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Bài giảng Điều tra vụ bùng phát bệnh từ thực phẩm Lê Hoàng Ninh

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Dịch (epidemic) hay còn gọi là bùng phát (outbreak) khi số ca bệnh cao hơn số dự kiến xảy ra (trị số bình thường) tại một địa phương, khu vực nào đó, hay trên một nhóm dân số nào đó trong một thời khoảng nhất định. Bài giảng Điều tra vụ bùng phát bệnh từ thực phẩm giúp người học nắm được khái niệm, vai trò điều tra bùng phát,...Mời bạn đọc cùng tham khảo.

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Điều Tra Vụ bùng phát bệnh từ thực phẩm

GS, Ts Lê Hoàng Ninh

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Bùng phát là gì ?(outbreak)

Dịch ( epidemic) hay còn gọi là bùng phát ( outbreak)khi

số ca bệnh cao hơn số dự kiến xảy ra ( trị số bình

thường) tại một địa phương, khu vực nào đó, hay trên một nhóm dân số nào đó trong một thời khoảng nhất

định

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Tại sao phải điều tra bùng phát/ dịch?

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Step 1: Verify the outbreak

 Determine whether there is an outbreak – an

excess number of cases from what would be expected

 Establish a case definition

 Clinical / diagnostic verification

 Identify and count cases of illness

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Step 2: Plot an Epidemic Curve

time of onset (x-axis)

Overall pattern: increase, peak, decrease

Outliers:

 Unrelated?

 Early or late exposure?

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• Starts slowly

• Time between the first case and the peak is comparable

to the incubation period.

• Slow tail

Vector-borne Disease

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• This is the most common form of transmission in borne disease, in which a large population is exposed for

food-a short period of time.

Point Source Transmission

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• In this case, there are several peaks, and the incubation period cannot be identified.

Continuing Common Source or Intermittent Exposure

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Salmonellosis in passengers on a flight from London

to the United States,

by time of onset, March 13 14, 1984

Source: Investigating an Outbreak, CDC

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Legionnaires' Disease

By date of onset, Philadelphia, July 1-August 18, 1976

Source: Investigating an Outbreak, CDC

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Foodborne Outbreak (Propagated)

Source: CDC, unpublished data, 1978

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Step 3: Calculate attack rates

Attack rate = (ill / ill + well) x 100 during a time period

If there is an obvious commonality for the outbreak, calculate attack rates based on exposure status (a community picnic)

If there is no obvious commonality for the outbreak, calculate attack rates based on specific demographic variables

(hepatitis cases in a community)

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Step 4: Determine the source of the epidemic

If there is an obvious commonality for the

outbreak, identify the most likely cause and

investigate the source to prevent future

outbreaks

If there is no obvious commonality for the

outbreak, plot the geographic distribution of

cases by residence/ work/school/location and

seek common exposures

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Step 5: Recommend control measures

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The vast majority of outbreaks are food-borne

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Foodborne Disease Outbreak

a similar illness after ingestion of a common food, and (2) epidemiologic analysis implicates the food as the

source of the illness

Intoxication – ingestion of foods with

 Toxicants found in tissues of certain plants (Jimpson Weed) and animals (seal liver)

 Metabolic products (toxins) formed and excreted by microorganisms while they multiply (botulinum toxin)

 Poisonous substances introduced during production, processing, transportation or storage (chemicals, pesticides)

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Foodborne Disease Outbreak (cont.)

microorganisms into the body and the reaction of the body tissues to their presence or to toxins they

generate within the body

 Intoxicants are rapid onset, no fever

 Toxins in the stomach produce vomiting

 Toxins in the intestines produce diarrhea

 Infections produce fever

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metals, additives and preservatives

 Biological

poisonous fish and plants, insect and rodents

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Bacterial Requirements

 Food: Most bacteria require what is known as

potentially hazardous food

 Milk or milk products, eggs, meat, poultry, fish,

shellfish, crustaceans, raw seed sprouts, heat treated vegetables and vegetable products (fruits?)

 Generally high protein, moist foods

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Bacterial Requirements (cont.)

 Water: Bacteria require moisture to thrive

available in food

 Most potentially hazardous foods have a water activity of 0.97 to 0.99

 pH: Best growth at neutral or slightly acidic pH

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Bacterial Requirements (cont.)

 Temperature: The danger zone for potentially

hazardous foods is 45 to 140 degrees Fahrenheit

occurs

 Time: Potentially hazardous foods must not be

allowed to remain in the danger zone for more than

4 hours

 Oxygen: Some bacteria require oxygen while

others are anaerobic and others are facultative

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Major Causes of Foodborne Disease

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Temperature and Bacteria Control

No growth, but survival of some bacteria

Hottest temperature hands can stand

Extreme DANGER ZONE Rapid growth of bacteria and production

of poisons by some bacteria

Body temperature – ideal for bacterial growth

40

Slow growth of some bacteria that cause spoilage

Some growth of food poisoning bacteria may occur

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Incubation Periods

2-4 hours Staphylococcus aureus Cooked ham, meat,

eggs, sauces and gravies

12 hours Clostridium perfringens Cooked meats, gravy

12-36 hours Salmonella* Meat, poultry, eggs

12-36 hours Clostridium botulinum Canned foods, smoked

fish

12 hours Vibrio parahemolyticus* Raw fish, shellfish

24-48 hours Shigella* Contaminated by carrier,

not foodborne

* Fever

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National Data on Etiology of Foodborne Illness

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On April 19, 1940, the local health officer in the village of Lycoming, Oswego County, New York, reported the occurrence of an outbreak of acute gastrointestinal illness to the District Health Officer in Syracuse Dr A M Rubin, epidemiologist-in-training, was assigned to conduct an investigation.

