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Air Transport Research Society World Conference

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Oum, President of the ATRS 10:30 - 12:00 The Plenary Panel Session - Room C Theme: Evolving Future Roles of the Airports in Air Transport Industry, and National and Continental Economie

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Society World Conference - 2004

July 1-3, İstanbul, TURKEY

Organized by

Air Transport Research Society

A Special Interest Group of the WCTR Society

Hosted by:

İ stanbul Technical University

Faculty of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Turkey

http://www.itu.edu.tr/

Sponsored by:

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SCHEDULE OF EVENTS

Thursday, 1 st July, 2004 10:30-12:00 ATRS Airport Benchmarking Task Force Meeting

(SDKM, Meeting Room, ITU) - Task Force members only

12:00-14:00 ATRS Networking/Executive Committee Luncheon

Meeting Place: (Balıkçı Hasan, Tarabya) 15:00-18:00 Conference Registration (SDKM, Atrium, ITU)

18:00-19:30 Welcome Reception (SDKM, Atrium, ITU)

Friday, 2 nd July, 2004 09:30 – 10:00 Registration (SDKM, Atrium, ITU)

10:00 – 10:30 Conference Opening (SDKM, Room C, ITU)

10:30 – 12:00 Plenary Session (Emerging Roles of Major

Airports in Air Transport System and Economy :

(SDKM, Room C, ITU)

12:00 – 13:30 Lunch

(All Concurrent Session Tracks will be in SDKM rooms A, B, C, D, and

E, respectively)

13:30 – 15:00 Concurrent Sessions I

15:00 – 15:30 Refreshments

15:30 – 17:00 Concurrent Sessions II

17:00 – 17:30 Refreshments

17:30 – 19:00 Concurrent Sessions III

19:30 Conference dinner (Park Orman Restaurant)

Busses depart from SDKM at 19:15 for the MNG Airlines Conference dinner

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Saturday, 3 rd July, 2004 09:30 – 11:00 Concurrent Sessions IV

11:00 – 11:30 Refreshments

11:30 – 13:00 Concurrent Sessions V

13:00 – 14:15 Lunch

14:15 – 15:45 Concurrent Sessions VI

15:45 – 16:15 Refreshments

16:15 – 18:00 ATRS Global Airport Performance Benchmarking

Award Presentation and Closing Plenary Session

(Room C)

*Details on the ATRS and its 2004 Conference are available at www.atrs2004.itu.edu.tr or www.atrsworld.org The paper listed in the program are tentative in order to provide information on the types of papers

to be presented at the conference There may be some shifting of the papers

between the sessions

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Detailed list of events, speakers, and sessions

Friday, July 2, 2004 09:30-10:00 Registration - SDKM, Atrium, ITU

10:00-10:30 The ATRS 2004 Conference Opening - SDKM,

Room C, ITU

Conference Chair: Prof Dr Mehmet Fevzi Unal, ITU

Welcoming Speeches by ?????

Welcome by Professor Tae H Oum, President of the ATRS

10:30 - 12:00 The Plenary Panel Session - Room C

Theme: Evolving Future Roles of the Airports in Air Transport Industry, and National and

Continental Economies

Cathal Guiomard, Head of Economics Affairs, and Deputy Commissioner, at

the Irish Commission for Aviation Regulation (CAR), “An Airport Regulator’s View “

Mario Diaz, Deputy General Manager, Atlanta Hartsfield International

Airport, USA;

Mogens Kornbo, Vice President, Copenhagen Airports A/S, Denmark;

Craig Richmond, Vice President, Vancouver International Airport

Authority, Canada

Bill Swan, Chief Economist – Marketing, Boeing Commercial Aircraft Co.,

“An Aircraft Manufacturer’s view”

Co-chaired by:

Professor Tae H Oum, President, the ATRS, and

UPS Foundation Chair in Transport and Logistics Sauder School of Business

University of British Columbia, Canada Professor Fevzi Unal, the ATRS 2004 Annual Conference Chairman

Professor of Aerospace Engineering, Istanbul Technical University, Turkey

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July 2, 2004 ; 13:30 - 15:00 Concurrent Sessions Series 1

Session 1A: Demand for Air Travel – I (Room A)

Chair: Respicio Antonio Do Espirito SANTO, Jr., Federal Univ of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

1 Bryn BATTERSBY, Commonwealth Treasury, Australia,

“Conclusions on Capacity, Utility And Air-Travel Demand in Regional Australia”

2 Yonghwa PARK, Asia Pacific School of Logistics, Korea; Sungyeol

OH and Seungho LEE, Korea Transport Institute, “Analysis for the

Impact on Aviation Demand by High-Speed Railroad Service: The Case of Korea”

3 Narjess TEYSSIER, Airbus, “Forecasting The European Air Travel Demand Through The Supply Side Segmentation”

4 Cherie LU, Toko University, “The impacts of environmental charges on airlines and passenger demand”

Session 1B: Air Transport Development (Room B)

Chair: Jaap de WIT, Univ of Amsterdam, The Netherlands

1 Chuck EVANS, Bombardier Aerospace, “The Wheel and Spoke Network”

John MOLSON, School of Economics, Canada, “Stuck in

the Middle Revisited: The Case of the Airline Industry”

3 Anming ZHANG, University of British Columbia,

Canada; Lawrence LEUNG, Japhet LAW, Michael FUNG,

Chinese University of Hong Kong, “An Overview Air

Cargo Industry in China: The Impact of Globalization, WTO, and Enterprise Reforms”

4 Joel SHON, Tainan Woman’s College of Arts &

Technology, Taiwan, “Global Supply Chain Management

of the Laptop Industry: The Revolutionary Air Cargo Logistic of Taiwan Direct Shipping”

Session 1C Low Cost Carriers I (Room C)

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Chair: Paul HOOPER

1 Jan-Christoph DÜDDEN and Kai HÜSCHELRATH,

Deutsche Lufthansa AG, “Airline Network Competition

-The effects of Low Cost Carrier Market Entry on Hub & Spoke Carriers”

2 Nigel DENNIS, University of Westminster, “Running out of Steam? – The Growth Prospects for European Low-Cost Airlines”

3 Triant FLOURIS and Thomas WALKER, John Molson

School of Business, Canada, “The Financial Performance

of Low-Cost and Conventional-Cost Airlines in Times of Crisis”

4 Peter MORREL, Cranfield University, “Are Low Cost Carrier Offshoots the Best Short to Medium Strategy for Full-Service Network Airlines?”

