Master Thesis FACTORSAFFECTINGINTENTIONTOINVESTINGOLD:E VI D ENCE FROMHOCHIMINHCITY,VIETNAM TruongTrungTaiUnivers ityofEconomicsHCMCInternati onalSchoolofBusiness... Researchlimitation..
Trang 3Master Thesis FACTORSAFFECTINGINTENTIONTOINVESTINGOLD:E VI
D ENCE FROMHOCHIMINHCITY,VIETNAM
TruongTrungTaiUnivers ityofEconomicsHCMCInternati
onalSchoolofBusiness
Trang 4Acknowledgement 7
Abstract 8
Chapter1:Introduction 9
1.1 Background 9
1.1.1 Gold asaglobal featureasset 9
1.1.2 DemandforgoldinVietnam 13
1.2 Problem statement 15
1.3 ObjectivesandAims 16
1.4 Researchscope 16
1.5 Significanceofresearch 16
1.6 Thesis structure 17
Chapter2:ReviewofLiterature 19
2.1 Intentionto investingold 19
2.2 Factorsaffectintention toinvestingold 22
2.2.1 Economicbenefits ofinvesting 22
2.2.2 Macroeconomicunexpectedconcern 24
2.2.3 Perceivedinsecurity 25
2.2.4 Conveniencetoinvest 27
Chapter3:MethodandData 29
3.1 Theorical model 29
3.2 Hypothesis 29
3.3 Qualitativeresearch 30
3.3 Measurement 31
3.4 Sample 35
3.5 Data Analysissteps 35
Trang 54.1 Descriptivestatistics 36
4.2 Datareliabilitytest withCronbach’sAlpha 38
4.3 ExploratoryFactorAnalysis(EFA) 41
4.4 Regression analysis 44
4.5 Discussionoffindings 47
Chapter5:Conclusion 50
5.1 Conclusion 50
5.2 Implications 52
5.3 Researchlimitation 53
References 54
Appendices 60
AppendixA:Questionnaire 60
AppendixB:Codifiedvariables 63
AppendixC:EFAresultsofindependentanddependentvariables 66
AppendixD:Regressionresults 72
Trang 6Table1:Samplespecification 36
Table2:Cronbach’salphaofmeasurementscales 39
Table3:EFAresults 41
Table4:Correlationsofvariables 44
Table5:TheANOVAanalysis 45
Table6:Regressionresults 46
Table7:Summaryofhypothesistesting 47
Listoffigures Figure1:Top30countries/organizationholdinggoldasreserveassets(tonnes) 10
Figure2:Worldgolddemandinperiod2000-2015 11
Figure3:Worldgoldpriceperiod1970-2015 11
Figure4:GoldETFholdinginglobalmarket 12
Figure5:Golddemandinselectedcountries 13
Figure6:Vietnamgolddemandperiod2000-2015 14
Trang 7Iwouldliketoexpressmysincerethankfulnesstomyresearchadvisor,Dr.PhamPhuQuoc,whohasguidemeandgavemepossibilitytocompletethisthesis.Iamsuret h a t t h i s t h
e s i s w o u l d n o t h a v e b e e n p o s s i b l e withouthiss u p p o r t Ia l s o t h a n k Prof.Nguyen
D i n h T h o f o r h i s ex p e r t , v a l ua b l e g u i d a n ce , i ns i g h t f u l c o m m e n t s , a n d e n c o
u r a g e m e n t e x t e n d e d t o me
IwouldliketoexpressmygratitudetoallISBstaffsthatsupportednecessarymaterialsandassistance.Especially,Iwouldliketogivemyspecialthankstomyparentwhogavemeinvaluableadvicesandmotivationinmylife
TruongTrungTai
Trang 8AccordingtoWorldGoldCouncil2015report,Vietnamisoneoftopgoldconsumingcountries.TheimpactofgoldonVietnameconomyisuncontroversial.Thiss t u d y aimstoinvestigatethefactorsaffectingpeople’sintentiontousegoldasinvestmenti n s t r u m e n t Wit
ht h e sampleo f 2 4 7 i n d i v i d u a l s i n HCMC,t h e r e s u l t s showt h a t t h r e e factors(EconomicBenefits,MacroeconomicConcern,andPerceivedInsecurity)impacts i g n i f i c a
n t l y onIntentiontoInvestingold
Keywords:g o l d , i n v e s t m e n t b e h a v i o r , V i e t n a m , d e t e r m i n a n t
s , r e a s o n e d a c t i o n approach
