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Luận văn : ẢNH HƯỞNG CỦA MỘT SỐ NHÂN TỐ SINH THÁI ĐẾN CÂY HỌ SAO - DẦU (Dipterocarpaceae) TRONG KIỂU RỪNG KÍN THƯỜNG XANH VÀ NỬA RỤNG LÁ ẨM NHIỆT ĐỚI Ở ĐỒNG NAI part 9 potx

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Phân tích thống kê bắt gặp và không bắt gặp loài cây họ Sao - Dầu trong các trạng thái rừng.. 1 Dầu song nàng giai đoạn tái sinh DSN-TS Tests of Independence Test Statistic Df P-Value

Trang 1

Mean 18.02995 0.0275784 12.47438 0.2095885 Count 219 219 219 219

Standard Deviation 13.752663 0.0422812 3.6779376 0.4078497 Standard deviation 8,97445 4,22507 0,031913 0,294562 Sample Variance 189.13573 0.0017877 13.527225 0.1663414 Coeff of variation 51,49% 34,94% 105,87% 136,76% Kurtosis 13.042771 27.695807 6.1168128 30.05685 Standard error 0,606437 0,285504 0,002156 0,019905

Standard deviation 13,9079 4,16278 0,078163 0,784605 Standard deviation 21,4031 6,1694 0,174417 2,12059 Coeff of variation 70,64% 35,42% 171,56% 219,84% Coeff of variation 73,76% 43,06% 171,16% 212,44% Standard error 0,854353 0,255717 0,004801 0,048198 Standard error 1,44629 0,416889 0,011786 0,143296

Trang 2

Phụ lục 2 Phân tích thống kê bắt gặp và không bắt gặp loài cây họ Sao - Dầu

trong các trạng thái rừng

(1) Dầu song nàng giai đoạn tái sinh (DSN-TS)

Tests of Independence

Test Statistic Df P-Value

Chi-Squared 30,957 3 0,0000

Summary Statistics

(2) Dầu song nàng cấp tuổi 1 (DSN1)

Tests of Independence

Test Statistic Df P-Value

Chi-Squared 19.631 3 0.0002

Summary Statistics

With Rows With Columns Statistic Value P-Value Df Statistic Symmetric Dependent Dependent Contingency Coeff 0.2990

Lambda 0.1222 0.1127 0.1267 Cramer's V 0.3133

Uncertainty Coeff 0.0484 0.0758 0.0356 Pearson's R 0.3037 0.0000 198

Somer's D 0.2691 0.2167 0.3548 Kendall's Tau b 0.2773 0.0000

(3) Dầu song nàng cấp tuổi 2 (DSN2)

Tests of Independence

Test Statistic Df P-Value

Chi-Squared 16.913 3 0.0007

Summary Statistics

With Rows With Columns Statistic Value P-Value Df Statistic Symmetric Dependent Dependent Contingency Coeff 0.2792

Lambda 0.1496 0.1905 0.1267 Cramer's V 0.2908

Uncertainty Coeff 0.0411 0.0624 0.0306 Pearson's R 0.1722 0.0148 198

Somer's D 0.1536 0.1267 0.1950 Kendall's Tau b 0.1572 0.0152

(4) Dầu song nàng giai đoạn trưởng thành (DCR-TT)

Tests of Independence

Test Statistic Df P-Value

With Rows With Columns Statistic Value P-Value Df Statistic Symmetric Dependent Dependent Contingency Coeff 0,2680

Lambda 0,1253 0,1548 0,1100 Cramer's V 0,2782

Uncertainty Coeff 0,0371 0,0571 0,0275 Conditional Gamma 0,3525

Somer's D 0,2103 0,1717 0,2712 Pearson's R 0,2364 0,0000 398

Kendall's Tau c 0,2575

Trang 3

Chi-Squared 49,836 3 0,0000

Summary Statistics

With Rows With Columns Statistic Value P-Value Df Statistic Symmetric Dependent Dependent Contingency Coeff 0,4466

