2.9M/(1 + IRR)7 ⇒ IRR ≅ 26.6%
Alternatively,
NPV = 0 = –$16.3M + $3.06M (PVIFAIRR%,7) + $3,724,121 + $2.9M/(1 + IRR)7 ⇒ IRR ≅ 18%
Again both values of IRR are considered correct
Trang 7Question 4 (17 marks)
Another consulting assignment on which the ACET is working is with Keep You Warm Corp (KYC), who has asked ACET for an evaluation of a six year
$924,000 project to sell hi-tech ski glove warmers There is a zero salvage value
on the project assets which use straight-line depreciation (to zero) Assume that the CCA is the same as depreciation The new hi-tech glove warmers will sell for
$34 with a variable cost of $19 Sales are expected to be 130,000 pairs of
gloves per year Fixed costs are $800,000 per year KYC has a 35% tax rate and a 15% cost of capital Consider this as the base case scenario
(a) Calculate the accounting breakeven and the degree of operating leverage
at that point (4 marks)
Answer
Depreciation = $924,000/6 = $154,000 per year
The profit margin = $(34-19)/$34 = $0.4412
Accounting break even sales = ($800,000 + $154,000)/($0.4412) = $2,162,285
The following two answers are both acceptable for the DOL:
1) at the accounting break even sales level, the net income is 0, so the operating cash flow (OCF) = 0 + depreciation (D) = $154,000
So DOL = 1 + FC/OCF = 1 + FC/D
= 1 + [$800,000+$154,000]/$154,000 = 7.195 Alternatively, 2)
DOL = 1 + FC/profits = ∞ since profits are zero
(b) What is the sensitivity of Operating Cash Flows to change in the variable
cost figure? What does your answer suggest about a $1 reduction in the variable costs? (5 marks)
Answer
VCnew = $18 (i.e $1 reduction)
OCFnew = [($34 – $18)(130,000) – $800,000](0.65) + 0.35($154,000) =
$885,900
OCFbase = [($34 – $19)(130,000) – $800,000](0.65) + 0.35($154,000) =
$801,400
∆OCF/∆VC = ($885,900 – $801,400) / ($18 – 19) = –$84,500
So if variable costs fell by $1, then the OCF would rise by $84,500
(c) Calculate the NPV for the base case (most likely scenario) and do a
sensitivity analysis by identifying the best case and worst case scenarios
by changes to the sales numbers Explain why you selected these
Trang 8numbers and what the impacts may be on your decision as to whether or not to move forward with the project (8 marks)
Answer
NPVbase = –$924,000 + $801,400(PVIFA15%,6) = $2,108,884.43
Answers to the sensitivity analysis will vary
For example if sales rise by 5,000 units to 135,000 units:
OCFnew = [$(34 – 19)(135,000) – $800,000](0.65) + 0.35($154,000) =
$850,150
NPVnew = –$924,000 + $850,150(PVIFA15%,6) = $2,293,377.96
∆NPV/∆S = ($2,293,377.96 – $2,108,884.43)/($34 × (135,000 –
130,000)) = 1.0853%
In contrast, if sales were to drop by 5,000 units, then the OCF would drop to: [$(34 – 19)(125,000) – $800,000](0.65) + 0.35($154,000) =
$752,650
NPVnew = –$924,000 + $752,650(PVIFA15%,6) = $1,924,390.90
∆NPV/∆S = ($1,924,390.90 – $2,108,884.43)/($34 × (125,000 –
130,000)) = 1.0853%
Question 5 (10 marks)
Calculate the expected returns, variances, and standard deviations for stock C, for stock E, and for a portfolio of both stocks C (2/3 weight) and E (1/3 weight)
Answer
Stock C :
6.59%
or , 59 6 43.41 deviation
Standard
0.004341
or squared,
s percentage
41
.
3
7.7%) 4%
( 0.2 7.7%)
(8%
0.5 7.7%) -(15%
0.3
Variance
7.7%
4%) ( 0.2 8%
0.5
% 5 0.3 return
Expected
2 2
2
=
=
=
−
−
× +
−
× +
×
=
=
−
× +
× +
×
=
Stock E :
Scenario Probability
Return on
C
Return on
E
Trang 9or , 41 5 29.25 deviation
Standard
0.002925
or squared,
s percentage
25
.
29
2.5%) 0%
1 ( 0.2 2.5%) (4%
0.5 2.5%) -(-5%
0.3
Variance
2.5%
% 10 0.2 4%
0.5
%) 5 ( 0.3 return
Expected
2 2
2
=
=
=
−
× +
−
× +
×
=
=
× +
× +
−
×
=
Portfolio :
2.74%
or , 74 2 7.5339 deviation
Standard
0.00075339
or squared,
s percentage
5339
.
