Holcim at a Glance Macro Economic Development and the impact for the cement industry Merger between Holcim and Lafarge First quarter 2014 results Outlook 2014 – Conclusions... China *Sou
Trang 1CS Building Sector Seminar
Michel R Gerber, Senior Investor Relations Officer
Swetlana Iodko, Investor Relations Officer
Trang 3Holcim at a glance
130 cement plants around 200 limestone quarries / 450 aggregates operations
1’150 RMX plants in the world
> 70’000 employees
over 5’000 own RMX trucks / more than 3’000 subcontracted over 1’600’000’000 cement bags sold Presence on all five continents and in around 70 countries
2013 Net sales of CHF 19.7 bn and operating EBITDA of CHF 3.9 bn
Trang 4Holcim at a Glance
Macro Economic Development and the impact for the cement industry
Merger between Holcim and Lafarge
First quarter 2014 results
Outlook 2014 – Conclusions
Trang 5GDP at constant prices [annual % change]
2014 and 3.9% in 2015 (IMF April 2014)
• Major developed countries to expand simultaneously for the first time in several years
• Emerging markets, on balance, should perform better in 2014
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook April 2014
Change in GDP Forecast [January '14 to April'14]
Trang 6fundamental trends support our business …
The right place to be
Population
growth
Continued urbanization Economic growth
Trang 7Europe 37%
Asia
Pacific 30%
Latin America 8%
Africa Middle
East 14%
Europe 18%
North America 6%
Latin America 11%
Asia Pacific 38%
Africa Middle East 27%
Europe 13%
North America 5%
Latin America 10%
Asia Pacific 42%
Africa Middle East 29%
Cement demand Split Mature vs Emerging markets
Cement demand evolution by region, excl China
*Source: BMI, National cement associations, Holcim estimates
… resulting in long-term cement consumption growth driven
by emerging markets and recovery in Europe and US
Trang 8Regional Construction Market Growth Forecast [CAGR]
positive for the majority of the regional construction sectors, driven by sound fundamentals and mega-trends
GDP growth, growth projections for the sector are still strong
(CAGR) in construction spend is expected to be 6% for the period from
2013 to 2025
Oxford Economics remains positive on the long term
prospects of the global construction sector
Source: Oxford Economics - Global Construction Perspectives 2020 (March 2011) and 2025 (July 2013)
Trang 9China and North America will attract most of the additional construction spend, followed by Emerging Asia and India
• In nominal dollar terms, China, North America,
Emerging Asia and India are expected to attract
more than two thirds of global construction
spend
• China is a growth driver with more than a third of
2013-2025 value growth potential [36% TOT]
• North America is expected to regain momentum driven
by economic recovery and population growth [15% TOT]
• New Asian Tigers (Indonesia, South Korea, Vietnam and Philippines) is expected see significant growth over
the period - Indonesia is expected to become the
worlds third largest housing market [12% TOT]
• India considerable growth potential [9% of TOT]
• Latin America (excl Mexico) will grow at a relatively low rate [6% of TOT]
• Weak economic fundamentals in Western Europe and
stagnant population will result in low but stable growth [5% TOT]
• Eastern Europe (driven by Russia and Turkey) is expected to grow almost as much as India [8% TOT]
• Africa with significant growth rates, however small overall
Source: Oxford Economics - Global Construction Perspectives 2025 (July 2013)
Global Construction Market [2013-2025]
Trang 1060
17 26
26 11
19 3
5
68
4 12
7 11
Over the past 10 years Holcim invested about CHF 35 billion to establish a global
footprint unmatched in the industry
Well positioned to address growth in cement demand
Trang 11• Global footprint - the result of
organic and inorganic growth
initiatives
sufficient to cover CAPEX and
financial investments
ongoing projects sufficient for
growth without major new
investments
existing plants coupled with
ongoing cost reductions to vastly
improve ROIC
generation expected for coming
years
Value creation from our existing asset base
-5005001'5002'5003'5004'5005'5006'500
Cash flow from operating activities CAPEX Financial (de)/investments
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
In CHF million
Trang 12Holcim at a Glance
Macro Economic Development and the impact for the cement industry
Merger between Holcim and Lafarge
First quarter 2014 results
Outlook 2014 – Conclusions
Trang 13Geographical Complimentarity of Portfolios
Developed markets Total
# of countries 73 17 90
Note: pre-disposals, pre-group elimination, post regional elimination
Combined sales by region
(in billion)
3.8 3.2
100%
CHF 2.0 / EUR 1.7
3.3 5.2
Asia
61%
39%
CHF 8.6 / EUR 7.0
Trang 14Unique Value Proposition for Shareholders
Trang 15• Company domiciled in Switzerland
• Capitalise on developed markets recovery
• Divestments of assets representing CHF 6bn / EUR 5bn of sales
• 60% exposure to emerging markets post divestments
• No country above c 10% of sales