Lambda 0,2311 0,3226 0,1933 Cramer's V 0,4992

Uncertainty Coeff 0,1211 0,1962 0,0876 Conditional Gamma 0,6619

Somer's D 0,3906 0,3067 0,5376 Pearson's R 0,4448 0,0000 198

Kendall's Tau c 0,4600 (5) Dầu con rái giai đoạn tái sinh (DSN-TS)

Tests of Independence

Test Statistic Df P-Value

Chi-Squared 21,754 3 0,0001

Summary Statistics

With Rows With Columns Statistic Value P-Value Df Statistic Symmetric Dependent Dependent Contingency Coeff 0,2271

Lambda 0,1303 0,1885 0,0933 Cramer's V 0,2332

Uncertainty Coeff 0,0264 0,0397 0,0198 Conditional Gamma 0,3117

Somer's D 0,1902 0,1583 0,2380 Pearson's R 0,2126 0,0000 398

Kendall's Tau c 0,2375 (6) Dầu con rái cấp tuổi 1 (DCR1)

Tests of Independence

Test Statistic Df P-Value

Chi-Squared 13.600 3 0.0035

Summary Statistics

With Rows With Columns Statistic Value P-Value Df Statistic Symmetric Dependent Dependent Contingency Coeff 0.2523

Lambda 0.1600 0.2600 0.0933 Cramer's V 0.2608

Uncertainty Coeff 0.0331 0.0496 0.0248 Pearson's R 0.2415 0.0006 198 Somer's D 0.2160 0.1800 0.2700 Kendall's Tau b 0.2205 0.0007

(7) Dầu con rái cấp tuổi 2 (DCR2)

Tests of Independence

Test Statistic Df P-Value

Chi-Squared 9.900 3 0.0194

Summary Statistics

With Rows With Columns Statistic Value P-Value Df

Trang 4

Statistic Symmetric Dependent Dependent Contingency Coeff 0.2172

Lambda 0.1120 0.1319 0.1000 Cramer's V 0.2225

Uncertainty Coeff 0.0241 0.0363 0.0180 Pearson's R 0.1841 0.0091 198 Somer's D 0.1645 0.1367 0.2067 Kendall's Tau b 0.1681 0.0094

(8) Dầu con rái giai đoạn trưởng thành (DCR-TT)

Tests of Independence

Test Statistic Df P-Value

Chi-Squared 8.101 3 0.0440

Summary Statistics

With Rows With Columns Statistic Value P-Value Df Statistic Symmetric Dependent Dependent Contingency Coeff 0.1973

Lambda 0.0633 0.0282 0.0800 Cramer's V 0.2013

Uncertainty Coeff 0.0194 0.0303 0.0142 Pearson's R 0.1636 0.0207 198 Somer's D 0.1449 0.1167 0.1911 Kendall's Tau b 0.1493 0.0210

(9) Vên vên giai đoạn tái sinh (VeV-TS)

Tests of Independence

Test Statistic Df P-Value

Chi-Squared 23,974 3 0,0000

Summary Statistics

With Rows With Columns Statistic Value P-Value Df Statistic Symmetric Dependent Dependent Contingency Coeff 0,2378

Uncertainty Coeff 0,0305 0,0463 0,0227 Conditional Gamma 0,2951

Somer's D 0,1778 0,1467 0,2258 Pearson's R 0,1993 0,0001 398

Kendall's Tau c 0,2200 (10) Vên vên cấp tuổi 1 (VeV1)

Tests of Independence

Test Statistic Df P-Value

Chi-Squared 11.987 3 0.0074

Summary Statistics

With Rows With Columns Statistic Value P-Value Df Statistic Symmetric Dependent Dependent Contingency Coeff 0.2378

Lambda 0.0855 0.0476 0.1067 Cramer's V 0.2448

Uncertainty Coeff 0.0305 0.0463 0.0227 Pearson's R 0.1993 0.0047 198 Somer's D 0.1778 0.1467 0.2258 Kendall's Tau b 0.1820 0.0049

