Therefore,thisresearchmaycontributetofillingtheliteraturegapin thecontextoftheMRD,whichisstill considereda poor regioninVietnam.Moreover,this study reexaminest h e impactofhealthinsuranc
Trang 1HOCHIMINHCITY-D E C E M B E R , 2017
UNIVERSITYOFECONOMICS
ERASMUSUNVERSITYROTTERDAMH O C H I MINHCITY
INSTITUTE OFSOCIALSTUDIES VIETNAM THENETHERLANDS
NETHERLANDSPROGRAMMEFOR
VIETNAM-M.AINDEVELOPMENTECONOMICS
THEIMPACTOFHEALTHINSURANCEONO
UT-OF-POCKETPAYMENTSIN THEMEKONGRIVERDELTA
BY
TATHIHONGNGOC
MASTEROFARTSINDEVELOPMENTECONOMICS
Trang 2THEIMPACTOFHEALTHINSURANCEONO
UT-OF-POCKETPAYMENTSIN THEMEKONGRIVERDELTA
Trang 3“Ic e r t i f y t h a t t h i s materiali s myo w n work,containingmyindependentresearchresults,havenotbeenpublished.Iassurethatallsourcesofinformationinthethesis,i n c l u d i n g datasets,areclearlyacknowledged
Ipledgetotakeresponsibilityformyresearch.”
Signature
TaThi HongNgocDate:December,2017
Trang 4Firstly,I wo ul d l i k e t o expressmyappreciationt o mysupervisor Dr.T u VanBinhw h oprovidedm e m o t i v a t i o n , patience,andk n o w l e d g e t o completemyt h e s i s I amv e r y gratefulforhissympathyandhiskindencouragementtomelastyearwhenmymotherwasd e e p l
y sick.Hisfriendlyguidanceinallthetimeofresearchhelpedmeovercomeahardtimeo f writingthisthesis
Trang 5Thes tu dy usest h e VietnamHouseholdLivingStandardSu rv ey int h e yearo f2 01 2 and2014in13provincesintheMekongRiverDelta(MRD)toevaluatetheimpactofhealthinsuranceonout-of-
pocketpaymentsintheMRD.ThreemodelsincludingPoolOLS,RandomEffectsandF i x e d Effectsareappliedandt h e regressionr e s u l t s h o w s t h a t healthinsuranceisstatisticallysignificantandhasthenegativerelationshipwithout-of-
pocketexpensespervisittooutpatientserviceandinpatientservice.Thestudyindicatesthathealthinsurancehasapositiveimpactonreducingout-of-
pocketexpenses,meaningthatpeoplewhohavehealthinsurancespendlessthanthosewhodonothavehealthinsurance.Heathinsurancebenefitsthesocietybyreducingthemonetarycostofusingthehealthservicesandthereforei s p o t e n t i a l l y advantageousf o r p o o r andunderprivilege
Keywords:HealthInsurance,Out-of-pocketexpenses,MekongRiverDelta.
JELClassification:I13.
Trang 8Table3 1:Variabledescriptionandsources 18
Table4.1:Descriptivestatistics 26Table4.2:Thecorrelationcoefficientbetweenthevariables 27Table4.3:Numberofobservationsandproportionofpeoplehavinghealthinsurance28T a b l e 4.4:Proportionofpeoplehavinghealthinsurancein13provincesintheMRD29T ab l e 4.5:Statisticalcoverageofhealthinsurancebyage 30Table4.6:Statisticsontheshareofhealthinsuranceparticipationbygender 30Table4.7:Statisticsontheshareofhealthinsuranceparticipationbymaritalstatus 31T a b l e 4.8:Statisticsonhealthinsuranceparticipationbyethnics 31Table4.9:Statisticsonhealthinsurancecoveragebylevelofeducation 32Table4.10:Statisticsonhealthinsurancecoveragebyrural,urbanarea 33Table4.11:ThepaneldataregressionresultwithOut-of-
pocketexpensespervisittooutpatientservice(OOV) 34Table4.12:ThepaneldataregressionresultwithOut-of-
pocketexpensespervisittoinpatientservice(OIV) 37
Trang 9LISTOFFIGURES
Figure1.Analyticalframework 13
Trang 11pocketpaymentsd u e t o illnesses,h e a l t h i n s u r a n c e i s expectedasa goodmeasuref o r i t s importantroleinhealthcareandfinancialprotection.Itfacilitatesinsuredpeopletoapproachhealthc a
r e servicesb e t t e r a n d protectst h e m f r o m financialb u r d e n s r e s u l t i n g fromhealthproblems.AspeopleintheMekongRiverDelta(MRD)donothavealongtraditionofusinghealthinsurance,aninterestingquestion is“towhat extentdoeshealthinsuranceaffectout-of-pocketexpensesinthisregion?”