Trang 9andductileofallthemetals,andespeciallygoldisratherscarcewithestimatinggoldintheeartharound170,000t o n e s
Goldwasf i r s t u s e d asj e w e l r y i n 3 0 0 0 B C a t M i d d l e E a s t e r n A f t e r 1 5 0 0 years,t h e Shekel,firstformofgoldcoin,wasusedas standardoftradingandexchangeforgoodsinarea.I n1091B.C,goldwasusedasformofmoneyinChina,a bigcountryofancientAsialand.Sincethebeginningof18thc e n t u r yuntiltheshutdownofBrettonWoodregimein1970s,goldi s usedasinternationalstandardforconductingtransactionsandcurrencyexchangearoundtheworld
Ing l o b a l c o n t e x t , goldi s a c c e p t e d a s “ r e a l money”,u n l i k e o t h e r l e g a l t e n d e r c u r r
e n c y havetodependonthepoliticalandeconomicinfluenceofissuingcountryforsecureitsvalue.T h i s isthe reas on whymos t ofc e n t r a l ban ks alwayskeepa portionof g o l d intheirforeignr e s e r v e TheUnitedStatesnotonlyasastrongesteconomy,isalsoacountryholdsthelargestg
o l d stockintheirtreasury
Trang 10organizationholdinggoldasreserveassets(tones)Source:WorldGoldCouncil,2015
Goldisalsousedforindustrialmaterials,religiouscustomsaswellastorepresentwealtha n d poweraroundtheworld(Bernstein,2000).Becauseofitsusefulness,theintrinsicvalueofg o l d stillmaintainhighandirreplaceable.Golddemandinglobalmarketisincreasingbecauseo f recentchaosininternationalfinancialmarket,aswellassomewarriskaroundtheworld.Goldp r i c e s i n c r
e a s e d c o n t i n u o u s l y si nce t h e d o t
-c o m -c o l l a p s e i n t h e year2 0 0 0 T h e n g o l d p r i -c e wassupportedbyaseriesofe-conomi-c-crisesfollowed,suchas“theglobalfinancialcrisisi n year2008”, “theGreekpublicdebt crisisinyear2010”.Itsreachthe
peakatmorethan1650USD/ounceintheyear2012,thengoldpricedecreasesaftertherecoveryoftheUSeconomywasconfirmed
Trang 11Figure2:Worldgolddemandinperiod2000-2015Source:ThomsonReuters
Figure3:Worldgoldpriceperiod1970-2015Source:ThomsonReuters
Trang 12Asia Europe
North America
Goldiswidelyacceptedasinvestmentinstrument,sometimescalled“safehaven”.Investmentingoldaccountformorethanone-
thirdoftotaldemandforgoldinglobalmarket( W o r l d GoldCouncil,2015).Thisshowthatgoldhasbeenafavoredchoiceforinternationalinvestor todiversifytheir portfoliosagainst
therea r e
severalwaystoparticipateingoldinvestment,physicallyandnon-physically.Particularly,o n e candirectlybuyorsellgoldbaringolddirect marketssuchasjewelrystores,banks,orsomefinancialservicecompaniesetc.Anotherway,theycanalsoparticipateinsomee x c h a n g e topurchasegoldexchange-
tradedfunds(ETFs)whichisainvestmentvehiclelikecompanyshare,theyarelistedinpublicexchangeandtheirvalueisassociatedwithgoldpriceinthemarket
Figure4:GoldETFholdinginglobalmarketSource:Blo
omberg
Trang 131.1.2 DemandforgoldinVietnam
InVietnam,goldhasbecomeamaintraditionalassetfortheaccumulationofwealthforal o n g time.AccordingtoWorldGoldCouncil(2015),Vietnamisoneoflargestgoldc o n s u m p t i o
Trang 14importantevents,suchasweddingorstart-upabusiness,goldjewelryisanindispensableitemi n thesedays
Figure6:Vietnamgolddemandperiod2000-2015Source:ThomsonReutersInVietnam,suchasahugedemandforthisspecialkindofgoodmakegoldbecomeoneoftheprioritychoicetoreservewealthforalongtime.Goldisapopulargoodinsociety,event h a t everymarketinVietnamhaveatleastonegoldjewelry store.Tradinggoldandforeignc u r r e n c i e s