• Boards of both companies have unanimously approved the transaction
• Thomas Schmidheiny, GBL and NNS fully support the transaction
• Best growth platform in the industry and superior operating profitability
• CHF 1.7bn / EUR 1.4bn of run-rate synergies
• Strict capital allocation discipline and strong financial structure:
targeted solid Investment Grade credit ratings
• Attractive dividend payout policy
• Exchange ratio of 1 Holcim share for 1 Lafarge share
• Transaction closing expected in H1 2015
Trang 16Best-in-Class Portfolio for Growth
Emerging Markets
• 60% of pro forma sales
• 13 countries out of our Top 20 with strong infrastructure needs 2
• 6% CAGR for construction outputs expected until 2025 3
Developed Markets • 40% of pro forma sales
• Significant recovery potential
Eastern Europe
c. 40% Developed markets
Western Europe
Capturing the recovery in developed markets while ensuring long-term sustainable growth in emerging markets
1 Pro forma of divestments
2 Ranked below 50 in the World Economic Forum Global Competitiveness index for quality of overall infrastructure 2012-2013
3 Global Construction 2025 - A global forecast for the construction industry to 2025
Portfolio breakdown (2013 sales) 1
Trang 17Operational Synergies
» Operational optimisation / best practices
• E.g logistics, distribution, IT, energy consumption CHF 240 m / EUR 200 m
» Procurement
• Savings in overlapping countries
• Economies of scale in centralized procurement for
selected categories
» Selling, General and Administrative
» Innovation deployed on a larger scale
• Cross-fertilization of value-added product portfolios
CHF 410 m / EUR 340 m
CHF 300 m / EUR 250 m
CHF 240 m / EUR 200 m
CHF 1.2 bn / EUR 1.0 bn Total synergies at EBITDA level
Trang 18Financing & Cash Flow Synergies
» Financing savings CHF 120 m / EUR 100 m (from end of year 1)
Up to CHF 240 m / EUR 200 m (over time)
» Capital expenditures
• Best practice on maintenance capex
• Higher efficiency on expansion capex
» Working capital savings
• Sharing of best practices
CHF 250 m / EUR 200 m
CHF 500 m / EUR 410 m (over 3 years)
CHF 1.7 bn / EUR 1.4 bn Total synergies
Trang 19CHF 1.7 bn / EUR 1.4 bn run-rate synergies
Operational Synergies Financing Synergies Capex Synergies Implementation Costs Working Capital Savings
Trang 20Key Steps to Closing
Works Council
Consultations • Lafarge and Holcim Works Council consultations initiated immediately
Divestments • Process to start immediately
• After regulatory approvals:
Holcim EGM approvals
Launch public exchange offer
Transaction Closing expected in H1 2015
Trang 22• Like-for-like sales increase in all segments
improvement
operating EBITDA and further reduction in NWC
Czech Republic
advanced Group in the building materials industry
Q1 2014 Milestones
Trang 23Holcim Leadership Journey is on track
All figures in million CHF
3) Original amount w as projected < CHF 120 million for 2013; having spent already CHF 239 million, no additional restructuring cash costs are foreseen at this stage
achieved achieved Q1
2014
cum Target
achieved cumulative since 2012
1) The base line is the financial year 2011 amounting to CHF 2,308 million (excluding one-off charges 2011 of CHF 375 m and w ithout fluctuations in currency, changes
in scope of consolidation and similar market conditions) Adjusted for the sale of 25% of Cement Australia and Siam City Cement, the new base is CHF 2'193 million
2) Additional CAPEX net w ill come from prioritization of CAPEX based on the speed of the returns (ROIC)
Current energy fund of CHF 100 million w ill be maintained through the period 2012 - 2014
Trang 24Key financial figures
Trang 25Net sales by region
Trang 26Operating profit bridge
Q1 2014
Trang 27Operating profit by region
Trang 29• Holcim expects cement volumes to increase in all Group regions
• Aggregates volumes expected to remain flat overall as increases in Asia Pacific, Europe, North America, and Africa Middle East are
offset by negative volumes in Latin America
• Ready-mix concrete volumes also expected to increase in most
regions with the exception of Europe and Latin America
• Holcim expects that organic growth in operating profit can be
achieved in 2014
• The ongoing focus on the cost base coupled with all the benefits
expected from the Holcim Leadership Journey will lead to a further expansion in operating margins
Outlook for 2014
Trang 30• Cement consumption growth driven by emerging markets and
recovery in Europe and US
• Holcim with current footprint well positioned to address growth in
cement demand without adding any significant new capacities
• The proposed merger with Lafarge will add significant value for all stakeholders
• The unmatched global footprint of the combination between Holcim and Lafarge will lead to less additional capital for expansion and
therefore even more attractive returns to shareholders
• The ongoing focus on the cost base coupled with all the benefits
expected from the Holcim Leadership Journey will lead to a further expansion in operating margins in 2014 and beyond
Conclusions
Trang 31Contact information and event calendar