Therearecurrently severalproblemswiththe healthcaresysteminVietnam,whereu s i
n g healthinsuranceisnormallylinkedwithapoorservice.Inspiteofthefactthatthereisanimprovementinthe coverageofhealth insurance,itis reportedthat only52%ofannualo u t p a t i e n tcontactsu s e healthi n s u r a n c e andu p t o 4 0 % o f t h e insuredpeopled i d n o t u s e healthinsuranceswhenhavinghealthcaretreatmentsin2006(Nguyen,2012).ItisalsothecaseofintheMRD.Therefore,understandingtheimpactofhealthinsuranceonout-of-
pocketpaymentscancontributesomeideastothegovernmentsothathealthinsuranceschememayincreaseitseffectiveness
1.2 Theresearchproblem
Withint h e c o n t e x t o f Vietnam,thereh a v e b e e n s o m e researcheso n t h e impacto fhealthinsuranceonout-of-pocketexpenses.Nevertheless,theeffectsofhealthinsuranceonout-of-pocketexpensesarenothomogeneous
Somestudiesconfirmthep o s i t i v e effectso f h e a l t h insuranceo n r e d u c i n g o u t
o f
-pocketexpenses(Jowettetal.,2003,Wagstaff&Pradhan,2005,Sepehrietal.,2006).However,Wagstaff(2010)andNguyen(2012)foundthatvoluntaryhealthinsurancedoesnothaveanimpactonout-of-pocketexpenditures.Moreover,tothebestofmyknowledge,therehasnotbeenanystudiesonthis issuein thecontext of theMRD
Therefore,thisresearchmaycontributetofillingtheliteraturegapin thecontextoftheMRD,whichisstill considereda poor regioninVietnam.Moreover,this study reexaminest h
e impactofhealthinsuranceon out-of-pocketpaymentswithupdateddata
Trang 12city(LongAn,TienGiang,BenTre,TraV in h, V i n h Long,D o n g s Thap,A n Giang,KienGiang,CanT h o , H a u Giang,S o c Trang,BacLieu,C a Mau)w i t h a p p r o x i m a t e l y 7,000observations/wave.ThisthesisutilizedPoolOLS,FixedEffect,RandomEffectregressionsto testtheimpactofhealthinsuranceon out–of–pocketpayments.
1.4 ContributionoftheStudy
twoaspectsasfollows.First,therehavebeenm a n y empiricalstudiesonthe impactofhealthinsuranceonout-of-
pocketexpenses.However,mosto f these studiesmainly focusont h e caseofdevelopedc ou nt ri
e s Thereares t i l l fewstudiesaboutthisi s s u e f o r developingcountrieswhereu s i n g healthinsurancei s n o r m a l l y linkedwithapoorservice.InthecaseoftheMRD,theruralareaofVietnam,therei s stillnopublishedstudiesonthistopic.Therefore,thispapercontributestotheliteraturea
so n e o f t h e f i r s t comprehensiveanalysiso f t h i s i s s u e i n t h e V i e t n a m e s e case.S e c o
n d , t h e researchresultsareanimportantandreliablesourceofinformationforpolicymakerstobettermanagethehealthinsurance servicein theMRDinparticularandin Vietnam ingeneral
1.5 OrganizationoftheStudy
Theorganizationof thestudyisstructuredasfollows
Chapter1 introducet h e practicalproblem,t h e researchproblemaswellasresearchobjectives.Chapter2 givesa r e v i e w o f t h e definition,coreconceptso f healthinsuranceando u t - o f -pocketpayments.Inaddition,theoriesandempiricalstudiesarealsopresented
Chapter3presentstheanalyticalframework,theresearchmethodology,modelspecificationanddata
Chapter4givesageneralreviewofbackgroundofhealthinsuranceinVietnamandtheMRD,anovervie
wo f
out-of-pockethealthe x p e n d i t u r e i n Vietnam,t h e descriptivestatisticso f variablesusedin
thestudyandthefindingsanddiscussion
Trang 13Chapter5presentstheconclusion,suggestssomepracticalpolicyimplications,anddiscussest h e limitationanddirectionforfurtherstudies.