assetshaveveryimportantrol e i n Vietname c o n o m y I n Vietnam,c i t i z e n s h a v e t o l e g a l l y p
u r c h a s e g o l d b a r s a t somel i c e n s e d institutions(Nhu&Trang,2014)
Trang 15o l d inhouseholds,estimatingthereare400to1000tonesofgoldkeptinhousesofVietnamesef a
m i l i e s ( T h u y , 2 0 1 3 ) T h e p e o p l e u s e g o l d a s h e d g i n g i n s t r u m e n t a g a i n s t h i g h i nf l
at ion environment,whichcouldcauseimpairmentontheirwealth.ThedemandforgoldinVietnammaketheeconomyhavetroublebecausethegoldimportcontributetothedeficittradeb a l a n c e throughrecentyears
1.2 Problemstatement
Basedonaforementionedinformation,itisclearthatgoldmarketplayaveryimportantroleinVietnameconomicsituation.Goldisanattractiveobjectin t h r ee typesofg ro up : the g o v e
r n m e n t , thebanksandtheinvestors.Thegovernmentwanttoincreasecapitalforeconomicdevelopment,whichcurrentlystayinformofgoldinhouseholds The bankswanttor a i s e d e p o s i t f u n d t h r o u g h g o l d -
r e l a t e d f i n a n c i a l servicef r o m V i e t n a m e s e households.T h e i n v e s t o r s wanttoinvestigatethereasonsbehindgoldpricevolatilityinVietnam
TherearemanystudiesaboutgoldmarketinVietnam,butmostofthempayattentionone m p i r i
c a l
researchongoldpricesandmacro-relatedstudiesaboutinvestmentbehaviorso f Vietnamesehouseholdstowardgold.Althoughtherearealsosomeresearchesthathavebeenc o n d u c t e d inothercountries(Maheranetal2008;Lutter,2008;Hundaletal,2013),however,cultural differencemaynotbeapplicablefordifferentcountrycontext.Thisstudywillfillin
Trang 16relatedissues(Hoang,2004;Hauetal,2013;Sy,2011;Lai,2011).Untilnow,therearenotanymicro-thisg a p i n t e r m s o f u n d e r s t a n d i n g f a c t o r s a f f e c t i n g i n t e n t i o n i n v e s t i n g o l d o fVietnameseh o u s e h o l d s
firstly,thedemographicstructureofthisc i t y isdiverse, meansthatthecityhasmostofpeoplefromalloverthecountries;secondly,g o l d marketinHCMCisveryactiveandeasytoaccesshugenumberoflicensedinstitutions.T h i s studyisconductedbyquestionnairesurveymethodtoexplorein-deptunderstanding off a c t o r s affectingdecisiontoinvestingoldofindividuals
Trang 17prospectisdependonthefundamentalneedsofpeoplearoundtheworld.Theunderstandingabo ut motivationbehindgolddemandsofpeopleindevelopingcountrieslikeVietnamcouldh e l p toforecastthelong-termdemandofthegold.
ForVietnam,this
researchhaveasignificantroleinpolicymakingprocesstoregulatetheg o l d market.T h e l a r g e importf r o m g o l d d e t e r i o r a t e t h e t r a d e b a l a n c e i n V i e t n a m a n d p u t p r e s s u r e onexchangeratemanagement.Understanding whatmakesVietnameselovegoldis t h u s veryimportanttocontrolthegoldmarketanditsimpactoneconomy
1.6 Thesisstructure
Thispaperisorganizedasfollow:
Chapter1:thischapterpresentthehistoryofgolddemandintheworldandinVietnammarket,asw e l l a s d i s c u s s e s a b o u t t h e p r o b l e m f a c e d byV i e t n a m g o v e r n m e n t
a b o u t g o l d demand
Chapter2:thischapterpresentthetheoreticalperspectivesof theresearch,contextandthefactorsthatmatters
Trang 18Chapter5:thischapterisforconclusionandsomeissuesrelatedtothisresearch.
