Vf du dd'i vdi nhan td Giao due: Hai ehi tieu: % sd ngudi biet ehu va % sd thanh thieu nien 6 - 24 tudi di hpe da khdng cdn dupe ap dung ma thay vao dd cae chi tieu MYS - Mean Years of S
Trang 1HDIao.o - C l i i SO PHAT TRIEI\ COIM IVGUOH VIET I\AM*
DANG QUOC BAG
Hoc vien QLGD
1.HDR 2010 cua UNDP
Thang 11/2010 UNDP Chudng trinh phat trien eua Lien Hiep qudc da cdng bd HDR -Bao cao phat trien con ngudi do td chire nay an hanh cho nam 2010 (HDR 2010) neu ket qua HDI
- Human Devlopment Index (Chi sd phat trien con ngudi) cua 169 nudc (nam 2009 cho 178 nude)
a Cach tfnh HDI trong Bao eao lan nay cd mpt sd hieu ehinh Vf du dd'i vdi nhan td Giao due: Hai ehi tieu: (%) sd ngudi biet ehu va (%) sd thanh thieu nien 6 - 24 tudi di hpe da khdng cdn dupe ap dung ma thay vao dd cae chi tieu MYS - Mean Years of Schooling (Sd nam hpe trung binh dd'i vdi dan eu tU 25 tudi (+)) va EYS - Expected Years of Schooling (Sd nam hpc ky vpng dat dupe)
b, Cac gia trj bien (eye dai, eye tieu ddi vdi ba nhan td: tuoi thg, giao due, thu nhap)
da dupe an dinh lai can eu vao tinh hinh phat trien cua the gidi nhung nam gan day
Nhan to
Tudi thp (nam)
Giao due
MYS (nam)
EYS (nam)
G (tdng hpp)
Thu nhap binh quan sure mua USD
(GNIbq,s$)
c Cdng thu'c tinh chi sd thanh p
Gia trj cufc dai (Max)
83,2 (Nhat Ban nam 2010)
13,2 (My nam 2000) 20,6 (Australia nam 2002) 0,951 (New Zeland 2010) 108.211 (UAE 1980)
han va HDI dudc dinh mire nhi
Gia tri ci/c tieu (Min)
20
0
0
0
163 (Zimbabue 2008)
;sau:
* Tinh chi sd tuoi tho
J-Tudi tho thue te - J-Tudi tho r (min)
Tudi thp (^3,) - Tudi thp ^^,„^ 1 =
TTTT-20 83,2-20
Tinh chJ so giao due
(T-rrr: Thyc te)
MYS„- 0 MYS,_,-0
MYSTT - 0 13,2-0
Bai dang tren Tap chi Qudn ly gido due so 20 - Thang 1/2011
Trang 2THONG TIN TRAO DOI
EYS^ - 0 EYS^ - 0
GEYS
* Tmh chl so kinh te
b= = EYS,_)-0
Va:b-0
^Td„gh?p)- Q^g5^_Q
20,6-0
l / _ l n G N I , b , 3 ^ „ j ) - l n G N I ( b q s m m i n $ )
* Tinh HDI
m GNIjbqsmmaxS) ' m GNIj^qsm min$)
lnGNI(bqsmtt$)-ln163
^~ In 108.211-In 163
HDI = VT.G.K
2 Minh hoa cho mot sd nu'dc cu the -'
a Trudng hpp eua Viet Nam
- Du lieu: Tudi thp: 74,9 nam •^•- •' ^
MYS: 5,5 nam EYS: ' 0,4 nam
GNI (bqsm $)• 2.995 $ Ket qua:
83,2-20 63,2
JW
5,5-0 5,5 13,2-20 13,2 = 0,416
20,6-0 20,6
•^(Tong hop) '
V0,416.0,504-0 0,951-0 = 0,4805
^VN
In2.995 -In 163
In 108.211-In 163 0,447
Trang 3HDI = V0,868.0,4805.0,447 = V0,1863 = 0,57
b Trudng hpp eua Trung Qudc
- Du lieu: Tudi thp:
, ; • ' • • : • • : • ' • • ' •
• ; • : ' : ' - " • •
-Ket qua:
73,5-20^53,5^
° 83,2-20 63,2
GTQ:
;• ' 7,5-0 7,5 _
HDIvN2oio~ 0,57
73,5 nam MYS: • EYS:
GNI(bqsm$)'
•
0,568
7,5 nam 11,4 nam 7263$
13,2-20 13,2 114-0 114
b = ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ = ^ = 0,55 20,6 - 0 20,6
_ V0,568.0553-0
•^(Tdnghdp)
>v,;'
K TQ In 7263 -In 163
In 108211-In 163 0,584
• HDI = V0,847.0,589.0,584 = 0,663
HDITQ2OIO = 0,663
3 HDIvN trong tu'cfng quan so sanh HDI the gidi, vung Dong A - Chau Dai du'dng va mot so nUdc trong khu vi/c qua HDR2010 cua UNDP
a So sanh HDIVN vdi the gidi, vung Ddng A - Chau Dai dUdng
^ _ ^ _ ^ Nhan td
Nude - khu vyc~ ^~~~^ ^
Viet Nam
Trung binh Ddng A - Chau Dai duong
Trung binh the gidi
HDI 0,572 0,643 0,624
Tudi tho 74,9 72,6 69,3
Giao due MYS,„,,„, 5,5 7,2 7,4
EYb(n3„,) 10,4 11,5 12,3
GNI,bqs„$)
2995
6493
10631
Trang 4THONG TIN TRAO DOI
