3 People focus on the triple bottom line 4 Innovation, cost leadership, pricing Agenda... 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2016EMature Markets Emerging Markets World Strong fundamental gl
Trang 1Bellevue meets Management 2012
Thomas Aebischer – CFO
Managing growth in a two speed economy
January 13, 2012
Trang 23 People focus on the triple bottom line
4 Innovation, cost leadership, pricing
Agenda
Trang 32007 2008 2009 2010 2011E 2012E 2016E
Mature Markets Emerging Markets World
Strong fundamental global growth drivers
• Emerging markets drive the global
Source: United Nations (World Urbanization Prospects & World Population Prospects - 2011)
Trang 4Demographics positively impact economic
structures and demand
Low demand
Low savings
Lacking investments
Increasing demand Growing savings rate Increasing investments
Mass consumption High savings rate Peaking investments
Softening demand outlook Declining savings rate Refurbishment
Stationary
High fertility rate
High youth base
Developing Falling fertility rate Declining youth base
Mature Negative fertility rate Youth ~ retirees
Ageing Shrinking active population Youth < retirees
China
USA Russia
Mexico
India
Spain
Switzerland Brazil
Canada
Indonesia Chile
Source: United Nations (World Urbanization Prospects & World Population Prospects, 2011)
Germany
Trang 6By 2020 the global construction market is
expected to grow by 67%
• In 2010 the global construction market
was valued at around USD 7.2 trillion
• Mature markets outweigh emerging
markets
• In 2020 the global constructionmarket is expected to reach someUSD 12 trillion
• Emerging markets outweighmature markets
Source: Global Construciton 2020 (Oxford Economics, 2011)
Trang 7Source: Nominal GDP per Capita (at PPP) in USD: International Monetary Fund, World Economic Outlook Database, September 2011; Population: IMF
Trang 83 People focus on the triple bottom line
4 Innovation, cost leadership, pricing
Agenda
Trang 9• Capacity expansion was strongly driven in emerging markets
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Europe North America Latin America Africa Middle East Asia Pacific
Trang 10Sources: Holcim, US Census Bureau, Datastream - Economist Intelligence Unit, November 2011
GDP per capita (at PPP) CAGR 2010 - 2015E
Cumulated population
Growth 2010 - 2015E
Western Europe 27.0 Mt
Eastern Europe 23.9 Mt
Africa Middle East 27.2 Mt
Mature markets Emerging markets
Size of circles represents influenced capacity 2010
North America 23.2 Mt
India 54.0 Mt
China 54.7 Mt
Asia Pacific excl
India, Oceania, China
46.3 Mt
Latin America 36.6 Mt
Demand growth
Oceania 4.9 Mt
Trang 11Positioning the aggregates market portfolio to
capture opportunities along the value chain
Africa Middle East
2.5 Mt
Latin America 12.2 Mt
North America 39.2 Mt
Asia excl
Oceania 3.2 Mt
Size of circles represents consolidated sales volumes 2010
Eastern Europe 8.2 Mt
Demand growth
GDP per capita (at PPP) CAGR 2010 - 2015E
Cumulated population
Growth 2010 - 2015E
Sources: Holcim, US Census Bureau, Datastream - Economist Intelligence Unit, November 2011
Oceania 23.2 Mt
Trang 123 People focus on the triple bottom line
4 Innovation, cost leadership, pricing
Agenda
Trang 13Energy management starts with our sustainability culture and ends with the values of our people
Specific Gross and net direct CO2 emissions Clinker factor
Each employee is an ambassador of our sustainability culture
kg CO2 / tonne cement Improvement % / Average % of clinker cement
Trang 14Handling energy cost inflation
World Primary Energy Demand
Fossil Fuel Price Development
Source: International Energy Agency (IEA) Scenario, World Energy Outlook 2011; Datastream
Fossil fuel prices based on New Policies Scenario
(not including CO2 costs)
Thermal Fuel 63%
Holcim Thermal Fuel Mix (2010)
Coal 57%
Natural gas 5%
Biomass 2%
Alt fossil fuels 10%
Shale/ lignite 5%
Heavy fuel 1%
Petcoke 20%
Trang 15Proactive energy management to mitigate cost
inflation
• Using the most efficient technology for new kiln capacity
• Efficiency improvement projects (e.g., waste heat recovery, multi-stage combustion chamber)
