Infrastructure and public works Commercial and industrial Housing and residential Application by end markets Applications vary between mature and emerging markets... Housing markets are
Trang 1Exane BNP Paribas – 11 th European Seminar
Markus Akermann – CEO
June 11, 2009
© Herzog & de Meuron
Trang 2Agenda
1 Attractiveness of the industry
2 Challenges and management priorities
3 Conclusions
Trang 3Attractiveness of the heavy-side building materials
Housing and infrastructure are basic needs
Diverse customer base include private and public sector
Sustainable Development is our “license to operate”
Concrete is an attractive, eco-friendly product
The demand drivers and characteristics of our products
provide for continued growth and profitability
Trang 4The industry invests in physical assets
No process obsolescence risk
Products are not affected by short-term life-cycles
Limited substitution potential
Own raw material reserves
Inflation hedge (real value)
Plant and distribution network
Investments in real assets offer long term value
Trang 5Infrastructure and public works
Commercial and industrial
Housing and residential
Application by end markets
Applications vary between mature and emerging markets
Trang 7Housing markets are less dependent on financial markets and policies
Rural market demand is impacted by agricultural
productivity gains, crop yields and weather
Decreasing size of the average household
Rising income levels
Strong local brands
Rural and housing markets offer sound growth prospects
Trang 8Sources: Holcim, US Census Bureau, Economist Intelligence Unit
GDP per capita (at PPP) CAGR 08-13E
Cumulated population
growth 08-13E
Mature markets Emerging markets
Size of circles represents influenced capacity 2008
Western Europe 25.9 Mt
Eastern Europe 23.1 Mt
Africa Middle East 23.6 Mt
North America 21.3 Mt
India 44.6 Mt
China 38.5 Mt
Asia Pacific excl India and China
America 39.0 Mt
Cement – market positioning to capture growth
Demand growth
Trang 9Latin America 13.4 Mt
North America 49.3 Mt
Asia 4.7 Mt
GDP per capita (at PPP) CAGR 08-13E
Mature markets Emerging markets
Size of circles represents consolidated sales volumes 2008
Sources: Holcim, US Census Bureau, Economist Intelligence Unit
Eastern Europe 11.5 Mt
Aggregates – counterweight in mature markets
Demand growth
Trang 101OCMS – Other Construction Materials and Services
Estimated replacement cost / tonne of approximately CHF 300
151 plants with a total capacity of 194 million tonnes
Product sales volume of 143 million tonnes
Segment revenue of CHF 16.2 billion
415 operations
Product sales volume of 168 million tonnes
Segment revenue of CHF 2.5 billion
1,217 ready-mix concrete plants
Product sales volume of 48 million m 3 of ready-mix and
13 million tonnes of asphalt
Segment revenue of CHF 9.4 billion
Full year consolidation 2008
Trang 11Agenda
1 Attractiveness of the industry
2 Challenges and management priorities
3 Conclusions
Trang 12 The first global economic contraction since WWII
Holcim will benefit from both resilience in the emerging market
as well as infrastructure spending from the stimulus packages
Declining volumes in mature markets
Slowing growth rates in emerging markets
Cost cutting initiatives in all segments and regions
Impact from stimulus programs within the next two years
Geographic diversification strategy proving its strength
Trang 13Annual GDP growth in percentage points
Relative to previous crises and slowdowns, the economies of Asia, Latin America, Africa and the Middle East are better positioned to return to growth
Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Update April 2009
Not all countries are equally affected by the
downturn
Trang 14Emerging Market
Emerging Market
GDP Growth weighted with Holcim EBITDA 2008 per country [%] (excl China)
Trang 15Challenge – regional overcapacity and global
trade
Holcim is streamlining its asset base and building new plants in
high growth markets in order to capture future growth
Industry expansion combined with lower volume growth
Local overcapacities combined with low freight rates
Capacity adjustments and expansion delays occurring across the industry and the world
New capacity is in markets with sound growth rates
Introducing environmentally friendly state-of-the-art plants
Trang 16100 million was realized in 1st quarter 2009
Management has reacted quickly to the changed environment
Taken actions which are leading to a more cost-efficient and
environmentally-friendly operation
Trang 17Holcim closed or mothballed > 10 million tonnes of its capacities since the beginning of the crisis
USA:
Closing 2 cement plants
Mothballed 3 kiln lines
Closing 67 ready-mix, aggregates, asphalt &
concrete product plants
Asia Pacific:
Mothballed 4 kiln lines
Note: Select cost and capacity initiatives in progress – highlighted using estimated numbers
Sample of initiatives in execution
Latin America:
Mothballed 5 kiln lines
Closing 23 ready-mix plants
Europe:
Closing 1 cement plant
Mothballed 5 kiln lines
Closing 43 ready-mix, asphalt and aggregates plants
Trang 18Challenge – financial market volatility and crisis
Borrowing and capital markets are impaired by the financial crisis
Holcim continues to successfully participate in the capital and credit markets across currencies and regions
No financial covenants at the corporate level
Conservative balance sheet and low leverage
More than CHF 2.5 bn in financing raised in Q1 2009
Lack of available funds for the industry
Increases the cost to refinance in certain currencies
Trang 19Maturity profile (CHF million) 1
Liquidity summary
Liquidity II 2: CHF 4.2 billion
Liquidity III 3: CHF 5.8 billion Debt summary
Fixed to floating ratio: 32% fixed
Capital markets 44%; Loans 56%
Corporate vs subsidiary debt: 79% corporate
Ø total maturity: 3.6 years
CP borrowings: EUR 147 million
No financial covenants at corporate level ST/LT ratings summary as of May 4, 2009
S&P Credit Rating: A-2 / BBB, outlook stable
Fitch Credit Rating: F2 / BBB, outlook negative
Moody’s Credit Rating: P-2 / Baa2, outlook stable
1Current financial liabilities adjusted for short-term drawings under long-term committed credit lines
2Liquidity II =Cash + marketable securities
3Liquidity III =Liquidity II + unused committed credit lines
Strong balance sheet and liquidity position as of March 31, 2009
Trang 20Agenda
1 Attractiveness of the industry
2 Challenges and management priorities
3 Conclusions
Trang 21Conclusions
investments
economic crisis – infrastructure programs support demand
business environment, which also offers opportunities
took strong and decisive measures – anticipating the crisis development is a continuous management task
Holcim will emerge from the crisis as a stronger company
Trang 22Disclaimer
Cautionary statement regarding forward-looking statements
This presentation may contain certain forward-looking statements
relating to the Group’s future business, development and economic performance
Such statements may be subject to a number of risks, uncertainties and other important factors, such as but not limited to (1) competitive pressures; (2) legislative and regulatory developments; (3) global,
macroeconomic and political trends; (4) fluctuations in currency
exchange rates and general financial market conditions; (5) delay or inability in obtaining approvals from authorities; (6) technical
developments; (7) litigation; (8) adverse publicity and news
coverage, which could cause actual development and results to differ materially from the statements made in this presentation Holcim
assumes no obligation to update or alter forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.