Nhan xet HDIVN edn thua HDI the gidi, vung Ddng A - Chau Dai dudng Cac sd lieu theo thirty (0,572-0,624-0,643)
Tudi thp cua ngudi Viet Nam kha quan hdn Cac sd lieu thirty: 74,9 - 69,3 - 72,6
b So sanh HDI mpt sd nudc cija khu vyc
Chung tdi chpn vao bang nay 9 nudc bao gdm: Han Qude, Singapo, Trung Qude, Thai
Lan, Malaixia, Philipin, Inddnexia, An Qg, Pakistan la nhung nudc d Chau A quen thupc vdi Viet
Nam de so sanh trang thai cua Viet Nam vdi cac nudc nay Dudi day la ket qua qua sd lieu:
sn
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Nudc
Han Qud'c
Singapo
Malaixia
Trung Qudc
Thai Lan
Philipin
Inddnexia
Viet Nam
An Dp
Pakistan
HDI 0,877 0,846 0,744 0,663 0,654 0,638 0,600 0,572 0,519 0,490
Xep hang HDI (tren 168 nudc)
12
27
57
89
92
97
108
113
119
125
Tudi tho (nam) 79,8 80,7 74,4 73,5 69,3 72,3 71,5 74,9 64,4 67,2
Giao due MSY (nam) 11,6 8,8 9,5 7,5 6,6 8,7 5,7 5,5 4,4 4,9
EYS (nam) 16,8 14,4 12,5 11,4 13,5 11,5 17,7 10,4 11,2 6,8
GNI (PPP$) 29.518 48.893 13.927 7.258 8.001 4.002 3.579 2.995 3.337 2.678
Nhan xet
Neu xem xet tuong quan eua Viet Nam vdi cac nudc trong bang thi Viet Nam xep thur 8 (thua cae nude: Han Qudc, Malaixia, Singapo, Trung Qudc, Thai Lan, Philipin, Inddnexia) HDI eua Viet Nam chi hdn dupe 2 nudc trong bang la An Op va Pakistan Chi sd tudi thp cija Viet Nam
ed sy kha quan hon khi ehi thua Han Qudc va Singapo
4 Hoi cd HDI
Do dung each tinh mdi nen gia trj HDI ed sy thay ddi so vdi ket qua cdng bd trudc day UNDP da thyc hien hdi cd gia trj HDI theo phep tinh mdi cho cae nudc tU nam 1980 den nam
2010
Xin neu ket qua hdi cd ddi vdi Viet Nam so vdi cac nudc d trong bang:
Trang 5^ ^ ^ Nam
Nu'dc ^^^^^.^
Malaixia
Trung Qudc
Thai Lan
Philipin
Inddnexia
Viet Nam
1980 0,541 0,368 0,483 0,523 0,390
1990 0,616 0,460 0,546 0,552 0,458 0,407
1995 0,659 0,518 0,581 0,597 0,500 0,505
2000 0,691 0,567 0,600 0,597 0,500 0,505
2005 0,726 0,616 0,631 0,619 0,561 0,540
2009 0,739 0,655 0,648 0,635 0,593 0,566
2010 0,744 0,663 0,654 0,638 0,600 0,572
HDI VN 1990 = 0,407 HDI VN 2009 = 0,566 HDI V N 2 0 1 0 • 0,572
Nhu vay, qua 20 nam (tU nam 1990 - 2010) gia trj HDI VN tang dupe 0,165 Qua 1 nam gia trj HDI VN tang dupe 0,0006 (6 diem phan ngan) Qua bang ta tha'y vdi thdi gian 1 nam 2009
-2010, Inddnexia tang dupe 7 diem phan ngan, Philipin tang dupe 3 diem phan ngan, Thai Lan tang dupe 6 diem phan ngan, Trung Qude tang dupe 8 diem phan ngan, Malaixia tang dupe 5 diem phan ngan •• • • : - ,
Mure tang cua nudc ta khdng thap song gia trj tuyet ddi ve HDI cija Viet Nam cdn binh thudng Mire HDI VN2OIO Trung Qude da dat vao khoang nam 2002, Inddnexia dat nam 2006 (ta cham hon Inddnexia 4 nam), Malaixia dat nam 1985 (ta cham hdn Malaixia 25 nam), Thai Lan dat nam 1993 (ta cham hdn Thai Lan 17 nam)
Mpt chien lupc giao due lam gia tang HDI cua dat nude de rut ngan khoang each phat trien vdi cac nudc trong khu vyc va tren the gidi la dieu can thiet trong bdi canh hien nay
VUI MOT Tl!
AJO -HJAJfl CD"?
De hieu hgc trd, cd gido bdo hoc sinh vevdo mdt td gid'y ude mo mai sau cua minh Cd trd vemdy bay, td y mud'n lam phi cdng, cd trd ve
ong nghe, to y iniid'n lam bdc sT Tha'y Mai detd gid'y trdng, cd gido hoi:
- Chdng lelffn len etn khdng mud'n Idm gi cd sao?
IWai bdn kliodn:
- Da tliUa cd! Ldn len em seld'y chdng nliUng chang bie't nd hinh
gl ca!
Hong Ngoc