Trang 192.1 Intentiontoinvestingold
AccordingtoAckertandDeaves(2010)theinvestingisacomplicatedprocessinhumanmind.Investmentatsimplemeaning:thespendingofmoneyorcapitalinanefforttoincreasew e a l t h Themajorityofushavebeentaughtthatonlycanmakemoneybyearningajobandfocusonit,andthat'sexactlywhatmostofusdo.Thebigproblemis:ifwewantmoremoney,w e havetoworko ve
r ti me, andwehavethe moneyinhandb ut notimetospendonleisure p l e a s u r e s Wecannotmakeacopytoincreasetheirworkingtime,soinstead,wehavetogiveu p partofpropertytomakethemworkforus.Thatway,whilewe're busyinwork,orevenwhileyou'remowingthelawn,sleep,readnewspapersorcommunicatewithfriends,we canstillearnmoneyelsewhere.Quitesimply,investingactivitiescanmakeourmoney
toworkforu s tomaximizetheearningpotentialratherthandemandinghigherwages,overtimedecisionorf i n d i n g anewjobwithhigherpay
Investmentisnotagamble.Gamblingistobetonanuncertainoutcomewiththehopethatyouc a n e a r
n m o n e y ifl u c k i l y th e e x p e c t e d e v e n t o c c u r s H o w e v e r , o n e r e a s o n t h a t p e o p l e c o
n f u s e i n v e s t i n g a n d a g a m b l e b e c a u s e o f t h e wayt h a t somep e o p l e c o n d u c t i n
v e s t m e n t a c t i o n Fore x a m p l e , s o m e b o d y mighth e a r t h e rumorsa b o u t c o m p a n y ’ s
i n f o r m a t i o n b e i n g smuggledo u t a n d t h e y buyt h e companys h a r e withoutc a r e f u l analysisi t s f i n a n c i a l s t a t u s , b a s i c a l l y theirbehaviorlikeputtingmoneyintoacasino
Trang 20Expectationtheoryclaimthatinvestortendstoseeasignificantabilitytooffsetthelossesr a t h e r thanmakealotofprofit.Inthecaseofinvestmentswiththeabilitytobringprofit,theyl i k e tograspimmediatelythecurrentprofitsratherthantryingtocontinuetoinvestinordertog a i n moreprofitsinthefuture.Intheoppositecase,wheninvestmentsareatriskoflosses,theytry tomaintaint h e h o p e t h e situationwillg e t b e t t e r a n d p r o f i t a b l e i n t h e f u t u r e d e s p i t e t h e g r e a t e r r i s k o f l o s s i s h u g
e B a s e d o n t h e i n f o r m a t i o n t h e p o s i t i v e d i r e c t i o n i n t h e market,in v e s t o r s buya n
d w i l l promptlyproceedt o sellwhenpricesa r e risinga n d a c h i e v e d e s i r e d p r o f i t a b i l i t y analysiswithoutt h e c a p a c i t y toi n c r e a s e p r o f i t s B e c a u s e theyb e l i e v e t h a t t h e c u r r e n
t assetpricefullyreflectstheexpectedinformation
The“adverse risktheory”suggestsynonym oft hi s behavior A s y m m e t r i c natureo
f th e psy ch olog y ofinvestorsbetweenthevaluestheyexpecttoprofitandloss,istheriska
hasshownthatpeopleweigh“losspain”ismanytimesmoret h a n t h e “ p r o f i t g a i n ” Sucha s i n v e s
t o r s t e n d t o maintainthel o s s p o s i t i o n i n t h e h o p e t h a t prices willeventuallyrebound.Theadverserisktheorycanexplainthebehaviorofinvestorsh o l d i n g assetforlongtimewhilepricegodown