When Dr Rubin arrived in the field, he learned from the health officer that all persons known to be ill had attended a church supper the previous evening, April 18 Family members who had not attended the church supper had not become

ill Accordingly, the investigation was focused on the

circumstances related to the supper.

Source: CDC

Investigating an Epidemic: Oswego, NY

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Interviews regarding the presence of symptoms, including the day and hour of onset, and the food consumed at the church supper, were completed on 75 of the 80 persons

known to have been present A total of 46 persons who had experienced gastrointestinal illness were identified

Q: Is this an Epidemic?

Endemic for the region?

Due to seasonal variation?

Due to random variation?

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Select the correct case definition

and find the error in the others:

1 All participants in the Oswego church supper held in the basement of

the church in Lycoming, Oswego County, New York, on April 18, 1940, between 6:00 PM and 11:00 PM; whether they attended church or not; whether they participated in food preparation, transport, or distribution

or not; whether they ate or not.

2 Persons who developed acute gastrointestinal symptoms within 72

hours of eating supper on April 18, 1940, and who were among

attendees of the Lycoming, Oswego Church supper.

3 Church members who developed acute gastrointestinal symptoms

within 72 hours of the church supper held in Lycoming, Oswego on April 18, 1940.

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Select the correct case definition

and find the error in the others:

1 All participants in the Oswego church supper held in the basement of

the church in Lycoming, Oswego County, New York, on April 18, 1940, between 6:00 PM and 11:00 PM; whether they attended church or not; whether they participated in food preparation, transport, or distribution

or not; whether they ate or not

2 Persons who developed acute gastrointestinal symptoms within 72

hours of eating supper on April 18, 1940, and who were among

attendees of the Lycoming, Oswego Church supper.

3 Church members who developed acute gastrointestinal symptoms

within 72 hours of the church supper held in Lycoming, Oswego on April 18, 1940

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Select the correct case definition

and find the error in the others:

1 All participants in the Oswego church supper held in the basement of

the church in Lycoming, Oswego County, New York, on April 18, 1940, between 6:00 PM and 11:00 PM; whether they attended church or not; whether they participated in food preparation, transport, or distribution

or not; whether they ate or not Missing definition of sickness

2 Persons who developed acute gastrointestinal symptoms within 72

hours of eating supper on April 18, 1940, and who were among

attendees of the Lycoming, Oswego Church supper CORRECT

3 Church members who developed acute gastrointestinal symptoms

within 72 hours of the church supper held in Lycoming, Oswego on April 18, 1940 Did not specify that they went to the dinner

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Incidence of Cases of Diarrhea Among People Attending Lycoming,Oswego Church Supper, June 1940

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Which menu item(s) is the potential culprit?

To find out, calculate attack rates

The foods that have the greatest difference in attack rates may be the foods that were responsible for the illness

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Attack Rates by Items Served: Church Supper, Oswego, New York; April 1940

Number of persons who ate

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Attack Rates by Items Served: Church Supper, Oswego, New York;

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Number of persons who ate

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Attack Rate by Consumption of Vanilla Ice Cream, Oswego, New York; April 1940

Ill Well Total Attack Rate

(%) Ate vanilla

ice cream?

The relative risk is calculated as 79.6/14.3 or 5.6

The relative risk indicates that persons who ate

vanilla ice cream were 5.6 times more likely to become ill than those who did not eat vanilla ice cream

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Conclusion

 An attack of gastroenteritis occurred following a church supper

at Lycoming

vanilla ice cream

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Surveillance

Ongoing systematic collection, collation, analysis and interpretation of data; and the dissemination of information to those who need to know in order

that action may be taken.

World Health Organization

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Purposes of Public Health Surveillance

 Estimate magnitude of the problem

 Determine geographic distribution of illnesses

 Portraying the natural history of disease

 Detect epidemic / Define a problem

 Generate hypotheses and stimulate research

 Evaluate control measures

 Monitor changes in infectious agents

 Detect changes in health practice

 Facilitate planning

CDC

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Passive Surveillance

 Physicians, laboratories, and hospitals are given forms

to complete and submit with the expectation that they will report all of the cases of reportable disease that come to their attention

 Advantages : Inexpensive

 Disadvantages : Data are provided by busy health

professionals Thus, the data are more likely to be incomplete and underestimate the presence of disease

in the population

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Active Surveillance

 Involves regular periodic collection of case reports by

telephone or personal visits to the reporting individuals to obtain the data

 Advantages : More accurate because it is conducted by

individuals specifically employed to carry out the

responsibility

 Disadvantages : Expensive

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Sentinel Surveillance

 Monitoring of key health events, through sentinel sites,

events, providers, vectors/animals

 Case report indicates a failure of the health care system or

indicates that special problems are emerging

 Advantages : Very inexpensive

 Disadvantages : Applicable only for a select group of

diseases

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

Some Surveillance Programs

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Epidemiology (Schneider)

“Good surveillance does not necessarily ensure the making of right decisions, but it reduces the chances of wrong ones.”

Alexander D Langmuir

NEJM 1963;268:182-191

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