Trang 5

Eta 0.2448 0.1993 Kendall's Tau c 0.2200

(11) Vên vên cấp tuổi 2 (VeV2)

Tests of Independence

Test Statistic Df P-Value

Chi-Squared 8.480 3 0.0371

Summary Statistics

With Rows With Columns Statistic Value P-Value Df Statistic Symmetric Dependent Dependent Contingency Coeff 0.2017

Lambda 0.1240 0.1800 0.0867 Cramer's V 0.2059

Uncertainty Coeff 0.0207 0.0310 0.0155 Pearson's R 0.1968 0.0052 198 Somer's D 0.1760 0.1467 0.2200 Kendall's Tau b 0.1796 0.0055

(12) Vên vên giai đoạn trưởng thành (VeV-TT)

Tests of Independence

Test Statistic Df P-Value

Chi-Squared 12.014 3 0.0073

Summary Statistics

With Rows With Columns Statistic Value P-Value Df Statistic Symmetric Dependent Dependent Contingency Coeff 0.2380

Lambda 0.1126 0.1235 0.1067 Cramer's V 0.2451

Uncertainty Coeff 0.0291 0.0444 0.0216 Pearson's R 0.2050 0.0036 198 Somer's D 0.1826 0.1500 0.2334 Kendall's Tau b 0.1871 0.0038

Trang 6

Phục lục 3 Phân tích sai khác về xác suất bắt gặp cây họ Sao – Dầu trong

các trạng thái rừng (1) Dầu song nàng cấp tuổi 1 (DSN1)

Dependent variable: DSN1 Factors: IIB; IIIA1; IIIA2;

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 19,7162 3 0,0002 Residual 240,479 196 0,0166 Total (corr.) 260,195 199

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 7,57748 Adjusted percentage = 4,50286

(2) Dầu song nàng cấp tuổi 2 (DSN2)

Dependent variable: DSN2 Factors: IIB; IIIA1; IIIA2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 16,9697 3 0,0007 Residual 255,147 196 0,0029 Total (corr.) 272,117 199

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 6,23618 Adjusted percentage = 3,29626

(3) Dầu song nàng giai đoạn tái sinh (DSN-TS)

Dependent variable: DSN_TS Factors: IIB; IIIA1; IIIA2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 30,4702 3 0,0000 Residual 503,623 396 0,0002 Total (corr.) 534,093 399

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 5,70503 Adjusted percentage = 4,20717

(4) Dầu song nàng giai đoạn trưởng thành (DSN-TT)

Dependent variable: DSN_TT Factors: IIB; IIIA1; IIIA2

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT 1,38629 0,353553

IIB -1,70907 0,455084 0,181034

IIIA1 -0,980829 0,456435 0,375

IIIA2 -0,233615 0,484406 0,791667

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

IIB 15,6802 1 0,0001

IIIA1 4,83145 1 0,0279

IIIA2 0,233357 1 0,6290

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT 0,489548 0,291358

IIB -1,15284 0,417152 0,315738

IIIA1 0,454913 0,429053 1,57604

IIIA2 0,0858159 0,414361 1,08961

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

IIB 7,95943 1 0,0048

IIIA1 1,13398 1 0,2869

IIIA2 0,042904 1 0,8359

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT 0,895384 0,220373

IIB -1,38493 0,301677 0,250341

IIIA1 -0,23209 0,305168 0,792875

IIIA2 -0,0480862 0,310131 0,953052

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

IIB 22,3935 1 0,0000

IIIA1 0,579765 1 0,4464

IIIA2 0,0240422 1 0,8768

Trang 7

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 48,5887 3 0,0000 Residual 199,052 196 0,4258 Total (corr.) 247,64 199

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 19,6207 Adjusted percentage = 16,3902

Phụ lục 4 Phân tích ảnh hưởng của độ ẩm đất (X1) đến XS bắt gặp dầu song nàng

(1) Dầu song nàng cấp tuổi 1 – (DSN1)