“Mentalaccountingtheory”provideainterestingexplanationforthetopic.Investorstendto splitthedecisionsonthe"virtualaccounts"inthebraininsteadofcombiningthemintoau n i f i
e d whole,andgenerallyhandlethesedecisionsindependently,sodonotpayattentiontot h e correlationoftheseaccounts.Andthen,theymakeagreatdecisionlookedreasonable,butinfactiswrongbecauseinrealityeventstendtobecorrelatedwitheachothers
Trang 21Somepsychological testhave shownthat peoplege ne ra ll y believethattheybetter
t ha no t h e r s , thisoftenexaggeratedtheirunderstanding.Overconfidentstateincreasetheinvestmenta c t i v i t y becauseitmakesinvestorsreadyfortheirviewsthatignorethefurtherreferencefromo t h e r investors.Overconfidentinvestorsarealwaysperceivedtheiractionslessriskythanotheri n v
e s t o r s feel.Sometimestheseoverconfidentinvestorsmisinterpretthevalueofinformationtheyreceive,nottheauthenticitybutalsothesenseofwronginformation
The“conservativetheory”alsosuggestthefamiliarexplanationaboutinvestingprocess.Wheneconomicconditionschangepeopletendtoreactslowlytochanges,theytiedtheirmindtothe generalsituationinaearlierperiod.Thatmeanswhentheybelieve
theeconomydecline,theysaidthatthisisonlytemporary,long-termeconomyisstillgoingup,buttheycannotseet h e signalsf o r a cy c l i c a l d o w n t u r n h a s s t a r t
e d Anda f te r a pe r i o d o f time,theyha s n o t yetf ound thesituationimproved,peoplerushedtosellasset.Asaresult,themarketfluctuationsu n e x p e c t e d l y
The"herd"e f f e c t h a s alwayse x i s t e d i n t h e p r o c e s s o f d e c i s i o n makingo f i n v
e s t o r s , r e g a r d l e s s ofwhether theyhaveexperienceor not.Theinfluence ofthistypeofpsychologybecomesc l e a r e r w h e n i n v e s t o r s u n d e r p r e s s u r e t o maked e c i s i o n squickly,withoute n o u g h i n f o r m a t i o n needed.Whenpersonalconfrontationwiththeopinionofthegroup,theytendtochangetheiranswers,becausetheythink,alltheotherscannotwrong.Intentioni s d e f i n e d asi n d i v i d u a l p e r c e p t i o n t o w a r d s p r o b a b i l i t y t o c o
n d u c t b e h a v i o r ( F i s h b e i n andAjzen,1975;GopiandRamayah,2007).Individualinvestors’intentiontowards
Trang 22atypicalinstrumentmaybestronglyimpactbytheirattitudesabouttheperceivedcharateristicsab o u t thisinvestinginstrument.Investorsmaybeinterestedininvestinginaparticularinstrumentonlywhentheyhavetimeandskilltoevaluatetheinstrumentandhavemoneytoi n v e s t T h e r e f o r e ,
2.2 Factorsaffectintentiontoinvestingold
2.2.1 Economicbenefitsofinvesting
Thetensionofrelationshipbetweenhomecountryandothercountriesisalsoamotivationf a c t o r
forinvestortochoosegoldassafeassetbecauseofitsglobalacceptance.Recently,the
Trang 23(BaurandLucey,2010).InVietnam,t h e r e areoftenfourchannelsforindividualstoinvesttheirmoney:realestate,gold,stock,andsavingdeposits(Vy,2014).Therefore,gold couldbeseenasinvestmentvehiclefor diversifingp o r f o l i o reason.
