b 9 marks The initial investment and expected profits cash from 2 mutually exclusive capital investments being considered by a firm are as follows: Initial Investment 70,000 65,000 Year
Trang 1AK/ADMS3530 Summer 2007 Assignment #2 -SOLUTIONS Instructions:
(1) This assignment is to be done individually You must sign and submit the
standard cover page supplied as the last page of this assignment
(2) This assignment is due at the start of class, the week of July 23rd, 2007
(last class) This assignment can be typewritten or handwritten Work
that is too difficult to read due to messiness and poor handwriting will receive zero credit You must show your work to receive full credit
(3) This assignment is worth a total of 100 marks and represents 10% of your
overall grade
Trang 2Question #1 (14 marks)
(a) (5 marks)
A capital investment requiring one initial cash outflow is forecast to operating profits (cash) as follows
Year 1 $74,000
Year 2 $84,000
Year 3 $96,000
Year 4 $70,000
The investment has an NPV of $20,850 based on a required rate of return of 12% Calculate the payback period of the investment
Solution
(a)Since the investment's NPV is $20,850, the initial investment is the value of Inv
satisfying
$20,850 =
12 1
000 74
,
$
1.12
$84,000
1.12
$96,000
1.12
$70,000
– Inv
= $66,071.4 + $66,964.3 + $68,330.9 + $44,486.3 – Inv
Inv = $225,003
Full payback on the project occurs sometime between years 2 and 3 to recover our initial investment of $225,003
Cumulative profit after 2 years = $74,000 + $84,000 = $158,000
Cumulative profit after 3 years = $158,000 + 96,000 = $254,000
Payback period = 2 +
$158,000
$254,000
$158,000
$225,003
−
−
= 2.7 yrs or 2 yrs 8 months
Trang 3(b) (9 marks)
The initial investment and expected profits (cash) from 2 mutually exclusive capital investments being considered by a firm are as follows:
Initial Investment 70,000 65,000
Year 1 profit 30,000 50,000
Year 2 profit 80,000 50,000
Calculate the internal rate of return for each investment Which one would be selected based on an IRR ranking? (3 marks)
(i) Which investment should be chosen if the firm’s cost of capital is 14%
(support your answer)? (3 marks)
(ii) Which investment should be chosen if the firm’s cost of capital is 17%
(support your answer)? (3 marks)
Solution (b)
(i) The IRR on Investment A is the value of i satisfying
NPV = 0 =
i
+ 1
$30,000
+
( )1 2
$80,000
i
+ – $70,000
The solution is i = 30.5% = IRR on Investment A
The IRR on Investment B is the value of i satisfying
NPV = 0 =
i
+ 1
$50,000
+
( )1 2
$50,000
i
+ – $65,000
The solution is i = 34.2% = IRR on Investment B
Investment B would be selected on the basis on an IRR ranking
(ii) NPV(Investment A) =
14 1
000 30
,
$
1.14
$80,000
– $70,000 = $17,873
NPV(Investment B) =
14 1
000 50
,
$
1.14
$50,000
– $65,000 = $17,333 With the cost of capital at 14%, Investment A has the larger NPV and
should be chosen
(iii) Similarly, if you repeat part (ii) with the cost of capital of 17%, you would derive the following answers
NPV(Investment A) = $14,082 NPV(Investment B) = $14,261
Investment B now has the higher NPV and should be chosen
Trang 4Question #2 (14 marks)
Allergy-free Corp is considering launching a “hay-fever” vaccine in Canada that will eliminate entirely the need for many Canadians to take seasonal allergy medication The vaccines will be sold to the medical community and government for $2.30 per vaccine Variable costs are $0.6440 per pill and fixed costs excluding depreciation are $3,500,000 per year The capital investment for the new manufacturing equipment will be $4,500,000 and will be depreciated straight-line over 8 years to a final value of zero Allergy-free Corp.’s cost of capital is 14% annually and it currently pays no taxes
(a) What is the accounting break-even level of sales for the new vaccine, in terms of number of vaccines that must be sold?