Dependent variable: DSN1 Factors: X1; X1^2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 81.8469 2 0.0000 Residual 178.348 197 0.8257 Total (corr.) 260.195 199

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 31.456 Adjusted percentage = 29.15

(2) Dầu song nàng cấp tuổi 2 - (DSN2)

Dependent variable: DSN2 Factors: X1; X1^2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 62.6805 2 0.0000 Residual 209.436 197 0.2587 Total (corr.) 272.117 199

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 23.0344 Adjusted percentage = 20.8295

(3) Dầu song nàng tái sinh DSN-TS (D1,3 < 10 Cm)

Dependent variable: DSN_TS Factors: X1; X1^2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT 1,99243 0,435144

IIB -2,83973 0,533468 0,0584416

IIIA1 -0,946462 0,541572 0,388112

IIIA2 -0,334202 0,581512 0,715909

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

IIB 37,5928 1 0,0000

IIIA1 3,2464 1 0,0716

IIIA2 0,33321 1 0,5638

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT -24.5775 4.05572

X1 0.773494 0.118686 2.16733

X1^2 -0.00551618 0.000825273 0.994499

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

X1 81.7878 1 0.0000

X1^2 81.0747 1 0.0000

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT -22.8016 4.13493

X1 0.678369 0.116617 1.97066

X1^2 -0.00469379 0.000793476 0.995317

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

X1 61.5911 1 0.0000

X1^2 58.7672 1 0.0000

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

Trang 8

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 140.864 2 0.0000 Residual 393.229 397 0.5440 Total (corr.) 534.093 399

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 26.3744 Adjusted percentage = 25.251

(4) Dầu song nàng trưởng thành – (DSN-TT)

Dependent variable: DSN_TT Factors: X1; X1^2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 87.1993 2 0.0000 Residual 160.441 197 0.9735 Total (corr.) 247.64 199

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 35.2121 Adjusted percentage = 32.7892

Phụ lục 5 Phân tích ảnh hưởng của độ ẩm (X1) đất đến XS bắt gặp dầu con rái

(1) Đối với cấp tuổi 1 – (DCR1)

Dependent variable: DCR1 Factors: X1; X1^2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 43,2973 2 0,0000 Residual 233,962 197 0,0367 Total (corr.) 277,259 199

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 15,6162 Adjusted percentage = 13,4521

(2) Đối với cấp tuổi 2 – (DCR2)

Dependent variable: DCR2 Factors: X1; X1^2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 64,8431 2 0,0000 Residual 210,794 197 0,2380 Total (corr.) 275,637 199

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 23,5249 Adjusted percentage = 21,3481

(3) Đối với toàn bộ giai đoạn tái sinh- (DCR-TS)

CONSTANT -23.1968 2.83619

X1 0.710365 0.0814086 2.03473

X1^2 -0.00499408 0.000560047 0.995018

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

X1 140.529 1 0.0000

X1^2 136.765 1 0.0000

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT -32.6294 5.77874

X1 0.93734 0.161188 2.55318

X1^2 -0.00622302 0.00107703 0.993796

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

X1 69.4822 1 0.0000

X1^2 61.0774 1 0.0000

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT -15,3083 3,05692

X1 0,47594 0,0888992 1,60953

X1^2 -0,00344932 0,000624218 0,996557

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

X1 42,5029 1 0,0000

X1^2 43,2931 1 0,0000

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT -24,1987 4,35779

X1 0,714328 0,121998 2,04281

X1^2 -0,00494821 0,000826888 0,995064

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

X1 64,3402 1 0,0000

X1^2 62,1027 1 0,0000

Trang 9

Dependent variable: DCR1 Factors: X1; X1^2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 103,691 2 0,0000 Residual 450,017 397 0,0338 Total (corr.) 553,707 399

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 18,7266 Adjusted percentage = 17,643

(4) Đối với giai đoạn trưởng thành – (DCR-TT)