Trang 24Tax-relatedissuesingoldinvestmenthavenotyetfulfilled,sountilnowthereisnottaxi n c u r r e d whenpeoplesellingtheirgoldasset.Thisisabigadvantageofgoldinvestmentwhencomparedtootherinvestingvehicles(currentlyincometaxisappliedforstockandrealestatet r a d i n g )
2.2.2 Macroeconomicunexpectedconcern
Thereisanuncontroversialagreementthatmacroeconomicnewsandgoldpriceiscorrelatedstrictlyinglobalcontext.Therearesomanyevidencefoundthatgoldpriceisverysensitivetomacroeconomicindicators(RoacheandMarco,2009)
Therearemanyo f macroeconomicindicators,butfewofthemareclosetopublick n o w l e dg e AccordingtoRutaandAnjali(2014)therearefiveeconomicindicatorthathavemostimpactinvestorsinmarket,theyare:priceindex,grossdomesticproduct(gdp)growth,e x c h a n
g e rate,foreigninvestmentandthemoneysupply
Oneofthemostimportantrolesofgoldisforinflationhedging.InVietnam,goldpriceandpriceindexarestronglycorrelated,hencegoldseemstobeagoodinstrumentforinflationd e f e n
d i n g (CucandReza,2013).Somestudiesshowthatinvestorschoosegoldasdisinflationinstrumentbecausetheybelieveinhigherreturnofgoldduringinflationperiods,theyalsohaveg o o d characteristicstobecomeeffectivehedgeinsteadofpurelyfinancialassetslikestocksandb o n d s
(WorthingtonandPahlavani,2007;Lutter,2008)
ExchangerateVND/
USDconsecutivelydepreciateinrecentyears,makedomesticc u r r e n c y l e s s a t t r a c t i v e f
o r savingo f h o u s e h o l d s InVietnam,i n d i v i d u a l s a r e r e s t r i c t e d t o
Trang 26 Radicaluncertaintysecuritydealswith“measuresdesignedtoprovidesafetyfromexceptionala n d r a r e v i o l e n c e /
t h r e a t s , whicha r e n o t d e l i b e r a t e l y i n n a t e d bya n e x t e r n a l orinternalagent,butcan stillthreaten drasticallytodegradethe qualityofl i f e ”
Informationsecuritydealswithfeelingtobesafewithcurrentinformationsystemsuchasfreeofhacker,virusorsomethingtostealpersonalinformationandharmth e informationsystem
Trang 272.2.4 Conveniencetoinvest
Whyi s t h e r e investment vehiclemorepopularand preferable,eveniftheyarenotprofitable thanothers?Oneofmainreasonisthat: theconveniencetoinvest inthatinstrument.AccordingtoChang&Polonsky(2012)“convenienceistheabilitytoreduceconsumers’non-
m o n e t a r y costs( i e , time,e n e r g y ande f f o r t ) whenp u r c h a s i n g oru s i n g g o o d s a n d s e r
v i c e s T h e s e arefivetypesofconvenience:
Decisionconvenienceis“importantwhenconsumersneedtodecidehowtoobtainapart
icularservicegiventhatmultipleprovidersanddeliveryoptionsareusuallyavailable”.Thismeansthatpeoplepreferthegoodsorservicesthattheyhavelessc h o i c e s
t h a n
o t h e r , andofcoursemaketheythinkthattheiropportunitycostislessthano t h e r p l a c
e s G o l d i s a d h e r e n t a b e s t c h o i c e c o m p a r e d too t h e r i n v e s t m e n t suchasrealestateorstocks(theyhavesomanyoptionstopickup)
Accessc o n v e n i e n c e i n v o l v e s t h e “ perceivedtimea n d e f f o r t neededt o
i n i t i a t e servicedelivery”,thatispeoplepreferthegoodand servicewithfeature“serve-as-you-
want”,withtechnologytodaycompanycanprovidegoodsandservicesaroundt h e clock,24/7,throughtelephoneorinternet-basedsystem
Transactionconvenienceinfluencesconsumers’“whentheyneedtosecureaservice”,f
orexample,alotofpeopletodayfearofonlineshoppingbecausethey
Trang 28worryabout hackingthrough internet,sotheysupposethat directshopping
ismoresecured!