Trang 14QH12,“Healthinsurancei s a f o r m o f servicest h a t i s appliedi n t h e fieldo f healthcare,n o t
f o r p r o f i t p u r p o s e s , organizedb y t he S t a t e a nd those whoar e responsibleforp a r t i c
i p a t i n g inprovisionsoflaw.”Thehealthinsurancefundismadeupofcontributionsfromtheinsur
ed'sincome,managedcentrally andtransparently,ensuringa balancebetweenrevenueandstateprotection.Thus, althoughhealthinsuranc e isa service,the ac ti vi t y mustb e basedonr i s k-
sharing,sharedfinancialburdensonsicknessandillness,andhealthinsuranceisnotforthepurposeofprofit,butforthepurposeofprovidinghealthcareforpeopleparticipatinginthepurchaseofh
e a l t h insurancei s regulatedbyt h e state.Healthi n s u r a n c e i s alsoa formo f undertakingsocializationo f th e healthsectorasi t h e l p s t o mobilizet he contributiono f t he society.Whenthebudgetforhealthislimited,thehealthinsurancefundisalsoawaytosharet h e medicalburdenformanypatients,especiallythosewithlimitedincomeanddependents.Assistancebetweenhealthypeopleandthesick,betweentheyoungandtheelderly,betweent h e richandthe poorhascontributedtothereductionofinjustice
i l l b e paidbyt h i r d parties,w h i l e employeesande m p l o y e r s payp r e m i u m s accordingt o t
h e incomelevelo f workers.V o l u n t a r y health insurancea p p l i e s t o t h o s e w h o w i s h tovolunteertoparticipateinhealthinsurance,includingthosewhohaveparticipatedinc o m p u l s o
r y h e a l t h insuranceb u t w h o w i s h t o p a r t i c i p a t e i n v o l u n t a r y h e a l t h insurancei n
Trang 15ordertoqualifyforhigherhealthinsuranceservices.Thistypeofinsuranceisnotforprofit
b u t only forthepurpose ofencouragingallpeople toparticipateinhealth insurance.Inthe
Trang 16contextthatVietnamhasnotyetimplementedtheformofuniversalhealthinsurance,inordert o avoidmoralhazardandbudgetdeficit,voluntaryhealthinsurancesetsanumberofrulestol i m i t t h e s t
a t u s o f peoplew h o havehighr i s k b u y newh e a l t h insurance.A c c o r d i n g t o t h e Circular06/2007/TTLT-BYT-
BTC,t h e rulesf o r t h e issuanceo f v o l u n t a r y health insurancecardsareasfollows:
Forh o u s e h o l d m e m b e r s , theyw i l l buyv o l u n t a r y h e a l t h i n s u r a n c e a c c o r d
i n g t o t h e placeo f t h e i r residenceandm u s t ensuret h a t 100%o f t h e i r membersp a r t i c i
p a t e i n eachissuance,atl e a s t 1 0 % int h e area.F o r s t u d e n t s , v o l u n t a r y
school-based healthi n s u r a n c e i s c o m p u l s o r y foratleast 10% oftheparticipatingstudents
Thus,t h e v o l u n t a r y insurances c h e m e t o e x p a n d t h e coverageo f h e a l t h insurancecoverageand to implement thisgroupofpeoplerequiresdeepandbroad dissemination tohelppeopleunderstandthemeaningofhealthinsurance operation
pocketpayments”is“anydirectoutlaybyhouseholds,includingg r a t u i t i e s a n d
in-kindpayments,t o healthp r a c t i t i o n e r s a n d s u p p l i e r s ofpharmaceuticals,therapeuticapp liances,andothergoodsandserviceswhoseprimaryintentistocontributetot h e restorationoren hancementofthehealthstatusofindividualsorpopulationgroups.Itis
ap a r t
ofprivatehealthexpenditure.”AccordingtoHoangetal.(2013),“out-of-pocketpayments”referto“thepaymentsmadebyhouseholdsatthepointt h e y receivehealthservice
s.Typicallyt h e s e i n c l u d e doctor’sconsultationfees,purchaseso f medicationandh o s p i t
a l bills.Althoughspendingonalternativeand/
ortraditionalmedicineisincludedinouto f pocketpayments,expenditureo n
health-relatedt r a n s p o r t a t i o n a n d specialn u t r i t i o n
areexcluded.Out-of-pocketpaymentsarenetof insurancereimbursement.”