Solution
Variable cost = $0.644 / $2.30 = $0.28 per $1 of revenue
Additional profit per $1 of additional sales is therefore $0.72
Depreciation per year = $4,500,000 / 8 = $562,500 for 8 years
Accounting Break-even sales level
=
sales of dollar additional each
from profit Additional
on Depreciati including
Costs Fixed
= 3,500,000 + 562,500 = $5,642,361 sales revenue
0.72
# of pills that must be sold = $5,642,361/$2.30 per pill = 2,453,200 vaccines
(b) What is the NPV break-even level of sales, in terms of the number of vaccines that must be sold? (5 marks)
Solution
To find the NPV break-even sales, first calculate cash flows With no taxes,
CF = 72 × Sales – 3,500,000
The 14%, 8-year PV annuity factor is 4.6389
Therefore, if project NPV equals zero: PV(cash flows) – Investment = 0 4.6389 × (.72 × Sales – 3,500,000) – 4,500,000 = 0
3.3400 × Sales – 16,236,150 – 4,500,000 = 0
3.3400 × Sales – 20,736,150 = 0
Sales = 20,736,150/3.3400
NPV Break-even sales = $6,208,428.14 revenue
Number of pills that must be sold = $8,042,215.57/2.30 = 2,699,317
vaccines
Trang 5(c) Why is your answer in (b) higher than your answer in (a)
Accounting break-even does not incorporate time-value of money
(d) If Allergy-free Corp is taxable at a 35% tax rate and its existing allergy medication generated annual pre-tax cash flows of $3,200,000 (which will
now disappear), what is the new NPV break-even level of sales, in terms of
the number of vaccines that must be sold? (4 marks)
Solution
To find the new NPV break-even sales, recalculate cash flows
With 35% tax rate,
CFop = (1–T) (Revenue – foregone CF - Fixed Expenses) + T × Depreciation = 65 (.72 × Sales – 3,200,000 – 3,500,000) + 35 × 562,500
= 0.468 Sales – 4,158,125
The PV annuity factor is 4.6389, so we find NPV as follows:
4.6389 (.468 × Sales – 4,158,125) – 4,500,000 = 0
2.171 x Sales – 19,289,126 – 4,500,000 = 0
2.171 x Sales = 23,789,126
Sales = $10,957,681
Number of vaccines that must be sold = $10,957,681/2.30 = 4,764,209
Trang 6Question #3 (16 marks)
You are considering a new product launch The project will cost $680,000 and will have a four year life and have no salvage value; depreciation is straight line
to zero Sales are projected at 160 units per year; price per unit will be $19,000; variable cost per unit will be $14,000 and fixed costs will be $150,000 per year The required return on the project is 15% and the relevant tax rate is 35%
Assume all sales, VC and FC are cash costs
a Based on your experience you think the unit sales, variable cost, and fixed cost projections given here are probably accurate to within +- 10% What are the upper and lower bounds for these projections? What is the base case NPV? What are the best case and worst case NPV scenarios? (5 marks)
b Evaluate the sensitivity of your base case NPV to changes in fixed costs? (assume fixed costs increase to $160,000) (4 marks)
c What is the cash flow break-even level of output (units) for this project (ignore taxes)? (2 mark)
d What is the accounting break even level of output (units) for this
project? What is the degree operating leverage at the accounting
break-even point? How do you interpret this number? (5 marks)
Trang 7Solution
a Sales = 160(1±0.10) = 176, 144; variable costs = $14,000(1±0.10) = $15,400,
$12,600
Fixed costs = $150,000(1±0.10) = $165,000, $135,000
Cash Flow (base) = [($19,000 – 14,000)(160) – $150,000](0.65) +
0.35($680,000/4) = $482,000
NPV(base) = –$680,000 + $482,000(PVIFA15%,4) = $696,099.57
Cash Flow (worst) = [($19,000 – 15,400)(144) – $165,000](0.65) +
0.35($680,000/4) = $289,210
NPV (worst) = –$680,000 + $289,210(PVIFA15%,4) = +$145,688.29
Cash Flow (best) = [($19,000 – 12,600)(176) – $135,000](0.65) +
0.35($680,000/4) = $703,910
NPV (best) = –$680,000 + $703,910(PVIFA15%,4) = $1,329,647.82
b If FC are $160,000:
Cash Flow = [($19,000 – 14,000)(160) – $160,000](0.65) + 0.35($680,000/4) =
$475,500
NPV = –$680,000 + $475,500(PVIFA15%,4) = $677,542.21
∆NPV/∆FC = ($677,542.21 – 696,099.57)/($160,000 – 150,000) = –1.856