Benefitconvenienceinvolves“consumers’experienceoftheservice”,ortheextrav
a l u e theyreceivewhentheypurchasegoodorservices,forexample,wepreferagiftstorewithextrapackedservices
Post-benefitc o n v e n i e n c e r e l a t e s t o a c t i v i t i e s “ afterc o r e i n t e r a c t i o
n s h a v e occurred”suchasthegoodreturnpolicy,takecarecustomerserviceorsomethingtokeeplongtermrelationshipwithbuyer
Trang 29Perceived economic benefits
Trang 30Theinterviewwasstarted withpresenting theorganization, thepurposeofth e researchand howitmakeinsimpletermstoclarifythetheirroleforinterviewees.Theinformationwasp
respondents.Beforetheinterviewwasconduct, respondentswereexplainedthattheiranswerswillbekeptconfidential
Trang 31begivenexpressioningeneraltermssuchas“Gladtomeetyou,h owareyoutoday?”or“Yourdressisfashionable,wheredidyoubuyit?”.Thesequestionso f t e n stimulateanintervieweetogiveopinionsinmoreopenenvironment, theywillexplainf u r t h e r t h e i r a n s w e r s d u r i n
g t h e i n t e r v i e w T o a v o i d m i s l e a d i n g a n s w e r , t h e a u t h o r d i d n o t revealopinionsonthetopicsdiscussed.Somequestionformatwasstrictlyusedduringi n t e r v i e w suchas:“CanyoutellmeaboutthegoldinVietnam?”,“Whydoyouchoosegoldasinvestment?”,“Whatdopeoplethinkandfeeltohearaboutpurchasinggold?”
Afterhavingin-depth-interviewwithrespondents,thesamplequestionnairewaspresentedt o clarifytheunderstandingofpeople
tobeorganizedtoclearlyandconsistentunderstandingthroughmostofrespondents.Inadditiontoq u e s t i o n s , r e s p o n d e n t s werea l s o askeda b o u t t h e c o v e r l e t t e r tomakei t morep o l i t e
Trang 32Arey o u a g r e e w i t h t h e f o l l o w i n g :
(1.S t r o n g l y d i s a g r e e ; 2 D i s a g r e e ; 3 Disagreesomewhat;4.Neutral;5.Agreesomew hat;6.Agree;7.Stronglyagree)
Trang 34Arey o u a g r e e w i t h t h e f o l l o w i n g :
(1.S t r o n g l y d i s a g r e e ; 2 D i s a g r e e ; 3 Disagreesomewhat;4.Neutral;5.Agreesomew hat;6.Agree;7.Stronglyagree)
Trang 35conductedbyq u est i on n ai re
surveymethodtoexplorein-depthunderstandingoffactorsaffectingdecisiontoinvestingoldofindividuals.Thereare300handoutsofquestionnaireareissue,thenumberofvalidreturnedis247(82.3%),thedataiscollectedfromconvenientsampling
3.5 DataAnalysissteps
Aftercheckingforerrorandvalidofrawdata,theproposedproceduresforthisstudyisasfo ll ows:Step1:CheckingmeasurementreliabilitybyCronbachalphacriteria
Step2 : UsingFactorAnalysis( E F A
-E x p l a t o r y FactorAnalysis)f o r c h e c k i n g f a c t o r structureofdata
Step3:Applingmultipleregressiontoexplorethedeterminantweightoffactors
Trang 36Thispartpresentsthedescriptivestatistics,thereliabilityandhypothesesetesting.Ther e l i
a b i l i t y ofdatawillbea s s e s s e d byusingC r o n b a c h ’ s a l p h a a n d E F A A f t e r t h a t , t h ehypothesesa n d theeffectoffactorsoni n v e s t m e n t i n t e n t i o n willbetestedbythec o l l e c t
Trang 38distributeda m o n g g r o u p s o f income.T h e m a j o r i t y ofp a r t i c i p a n t s h a v i n g i n c o m e from5
- 15millionVND/
month( 6 4 8 % o f s a m p l e s i z e ) , a n d a r e l a t i v e s i g n i f i c a n t p e o p l e h a v e i n c o m e morethan15million/
month(30%ofsamplesize).Mostofparticipanthaveeducationlevelatu n d e r g r a d u a t e (51.4%)andhighschooldiplomat(27.1%).Thesectoroftheircareerisfairlyd i s t r i b u t e d amongpublic(42.5%)andprivate(42.5%)sectors.Thereareabout61.5%ofthe sampleusedtobuygoldforinvestmentbefore,andmostofthem willingtobuyatjewelryshop( 5 7 5 % ) andatbanks(30.8%)
4.2 DatareliabilitytestwithCronbach’sAlpha
Reliabilityofthescalewasassessedbymeansofinternalconsistency
throughCronbach'salphacoefficient.UsingthemethodofcoefficientreliabilityCronbach'sAlpha(beforefactor