2.2 Theoreticalbackground
Trang 17Assumingt h a t h e a l t h i s a p r o d u c t i v e asset,c r e a t i n g h e a l t h canb e consideredasaninvestmentt o compensatef o r t h e capitalspento n ageandlifestyle.Creatingh e a l t h i s anincreasein“healthcapital”
Thisinvestmentisachievedthroughtheuseofmedicaltreatmentsandpersonaleffortsinpreventingillness.Thebenefitfromhealthcapitalisthereductionof
Trang 18timespenti n a “sick”healthstate.Overtime,t h e increasei n t h e u t i l i t y t o w a r d s healthservicesislinkedtotheincreaseinincomeandconsumption.Therefore,themaximizationofu t i l i t
y amongrationalindividualsisinlinewiththeoptimalamountofmoneytheyinvestinhealthservices.Grossman'ss t u d y (1972)a n a l y z e s t h i s optimizationproblemw i t h o p t i m a l controltheory
o heightent h e capital,i n d i v i d u a l s needt o m a k e I i n v e s t m e n t T h i s investment
includes consumptionforhealthservicesandtimespent��f o rpreventionsickefforts Taken
Theconstraintissetinthisequationfortheoptimalutilityo f individuals.Thisequationshowsthatindividuals’health,wealth,andknowledgevariesacrosstime.Thesavingsofindividualinthefir
Trang 19𝑤1(1−�𝑠(�))
𝑅 =� � +�𝑋0+
𝑐 𝑋 1 𝑅
(2.3)Tointerpretthisoptimizationproblem,wewritetheLagrangefunctionasfollows:
𝑅
μistheLagrangemultipliers,inwhichthepositiveλmeansthatwhentheconstraints
areloosened,thegoalofoptimizationcanbeimproved.Thisimprovementcanbecalculatedthroughthediscountutility.Itisfoundthatthebestconditionsforasolutionofthiso p t i m i z a t i o n problembyt a k i n g t h e firstderivativeo f eachdecisionvariableandf o r t h i s derivativeto zero
Trang 20𝜕�1 𝑐𝜕𝑋1 𝜕� 𝑠Fromequations(2.7), (2.8)wehave
𝜕/ 𝜕 𝑐
Trang 21Theeffectivenessoftheinvestmentismeasuredthroughprerequisites.Thereductioni n theillnesstimeofanindividualwillresultinthepositiveinvestment.Thecombinationof
both thenegativederivativeof𝜕 � andthe positive value ofthefunctioncausestheleftside of
𝜕� 1condition(2.14)to bepositive,forexample,themarginof positive right-handmargin
Considerhealthasconsumergoods.Thedecreaseinthedurationofsickness(aswell
astheincreasedhealthbenefit)increasestheutilitydirectlybecause𝜕
𝜕� 𝑠 <0.Ifdiscounted,thebenefitfromtheutility levelis�𝜕 Ifcondition(14)isonly thefirstfactorintheinvestment
𝜕� 𝑠and well-beingstate’smarginalutility,the consumptionmodelispure
Whenhealthinvestmentis consideredasinvesting inacertainitem,the decreasein
sicknesshasanimmediate impactonanindividual'swell-beingthrough−�𝜕 � andrealwage
Themarginalcostofanadditionalhealthinvestmentisontheright-handsideoftheequation(2.14)
Marginalutilitylevel𝜕
𝜕𝑋 0representswhatislostfromskippingapartofconsumptiontohealth
Trang 22However,t h i s l o s s i s reducedt o a significante x t e n t i f t h e consumptiono f h e a l t hservicesiseffective(𝜕
Trang 23abandoning aparticularconsumptionneedstobeadjustedbytheconsumerpricebecauseif�
ishigh,onlyafewunits of𝑋0areabandoned
Tos u m u p , t h e G r o s s m a n m o d e l s h o w s t h e interrelationbetweenhealthcareinvestmentandt h e healths t a t u s o f i n d i v i d u a l s T h e valuei s adjustedt o reacht h e o p t i m a llevelacrosstimeforeachindividual.Theincreaseinconsumptionandinvestmentise x p l a i
n e d byt h e increaseinthemarginalutilityo f anadditionalhealthunit.Thetotalmarginalutilityhas
(2003)suggestthatthisvariablecanbemeasuredbya d d i n g upbothofficialandunofficialpaymentstoachievethetotalexpenditureonhealthcare.Sephrietal.(2006)d i d
n o t mentionofficialoru n o f f i c i a l paymentsbut pocketpaymentsasthe household expenditure onhealth d u r i n g thepast1 2 m o n t h s Ekman(2007)hasa q u i t e differentp o i n t o f v i e w t h a t t h e differenceb e t w e e n t h e i n c o m eofapatientandtheexpenseofthehouseholdonheathistheout-of-pocketpayments.Fanetal
justconsiderout-of-(2012)dividehealthcareservicesintotwoelements,inpatientandoutpatientservices.Eachelementisalsothecombinationofdifferentindicatorsatthehouseholdlevel.Out-of-