• Focus on delivered cost per unit and fuel diversification
• Invest in physical infrastructure and delivery systems
Excellence
in buying energy
Reduction
of Energy Intensity
Optimization
of Fuel Mix
Proactive energy management
Vertical integration into sources
• Increase replacement of traditional by alternative fuels
• Invest in fuel flexibility and switching
• Vertical integration with coal and captive power
• Focus on renewable primary energies (e.g., wind)
• Take best practices and replicate / transfer knowledge
• Leverage global trading group scale and cost certainty
Trang 16Cost reduction through innovation
New
• Better cost management will continue to
focus on networking our assets and
renewable energy initiatives
• The Waste Heat Recovery (WHR) system at
Untervaz represents 15% of the plant’s
electricity consumption – 10.5 GWh/a
• The WHR installation produces electrical
power without additional CO2 emissions – a
renewable power generation system
Trang 173 People focus on the triple bottom line
4 Innovation, cost leadership, pricing
Agenda
Trang 18Paving the way into the future with innovation
offers new opportunities to leverage service and tailor-made
solutions
- London 2012 Olympic Village
- Affordable housing in Indonesia
- NEAT Alpentransit project
- Low cost housing system
23%
Ordinary Portland cement
30%
Composite cement
Standardized affordable building solution – Holcim Indonesia
Eco-efficiency
Trang 20• Pricing momentum will continue while the cost curve will bend – a positive inflection point
• Continued cost management and operating leverage will lead to margin
expansion and cash flow generation
Focusing on pricing while keeping costs low
Positive margin inflection point
Margin expansion
10 year period from 2001 to 2010
Percentages calculated as year over year change in average selling price and cost based in CHF
Trang 213 People focus on the triple bottom line
4 Innovation, cost leadership, pricing
Agenda
Trang 22Generating cash flow at different speeds while
continuously seeking efficiency gains
(CAGR: 0.5%) (CAGR: 5.3%)
• The operating EBITDA increased by 3.4% (CAGR) between 2001 and 2010
on a group level with the emerging markets strongly driving this growth
• Efficiency gains were continuously focused on - a reduction of net working capital / sales reaching roughly 4% in 2010 (2001: just below 12%) and a fixed cost reduction in 2009 and 2010 of nearly CHF 1.2 billion
0 1'000 2'000 3'000 4'000 5'000 6'000 7'000
Trang 23• Mature markets: Cash flow generation coming from a mix of volume growth, improving pricing, cost savings, ongoing focus on efficiency improvements and an increase in capacity utilization rates
• Emerging markets: Strong volume growth from new capacities combined with good pricing will offset cost challenges and together with a clear focus
on efficiency increases result in a strong level of cash flow generation
Trang 24Contact information and event calendar
Event calendar
February 29, 2012 Press and analyst conference for
the annual results for 2011 April 17, 2012 General meeting of shareholders May 9, 2012 First quarter results for 2012 August 15, 2012 Half year results for 2012 November 7, 2012 Press and analyst conference for
the third quarter results for 2012
Trang 25Disclaimer
Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements
This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements
relating to the Group’s future business, development and economic performance
Such statements may be subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors, such as but not limited to (1) competitive pressures; (2) legislative and regulatory developments; (3) global,
macroeconomic and political trends; (4) fluctuations in currency
exchange rates and general financial market conditions; (5) delay or inability in obtaining approvals from authorities; (6) technical
developments; (7) litigation; (8) adverse publicity and news
coverage, which could cause actual development and results to differ materially from the statements made in this presentation Holcim
assumes no obligation to update or alter forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.