For every dollar FC increase, NPV falls by $1.86
c Break Even Units (cash flow) = $150,000/($19,000 – 14,000) = 30
d Break Even Units (accounting) = [$150,000 + ($680,000/4)]/($19,000 – 14,000)
= 64
At this level of output, Degree of Operating Leverage = 1 +
($150,000/$170,000) = 1.8824 The interpretation is that for each 1% increase
in unit sales, Cash Flow will increase by 1.88%
Trang 8Question #4 ( 10 marks)
Consider the following information on three stocks
State of economy Probability state of Rate of return
Stock A Stock B Stock C
(a) If your portfolio is invested 40% each in A and B and 20% in C, what is the portfolio expected return? The Variance? The Standard Deviation? (4 marks)
(b) If the expected T-Bill rate is 3.80%, what is the expected risk premium on the portfolio? (2 mark)
(c) If the expected inflation rate is 3.5%, what are the approximate and exact expected real returns on the portfolio? What are the approximate and exact expected real risk premiums on the portfolio? (4 marks)
Trang 9solution
(a) Boom: E[R] = 4(.20) + 4(.35) + 2(.60) = 34
Normal: E[R] = 4(.15) + 4(.12) + 2(.05) = 118
Bust: E[R] = 4(.01) + 4(–.25) + 2(–.50) = –.196
E[R] = 2(.34) + 5(.118) + 3(–.196) = 0682
σ2
p = 2(.34 – 0682)2 + 5(.118 – 0682)2 + 3(–.196 – 0682)2 = 036956
σp = [.036956]1/2 = 1922
(b) Risk Premium = E[R] – Rf = 0682 – 038 = 0302
(c) Approximate expected real return = E[R] – inflation rate = 0682 – 035 = 0332
Exact expected real return E[Real] = (1 + E[R])/(1 + inflation rate]) - 1 ;
E[real] = [1.0682/1.035] – 1 = 0321
Approximate expected real risk premium = 0.0302 – 0.0350 = - 0.0048
Exact expected real risk premium = 1.0302 / 1.035 – 1 = - 0.0046
Trang 10Question #5 (12 marks)
Assume that you wanted to invest your hard earned money , $1 million total, into stocks of three companies (Tangier Corp., Lofalo Inc & Yinta Ltd.) and in a risk free instrument such as a T-bill The 3 stocks together have the same level of risk as the average stock in the market place
(a) If you invest $200,000 in Tangier with a Beta of 0.8 and $400,000 in Lofalo
with a Beta of 1.2 and if Yinta has a Beta of 1.3 how much will you invest
in Yinta and in T-Bills? (4 marks)
(b) Assume that the stocks of the 3 companies are on the Security Market
Line The prevailing T-bill rate is 5% and the average market rate of
return is 8% What is the rate of return on each stock? (4 marks)
(c) If there was another stock selling at $25 (Beta of 2) with an expected
dividend of $2 and a growth rate of 6% Based on the CAPM, is this stock priced correctly? Explain your answer (4 marks)
Trang 11Solution
(a) Portfolio Beta of 3 Stocks = 1 (same as the market risk)
923 , 276 000 , 000 , 1 2769 0
276923
0 1
1
=
×
=
=
−
−
=
= +
+
=
Y
Y
L L T T Y
Y Y L L T T
V
β
β ω β ω ω
β ω β ω β ω β
The amount to be invested in the risk-free rate asset is
1,000,000 – 200,000 – 400,000 – 276,923 = 123,077
(b) Using the CAPM equation of R(e) = Rf + Beta (Rm – Rf)
R(Tangier) = 0.05 + 0.8 (0.08 – 0.05) = 7.4%
R(Lofalo) = 0.05 + 1.2 (0.08 – 0.05) = 8.6%
R(Yinta) = 0.05 + 1.3 (0.08 – 0.05) = 8.9%
(c) The return implied by the stock price is 14%
0
1 + =
P
Div
implied by the CAPM is E(r)=r f +β(r m −r f)=11% Since the stock’s rate of return would be too high relative to the CAPM, its current price must be too low Therefore the stock is undervalued
Trang 12Question #6 (14 marks)
Five years ago, Cocoa Corp issued $45,000,000 of 20-year 7% bonds The yield
to maturity on these debts today is 6% The face value per bond is $1,000 Coupons are paid semi-annually The firm also has 250,000 shares of 4.5% preferred stocks outstanding with a total par value of $7,500,000 The current yield on these preferred stocks is 5% today Finally, the firm has 3,000,000 shares of common stocks outstanding, which just paid $0.75 dividend per share The firm’s common stocks have a beta of 1.5 The annual sustainable growth rate of the firm’s earnings and dividends is 3% The risk-free rate is 3.5% and the rate of return on the market portfolio is 12% The firm pays taxes at a rate of 35% Compute Cocoa’s WACC