pocketpaymentsarethesumofthese twoelements.This variableisadjustedtothe m o n t h l yscaleandisdividedbythehouseholdsizetohavethespendingpercapita.UsingtheIndonesia’sFamilyLifeS u r v e y i n f o u r years,A j i etal.(2013)s h o w t h a t o u t -of-
pocketpaymentsincludeallmedicalcostssuchashospitalization,clinic,physicians,traditionalcures,andm e d i c i n e s excepttransportationcostsd u e t o t h e unavailabilityo f t h e d a t a T h e effectsofi n f l a t i o n o n householdexpendituresonhealtha r e eliminatedbyinstillingt h e ConsumerPriceIndex(CPI)i n 2 0 0 7 Similart o Fanetal
(2012),t h e adjustmento f t h e variableb a s e d o n t h e h o u s e h o l d s i z e i s addedt o getpaymentsperc a p i t a VanM i n h etal
(2013)alsoh o l d t h a t paymentso n healthservicess h o u l d t a k e i n t o a c c o u n t consultati
Trang 24on,medication,hospitalization,andmedicinecostsb u t n o t costsrelatedt o transportationandn u t
r i t i o n
Trang 252.3.2 2Estimationmethod
Aw i d e rangeo fm et ho ds hasbeenusedbydifferentauthorst o t e s t t h e relationshipbetweenout-of-
pocketpaymentsandacertainfactor.Toestimatetheeffectsofhealthinsuranceonhealthexpenditures,Jowettetal
(2003)useOrdinaryLeastSquares(OLS)fort h e regressionmodels.However,thismethodislimitedduetotheassumptionthatthereisnorelationshipbetweenhealthexpendituresandunobservablefactors.Ekman(2007)alsoanalyzest h e i m p a c t o f healthi n s u r a n c e o n h e a l t h expendituresi n Zambia,a l o w -
i n c o m e country,in1998only bymultivariateregressions.Comparedwiththese sectional s t u d i e s , Sepehrietal
twocross-
(2011)expandthestudyscopetothepaneldataofVHLSS2004-2006w i t h theuseof FixedEffects(FE)andRandomEffects(RE) forthe insuredanduninsuredgroup.Withavarietyo f methodsforpaneldataregressionlikePooledOrdinaryL e a s t Squares(POLS)andFixedEffects(FE)formodelswithoutendogeneityaswellasTwo-
stageLeastSquares(2SLS)formodelswithinstrumentalvariables(IV),Ajietal
(2013)discoveras i g n i f i c a n t l y negativerelationbetweeno u t o f
-p o c k e t -paymentsandhealthi n s u r a n c e -programs.Accordingtothe-pa-per,household-participationinthecommunalgatherings,women’sgroups,andco-
operationa r e consideredast h e t h r e e in st ru me nt a l variablesi n t h e research
Besides,s o m e o t h e r s t u d i e s p r o v i d e researcherswithdifferentk i n d s o f regressionm e t h o d s Sepehrietal
( 2 0 0 6 ) a pp ly Tobitandtruncatedregressionm o d e l s t o interprett h e relationshipbetweenh e a l
t h insuranceandh e a l t h expenditures.Int h e s e t w o m o d e l s , FixedEffectsandRandomEffectsforthepaneldataofVLSSareincludedintheregression.VanM i n h etal
(2013)approacht h e researchw i t h t h e logisticm o d e l t o e x a m i n e whethert h e catastropheandpovertywilldecidetheprobabilityofhavinganout-of-pocketexpenditureofa household
Othermethods commonlyusedbyseveralresearchersisP r o p e n s i t y ScoreMatching( P S M ) andDifference-in-
Difference(DID).W h i l e WagstaffandP r a d h a n (2005)j u s t a p p l y d o u b l e differencefortheirresearch,Wagstaff(2010)laterextendthismethod,rangingfromsingledifference,doubledifference,andtripledifference,togetherwiththematchingmethod.Nguyen(2012)combinesOLS,IV,PSM,andDIDinhisresearchtomeasuretheimpactofv o l u n t a r y insuranceonhealthexpendituresforVHLSS2004 – 2006 Fanetal
Trang 26(2012)alsou s e DIDanalysisf o r t h e i r s t u d y i n SouthernIndiaw i t h t h e cleard i v i s i o n o f dat
ai n t o t h e treatedandcontrolgroup.Recently,thepaperofAlkenbrackandLindelow(2015)employsp r o p e n s i t y scorematchingfor3000householdsinLaosandthendoubletreatmenteffectstoe x a m i n e theinfluenceofout-of-pocketpayments
Trang 27o u t p a t i e n t contacts)(Jowettetal, 2003; Sepehrietal, 2006;Ekman,2007;Sepehrietal,2 0 1 1 ; Fanetal, 2012;Nguyen,2012; Ajietal,2013;VanMinhetal,2013).