Dependent variable: DCR-TT Factors: X1; X1^2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 73,8644 2 0,0000 Residual 186,33 197 0,6964 Total (corr.) 260,195 199

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 28,3881 Adjusted percentage = 26,0821

Phụ lục 6 Phân tích ảnh hưởng của độ ẩm đất (X1) đến xác suất bắt gặp vên vên

(1) Đối với cấp tuổi 1 – (VeV1)

Dependent variable: VeV1 Factors: X1; X1^2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 51,4497 2 0,0000 Residual 220,667 197 0,1188 Total (corr.) 272,117 199

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 18,9072 Adjusted percentage = 16,7023

(2) Đối với cấp tuổi 2 – (VeV2)

Dependent variable: VeV2 Factors: X1; X1^2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 50,5244 2 0,0000 Residual 226,734 197 0,0719 Total (corr.) 277,259 199

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT -18,8162 2,53075

X1 0,569649 0,07218 1,76765

X1^2 -0,00403181 0,000497879 0,995976

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

X1 103,674 1 0,0000

X1^2 102,434 1 0,0000

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT -26,1748 4,57432

X1 0,779054 0,129529 2,17941

X1^2 -0,00533905 0,000879134 0,994675

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

X1 70,0998 1 0,0000

X1^2 65,3319 1 0,0000

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT -24,7189 4,95851

X1 0,699556 0,135447 2,01286

X1^2 -0,00478948 0,000905366 0,995222

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

X1 51,033 1 0,0000

X1^2 49,3277 1 0,0000

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT -21,4455 4,24101

X1 0,617985 0,117531 1,85519

X1^2 -0,00423036 0,000792264 0,995779

Trang 10

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 18,2228 Adjusted percentage = 16,0588

(3) Đối với toàn bộ giai đoạn tái sinh (VeV-TS)

Dependent variable: VeV-TS Factors: X1; X1^2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 101,019 2 0,0000 Residual 450,936 397 0,0316 Total (corr.) 551,955 399

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 18,3021 Adjusted percentage = 17,215

(4) Đối với giai đoạn trưởng thành (VeV-TT)

Dependent variable: VeV – TT Factors: X1; X1^2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 59,3543 2 0,0000 Residual 210,64 197 0,2402 Total (corr.) 269,995 199

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 21,9835 Adjusted percentage = 19,7612

Phụ lục 7 Phân tích ảnh hưởng của độ pH đất (X2) đến XS bắt gặp dầu song nàng

(1) Đối với cấp tuổi 1 (DSN1)

Dependent variable: DSN1 Factors: X2; X2^2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Analysis of Deviance

Source Deviance Df P-Value

Model 153,346 2 0,0000 Residual 106,848 197 1,0000 Total (corr.) 260,195 199

Likelihood Ratio Tests

Percentage of deviance explained by model = 58,9352 Adjusted percentage = 56,6292

(2) Đối với cấp tuổi 2 (DSN2)

Dependent variable: DSN2 Factors: X2; X2^2

Estimated Regression Model (Maximum Likelihood)

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

X1 49,202 1 0,0000

X1^2 46,6542 1 0,0000

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT -22,7333 3,20655

X1 0,649063 0,0882188 1,91375

X1^2 -0,00444417 0,000592165 0,995566

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

X1 99,4116 1 0,0000

X1^2 95,1794 1 0,0000

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT -22,898 4,35187

X1 0,662776 0,121271 1,94017

X1^2 -0,00447431 0,000816819 0,995536

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

X1 53,819 1 0,0000

X1^2 49,1292 1 0,0000

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT -30,9074 5,20799

X2 12,153 1,81705 189654,

X2^2 -1,0933 0,154302 0,335109

Factor Chi-Squared Df P-Value

X2 146,248 1 0,0000

X2^2 152,716 1 0,0000

Standard Estimated Parameter Estimate Error Odds Ratio

CONSTANT -27,1564 5,41892

Ngày đăng: 28/07/2014, 16:21

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