Institute of International Education 3 2 Money Growth and Inflation •How does the money supply affect inflation and nominal interest rates? •Does the money supply affect real variables like real GDP o[.]
Trang 13.2 Money Growth and Inflation
•How does the money supply affect inflation and nominal interest rates?
•Does the money supply affect real variables like real GDP or the real interest rate?
•How is inflation like a tax?
•What are the costs of inflation? How serious are
Trang 2Inflation is an increase in the
overall level of prices.
The overall increase in the level of
the GDP deflator, is called inflation.
But exactly what economic forces
Trang 3The Quantity Theory of Money
▪ Is used to explain determinants of the price level and the inflation rate
▪ Asserts that the quantity of money determines the value of money
▪ We study this theory using two approaches:
1. A supply-demand diagram
2. An equation
quantity theory of money indicates
Trang 4The Value of Money
▪ P = the price level (measured by the CPI or the
GDP deflator
▪ P is the price of goods and services measured in
terms of money; and…
1/P is the value of $1, measured in goods.
➔ Inflation drives up prices and drives down the value of money
Trang 5Money Supply (MS)
▪ In US, MS determined by Federal Reserve, the banking system
- Through instruments such as open-market operations, the Fed directly controls the quantity
of MS.
▪ In this model, we assume the Fed precisely
controls MS and sets it at some fixed amount.
Trang 6Money Demand (MD)
▪ Has several determinants, including interest rates and the average level of prices in the economy
▪ An increase in P reduces the value of money,
so more money is required to buy g&s
▪ Quantity of MD is negatively related to the value
of money and positively related to P, other things
equal
more money people will choose to
Trang 7Money Supply, Money Demand, and
Monetary Equilibrium
In the long run, the overall level of prices adjusts to the level at which the demand
for money equals the supply.
equilibrium level, people will want to
Trang 8The Money Supply-Demand Diagram
Value of
Money, 1/P
Price
Level, P
As the value of money rises, the price level falls.
Trang 9Value of
Money, 1/P
Price
Level, P
1
¾
½
¼
1 1.33 2 4
MS1
The Fed sets MS
at some fixed value,
regardless of P.
A fall in value of money increases the quantity of money demanded:
Trang 10Value of
Money, 1/P
Price
Level, P
1
¾
½
¼
1 1.33 2
4
MD
P adjusts to equate
quantity of money demanded with money supply.
eq’m price level
eq’m
value
of
money
A