Attitudevariablesaremention r e c e n t l y int h e researcho f Al ke nb ra ck a n d Lindelow(2015).Inthispaper,asidefromthedemographicvariablespresentedinthepreviouspapers,t h
e y t a k e i n t o accountr i s k preferenceso f t h e h o u s e h o l d headandattitudeso f householdstowardinsurance
2.3.4 4Results
Theresultso n t h e impactso f healthinsuranceo n
out-of-pocketpaymentss h o w a d i s t i n c t polarization,makingthis relationshipinterestingforresearchersacrosst h e globet o p a y theirattentionto.Healthinsurancemayhaveno,positive,ornegativeeffectsonout-of-pocketpayments
Kingetal
(2009)indicatetheinsignificantimpactofhealthinsuranceonhealthcare serviceexpendituresforthecaseofhouseholdsinMexico.However,hesaysthatthisinsignificancemaybeduetothefactthatthehealthinsuranceprogramisonlydistributedtot h e p o o r andit lasts just for
thesimilarf i n d i n g
thatthevoluntaryhealthinsurancehasnoimpactonout-of-pocketexpenditures.Hisexplanationisthathealthinsuranceonlypaysforthecostsofhealthcareanddrugs,whilehedefinest h i s variableast h e totalo f t r e a t m e n t ando t h e r relatedtreatmentcosts.A n o t h e r problemmaybeduetomeasurementerrorsinmeasuringout-of-
pocketexpendituresfor theresearchdata
Ekman(2007)researcheshouseholdsinZambiaandshowsthathealth insurancehasn oroletoplayin theprotectionofhouseholdmembersfromthecatastrophe Hefinds thatthisinfluenceofhealthinsuranceismainlyguidedbyt h e qualityandtheprovisionoftheinsurance
Trang 28Theresearchsuggeststhatthehigherincome ahouseholdhas,thelowerrisksofdisastersitincurs,andthefurtherahouseis,comparedtothehealthcareserviceproviders,the
Trang 29higherspendingoncatastropheahouseholdsuffers.Inaddition,thosewhoareemployedorarefarmersconfrontsmallerrisksofdisastersthanothergroups
Ont h e contrary,Fanetal
(2012)f o u n d t h e
negativerelationshipbetweenhealthinsuranceandout-of-pocketpayments.Theresearchshowsthatduringthefirstninemonthsaftertheintroductionofhealthinsurance,bothinpatientandoutpatientexpensesreduceatthes t a t e ofAndhraPradeshinSouthernIndia.Thisresultisprovedtoberobustaftertheuseofquantileregressionandt h e matchin
gm e t h o d A j i etal
(2013)givet h e sameresultswhend o i n g researchinIndonesia.Theysuggestthatthetwolargesthealthinsuranceprogramsaret h e maincauseleadingtothedecreaseinhouseholds’out-of-pocketpayments.VanMinhetal
(2013)identifyingt h e determinantsofhealthspendingoncatastropheshowthattheenrollmento f h
o u s e h o l d s i n healthi n s u r a n c e helpst h e m lowert h e expenditureso n catastropheandimpoverishment.Alkenbracka n d Lindelow(2015)sayt h a t t h o s e w h o a r e insuredhavemoreopportunitiestolowertheirout-of-
pocketpaymentsanddisasterratesthant h o s e whoarenot.They showasurprisingresultthatthehealthinsuranceprogramprotectst h e richbetterthan the poorsincethepoorareunlikelytopayout-of-pocket costs
Thec o n t e x t ofVietnamrisessomehighlightedstudiesontheimpactsofhealthinsuranceonout-of-pocketpayments.Jowettetal
(2003)indicatethatbothvoluntaryhealthands t u d e n t i n s u r a n c e m a k e o u t o f
-p o c k e t -paymentsdecrease.Es-pecially,h e a l t h i n s u r a n c e hel-psreduceout-of-
helpsreduceout-of-pocketpaymentsforVietnamese householdsupto 200%.This effectis c l e a r l y observedthroughtheexpendituresofthepoorratherthantherich.UsingtheVLSSin1 9 9 3 and1998,WagstaffandPradhan(2005)findthathealthinsuranceispositivelylinkedtot h e adoptionofhealthcareservicesandisthereasonfortheincreaseinthehouseholds’visitst o hospitals.Finally,theirstudyholdsthathealthinsuranceisprovedtocauseout-of-