7
5.97%) 67%
0 ( 0.2 5.97%) (6.67%
0.5 5.97%)
-(8.33%
0.3
Variance
% 97 5
%) 5 2 ( 3 / 1
%) 7 7 ( 3 / 2 return
Expected
2 2
2
=
=
=
−
× +
−
× +
×
=
=
× +
×
=
Note that the standard deviation of the portfolio is less than that of either stock C
or stock E because of diversification
Question 6 (12 marks)
Use the following to answer the questions below:
A market portfolio contains two stocks with the following returns: Aggressive
Stock A, and Defensive Stock D:
Rate of Return
Scenario Market Aggressive Stock A Defensive Stock D
(a) Find the beta of each stock In what way is stock D defensive? (5 marks)
Answer
Beta is the responsiveness of each stock's return to changes in the market
return
D is considered to be a more defensive stock than A because its return is
less sensitive to the return of the overall market In a recession, D will
usually outperform both stock A and the market portfolio
Trang 10(b) If each scenario is equally likely, find the expected rate of return on the
market portfolio and on each stock (4 marks)
We take an average of returns in each scenario to obtain the expected return
rm = (32% – 8%)/2 = 12%
rA = (38% – 10%)/2 = 14%
rD = (24% – 6%)/2 = 9%
(c) If the Treasury bill rate is 4 percent, what does the CAPM say about the
fair expected rates of return on the two stocks? (3 marks)
According to the CAPM, the expected returns that investors will demand of each stock, given the stock betas and given the expected return on the market, are:
r = rf + β(rm – rf)
rA = 4% + 1.2(12% – 4%) = 13.6%
rD = 4% + 0.75(12% – 4%) = 10.0%
Question 7 (6 marks)
Calculate the nominal return, real return, and risk premium for the following
common stock investment:
Purchase price $60.00 per share
Dividend $3.50 per year
Sales price $73.00 per share
Treasury bill yield 8.5%
Inflation rate 7.5%
ANSWER
NOMINAL RETURN =(CAPITAL GAIN +DIVIDEND)/INITIAL SHARE PRICE
=(73-60+3.50)/60 =27.5%
REAL RETURN =(1+NOMINAL RATE)/(1+INFLATION RATE) -1
=(1.275/1.075)-1
=18.6%
RISK PREMIUM = NOMINAL RETURN LESS NOMINAL RETURN ON TREASURY BILLS
=27.5–8.5
Trang 11=19% IN NOMINAL TERMS
Question 8 (13 marks)
A company issued $35,000,000 of 15-year, 7.5%, $1,000 par value debt at par three years ago Assume semi-annual coupon payments The yield to maturity
on comparable debt today is 9% The firm also has 6,000,000 common shares outstanding, which currently trade at $26.00 per share The firm’s β is 1.26, the T-bill rate is 3.5% and the market risk premium is 6.7% Due to the early stage in its corporate life cycle, the firm has significant tax-loss carry forwards, resulting in the firm not expecting to have to pay taxes in the foreseeable future
(a) Compute the firm’s weighted average cost of capital (WACC) (6 marks) Answer
The bond price today is:
28 891
$ 70 347
$ 4955 14 5
37
$
) 045 1 (
000 , 1 ] ) 045 1 ( 045 0
1 045
0
1 [ 5
37
= +
×
=
+
×
−
×
.
The market value of debts (D) = ($35,000,000/$1,000) × $891.28 =
$31,194,800
The market value of equity (E) = $26 × 6,000,000 = $156,000,000
The market value of the firm (V) = D + E = $31,194,800 + $156,000,000 =
= $187,194,800
The cost of equity (requity) is computed using the CAPM as:
requity = 3.5% + 1.26 × 6.7% = 11.94%
The cost of debt (rdebt) is the YTM on bond, which is 9%
So the WACC with no taxes is calculated as:
% 45 11
% 94 11 800 , 194 , 187
$
000 , 000 , 156
$
% 9 800 , 194 , 187
$
800 , 194 , 31
$
r V
E r
V
D
=
× +
×
=
× +
×
=
(b) If the firm were able to issue an additional $26,000,000 in debt ($1,000 par
value) at an 8.5% coupon rate (paid semi-annually) and use the proceeds
to retire 1,000,000 shares, what would be the firm’s WACC? (4 marks) Answer