Solution
Bonds:
The market price of bond today is:
$1,098
) 03 0 1 (
000 , 1 ]
) 03 0 1 ( 03 0
1 03
0
1 [ 35
$
) r (1
Value Face ]
) 1 (
1 1
[
30 30
t debt debt
debt debt
=
+
+ +
−
×
=
+
+ +
−
×
B
r r
r C
P
The number of bonds issued = $45,000,000/$1,000 = 45,000
So the total market value of bonds is: D = 45,000 × $1,098 = $49,410,099.30
Preferred stocks:
The par value of each preferred stock = $7,500,000/250,000 = $30
The annual dividend paid on each preferred stock = $30 × 4.5% = $1.35
So the market price of preferred stock per share = $1.35/0.05 = $27, and the total market value of preferred stocks is: P = 250,000 × $27 = $6,750,000
Common stocks:
Using the CAPM, we can calculate the cost of common stocks as:
%
25 16
%) 5 3
% 12 ( 5 1
% 5 3 ) (
equity =r f + r m −r f = + × − =
Using the DDM, we can compute today’s common stock price as:
83 5
% 3
% 25 16
%) 3 1 ( 75 0 DIV
equity
1
−
+
×
=
−
=
g r
Therefore, the total market value of common stocks is:
E = 3,000,000 × $5.83 = $17,490,566.04
Trang 13Cocoa Corp.’s total market value is:
V = D + P +E = $(49,410,099.30 + 6,750,000 + 17,490,566.04) = $73,650,665.34
The weights of each security are: D/V = 0.6709, P/V = 0.0916, and E/V = 0.2375
0693 0
] 1625 0 2375 0 [ ] 05 0 0916 0 [ ] 06 0 ) 35 0 1 ( 6709 0 [
] [
] [
] ) 1 ( [
=
× +
× +
×
−
×
=
× +
× +
−
×
V
E r
V
P r
T V
D
c
So Cocoa Corp.’s WACC is about 6.93%
Trang 14Question #7 (20 marks)
To compete with Apple’s new i-Phone, Motorola is planning on unveiling its
M-phone, a smart phone that include voice, internet access, unlimited data and a
new feature that allows users to scroll through their voicemail in an inbox like
The Motorola marketing department estimates annual sales of 150,000, 250,000,
80,000 and 30,000 units for years one to four respectively and which time, the
life cycle will end Pricing will be aggressive Motorola will sell the M-phone at a
price of $490 in the first year and then reduce it by $70 a year to appeal to the
mass markets Fixed costs are $3.2 million annually and variable costs are
estimated at 35% of the selling price In addition, the Motorola accounting
department will allocate general overhead of $2 million annually
The manufacturing equipment will cost $30 million, $4 million to
transport and another $1 million to install and falls into the class 8 (CCA
rate = 20%) pool along with other equipment After Year 4 there will still be class
8 assets remaining in the pool and the half-year rule applies At the end of the
project, the equipment can be sold as salvage for $75,000 Initial net working
capital (NWC) investment is forecast to be $1.5 million (today) and is expected to
decrease by $200,000 in each year from year 1 to year 4 It is estimated that
there will be a complete recovery of net working capital in year 5
R&D for this machine has been steep costing $20 million over the past two years
and expected additional $5 million in R&D is expected to be incurred in year one
before launching the multi-language version outside of the USA The M-phone
will be manufactured in China in a manufacturing plant already owned by
Motorola and currently vacant The plant cost $4.0 million two years ago and has
a current market value of $12.5 million Unfortunately, as consumers buy the
M-phone, Motorola expects profits of existing products, will be reduced by $2.5
million annually during the M-phone product life cycle Motorola pays corporate
taxes at the marginal rate of 36% and the CFO requires that all projects
worldwide earn at least 7% above its weighted average cost of capital
In addition you are given the following financial information:
Motorola Balance Sheet ( Book Value in $millions)
Cash & short-term securities $10 Bonds 8% coupon (paid semi-annually),
Maturity = 10 years, current YTM = 9% $40
Accounts receivable 30 Preferred Stock (par value = $20/share) 20
Inventories 70 Common Stock 50
Plant & Equipment 110 Retained Earnings 110
Total Assets $220 Total liabilities & net worth $220