pocketexpenditurestofall.Inthefurtherstudy,Wagstaff(2010)discoversthatalthoughVietnam’sHealthCareFundfor
thepoortrulydoesnothaveanyeffectontheuseofhealthcareservices,i t pocketexpenditures.Sepehrietal
has,ineffect,reducedout-of-(2006),likeWagstaffandPradhan(2005),usethepaneldataofVLSSin1993and1998tomeasuretheeffectsofhealthinsurance.T h e y t h e n c o m e t o t h e sameconclusiont h a t healthinsurancedecreaseso u t - o f -
Trang 30pocketpaymentsaftercontrollingunobservedheterogeneity.Theyshowthathealthinsurancelowersout-of-
Trang 31patientsvisithealthcarecentersatthedistrictorhigherlevelinsteadofthecommunallevel,t h e ycanl o w e r t h e i r expenditureso n healthservices.Botht h e c o m p u l s o r y andv o l u n t a r y healthinsurancehavenoeffectsatthecommunehealthfacilitates.Inaddition,comparedwitht h o s ewhoareuninsured,thosewhoareinsuredcandecreasetheirout-of-pocketpaymentsby3 2 % to40%.
Trang 32Health insurance participation and medical service usage Health insurance Inpatient
Outpatient
Socio-Economic and Demographic Characteristics Age
Gender Education Income Marital status Ethnics
Out-of-pocketexpenses per visit
Living Environment characteristics
Urban area Rural area
CHAPTER
3:RESEARCHMETHODOL OGYANDDATA
Trang 33Thiss t u d y employsP o o l OLS,FixedEffect,R a n d o m Effectregressionst o t e s t t h e impactofhealthinsuranceon out–of–pocketpayments.
Trang 34e s e belowfunctions.
Foreach�,
���=�1���+��+���,�=1,2,….� (3.1)Now,foreach�,averagethisequationovertime.Weget
�̅�=�1�̅�+��+�̅�, (3.2)Where�̅�=�−1∑� ���,andsoon.�� isunchangedo v e r t im e; therefore,i t i s t h esameinthesetwoabovefunctions.Then,thetwoaresubjectedfromeachothertogainthis
followingfunction
���−�̅�=�1(���−�̅�)+���−�̅�,�=1,2,…�,Or
�̈��=�1�̈��+�̈��,�=1,2,…�, (3.3)Where�̈��=���−�̅�isthedifferencebetweentherealvalueandtheaveragevalueof
thedependentvariable.Itissimilartothecaseof�̈��,theindependentvariables,and�̈��,t h e
errorterms.Besidesthenameoffixedeffectstransformation,thismethodisalsonamedthewithintransformation.Intheequation(3.3),theunobservedeffects��isremoved,proposing
theu s e o f P o o l e d OLSestimationf o r t h i s equation.W h e n PooledOLSestimationi s usedundert h i s transformation,t h i s estimatorhast h e nameo f f i x e d effectso r w i t h i n estimator.Accordingto thisestimator,yandxvariatein timewithincross-sectionalobservations
Aftertheadditionofexplanatoryvariablestotheequation(3.3),wegainthemodelforunobservedeffectsat first
���=�1���1+�2���2+⋯+������+��+���,�=1,2,…� (3.4)Then,theapplicationofthefixedeffectsmethodwithtimedummiesandPooledOLSestimationaswhatisexplainedinadvanceisincludedtogetthegeneralequationdemeaning
intimeforeach�
�̈��=�1�̈��1+�2�̈��2+���̈���+�̈��,�=1,2,…� (3.5)Thisequationisestimatedwith PooledOLSregression
Thef i x e d effectsm e t h o d w i l l b e biasedift h e s t r i c t assumptiono f t h e exogenous
problemisbroken.Theassumptionisthattheerrorterm���isnotallowedtocorrelatew i t h
Trang 35independentvariablesacrosstime,butthecrosssectionaldifferencecanhavethecorrelationw i t
h t h e explanatoryvariables.Thetransformationhelpseliminateanyexplanatoryvariable
unchangedthroughtime:�̈��=0forall�and�,if���isconstantacross�
Thedegreeso f f r e e d o m f o r t h i s estimationi s e a s y t o i n c o r r e c t l y identify.In
t h e
equation( 3 5 ) c a l c u l a t e d throughP o o l e d OLS,N T i s t h e totalo b s e r v a t i o n s andk
i s t h e n u m b e r ofindependentvariables.Therefore,thedegreesoffreedomcanbeinferredbytakingsubjectiono f k fromNT.However,t h i s calculationcreatesa m i s l e a d i n g resultbecause,througheachcross-sectionalobservation,thedegreesoffreedomwillreducebyonedueto
farm o r e difficult.Int h e equation,��isdenotedast h e n u m b e r o f t i m e periodsf o r eachindividual�.Basedo n t h i s , �1+�2+⋯+��i sconsideredast h e totalnumbero f
observations.Asmentionedabove,inthebalancedpaneldata,thedemeaningoftimereducest h e degreeso f freedombyo n e f o r eachcrosssectionali n d i v i d u a l T h e packagef o r t h i s regressionm e t h o d alwayss h o w s t h e resulto f t h e degreesoffreedomatt h e endoft h e regressiontoadjustthedegreesoffreedom.Thedegreesoffreedomaresimilarlycalculatedasforthecaseofdummyvariableregression
Whent h e observedi n d i v i d u a l hasonlya singlet i m e period,i t hasn o effecto n t h e f i x e
d effectsestimation.Suchkindofindividualhaszerotimedemeaningandisnotincludedi n t h e estimation.W h a t i s considereddifficultherei s h o w t o determinet h e paneldatai s unbalanced.Iftheindependentvariablesin theunbalancedpaneldatawith missingvaluehave
nocorrelationwiththeerrorterms���,theunbalancedpaneldoesnotmatteratall
3.2.3 3 RandomEffectsModels
Similartofixedeffectsmethod,therandomeffectsmethodstartswiththeunobservedeffectsequation,
���=�0+�1���1+⋯+������+��+��� (3.7)
Trang 36Thesituationthattheunobservedeffecthasnocorrelationwiththeindependentvariablesturnstheequation(3.7)into arandomeffectsmodel.
���(����,��)=0,�=1,2,…�;�=1,2,…,� (3.8)Theassumptionsintherandomeffectsmodelcombinetheassumptionsoffixed
effectsmodelandtheassumptions thattheunobservedvariables arenotcorrelatedwiththeindependentvariables.Ift h e l a t t e r assumptioni s true,t h e singlec r o ss s e c t i o n i s enought o
estimatethecoefficientofindependentvariables��,andthepaneldatashouldnotbe
employed.Nevertheless,t h e method ofasinglecrosssectioncannotbe usedbecauseofits
lacko f essentiali n f o r m a t i o n overt i m e Ifi t t r u l y h a p p e n s , t h e u s e P o o l e d OLSw i t h t i
m e d u m m i e s i s enought o gett h e consistentcoefficientsf o r t h e randomeffectsm o d e l T
h e
equation(3.7)canberewrittenwhenerrortermsaredecomposedby��and���;���=��+
���
���=�0+�1���1+⋯������+��� (3.9)Inthisfunction,theerrorterm��i sdefinedforthetimeperiod;therefore,thetotal
3.2.4 4 RandomEffects orFixedEffects
Fixedeffectsestimationi s consideredt o b e b e t t e r t h a n r a n d o m effectsestimationbecausei t takest h e correlationbetweent h e differencesbetween����and��i n t o consideration.Ontheotherhand,incertainsituation,randomeffectsestimationisstillused
Trang 37Whent h e independentvariablesa r e unchangedacrosst i m e , r a n d o m effectsb u t n o t f i x e deffectsisused.However,theuseofrandomeffectsislimited.Itisappliedonlytheassumptionofthecorrelationbetweenunobserved effectsandindependent variablescannotbecometrue.W h e
n t h e controlo f t i m e i s includedi n t h e functionwitho t h e r independentvariables,randomeffectsis moreeffectiveto applythanPooledOLS
However,i n reality,researcherss t i l l e m p l o y t h e s e t w o estimationmethodsandt e s t whichm e t h o d i s b e t t e r betweenrandomeffectsandf i x e d effectsbytesting thedifferencesbetweent h e coefficientso f e x p l a n a t o r y v a r i a b l e s Hausman(1978)introducedt h e t e s t t o checkf o r thesedifferences.Inreality,iftheH a us m a n testfails,thatis,t h e variationinFEestimationis too bigto identifythesignificantdifferences,either RE orFEcanbeusedfortheestimation.Thefailureofthetestmakesresearcherswonderifthedatacanprovidethemwitht h ecorrectcoefficients.WhentheHausmantestisrejected,FEestimationisemployedbecausetheassumptionofRE iswrong