Session 1D Air Transport Policy and Regulation (Room D)

Chair: Young-Heok LEE, Hankuk Aviation Univ., Korea

1 Maeng-Sern KIM and Kwang-Eui YOO, Hankuk Aviation

University, Korea, “A Review of Civil Aviation Operation and

Some Suggestions Concerned with Opening Direct Flight Routes Between Two Koreas”

2 Matthias FINGER, ILEMT / EPFL and Michel PIERS, NLR, “Air Transport Regulation Under Transformation: The Case of Switzerland”

3 Ender GEREDE, Anadolu University, School of Civil Aviation,

“The Evolution of Turkish Air Transport Industry: A Perspective

of Liberalization Process”

4 Andreas KNORR,University of Bremen, Germany, “Illegal Subsidies for Ryanair? An Economic Analysis of the EU Commission's Charleroi Ruling”

Session 1E Airline Management and Operations – I (Room E)

Chair: M Fevzi Ünal, Istanbul Technical Univ., Turkey

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1 Jinn-Tsai WONG, National Chiao Tung University, “Airline Yield Management: Should High Fare Passengers Always Be Prioritized”

2 Wenbin WEI, San Jose State University, “Game-Theoretic Analysis of Airlines’ Choice of Aircraft Size in a Competitive Environment”

3 Luca GRAF, University of St Gallen, Switzerland,

“Incompatibilities of Airline Business Models in the Same Entrepreneurial System”

4 Moble BENEDICT, Ashim BHATTACHARYA, Rajkumar PANT,

Indian Institute of Technology, Bombay, Powai, Mumbai,

“Economic Benefit of Operating Turboprop Regional Aircraft on Three Short Haul Routes in India”

July 2, 2004 ; 15:30 – 17:00 Concurrent Sessions Series 2

Session 2A Demand for Air Travel – II (Room A)

Chair: Joel Shon, Tainan Woman’s College of Arts & Tech, Taiwan

1 Nenad NJEGOVAN, Civil Aviation Authority, UK, “A New Approach to Predicting Short-term Shifts in Demand for Business Travel by Air”

2 Stephane HESS, Imperial College, London, “Mixed Logit Modeling of Airport Choice in The San Francisco Bay Area”

3 Keith MASON, Cranfield University, “The Value and Usage

of Ticket Flexibility for Short Haul Business Travelers”

4 Marcelo Baena MORENO, Energyarc Industrial Limitada and

Carlos MULLER, ITA – Instituto Tecnologico de Aeronautica,

Brazil, “Airport Choice in Sao Paulo Metropolitan Area: An

Analysis Based on Passenger Market Segmentation”

Session 2B Inter-Modal Services (Room B)

Chair: Anthony CHIN, National Univ of Singapore

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1 Syahriah BACHOK, International Islamic University,

“High Speed Air-Rail Service : The Study of Multimodal Travellers Information System of KLIA Ekspres services, Malaysia”

2 Andreas EICHINGER and Andreas KNORR, University of

Bremen, “Potential and Limitations of Air-rail Links”

3 Choongyeol YE, Korea Transport Institute, “An Assessment of Sea-Air Multimodal Transportation in Northeast Asia”

4 Nicolas GRUYER, Nathalie LENOIR, Isabelle LAPLACE,

ENAC, “Air and Rail: Cooperating and Competing?”

Session 2C Low Cost Carriers II (Room C)

Chair: Fariba ALAMDARI, Cranfield Univ UK

1 Alessandro OLIVEIRA, University of Warwick, and

Cristian HUSE, London School of Economics, “Localized

Competitive Advantage and Price Reactions to Low Cost Carrier Entry in the Brazilian Airline Industry”

2 Richard KLOPHAUS, Trier University of Applied

Sciences, Umwelt-Campus Birkenfeld, “Frequent Flyer

Programs for European Low-Cost Airlines: Prospects, Risks and Implementation Guidelines”

3 Zizah Che SENIK, National University of Malaysia, “Air Asia -The Pioneer Low Fares Airline In Asia: Is It a Duplication of Southwest Airlines?”

4 Christian HOFER, Martin DRESNER, Robert WINDLE,

University of Maryland, “Hub Premiums in an Era of

Low-Cost Carriers and Financial Distress”

Session 2D Air Transport Policy and Regulation II (Room

D)

Chair : Eddy van de VOORDE, Univ of Antwerp, Belgium

1 Peter FORSYTH, Monash University, Australia, “Open Skies in ASEAN”

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2 Anthony PERL and Judith PATTERSON, University of

University, “The Aviation Policy and Management Challenges of High-Priced Petroleum”

3 Jean BRESSON, ENAC, “Air Transport Industries: Long Term Prospective Thoughts - Stackes and Challenges”

4 Hun-Koo HA and Yonghwa PARK, Inha University, Korea, “Causes

of Air-transport Demand Changes in Korea”

Session 2E Airline Management and Operations – II (Room E)

Chair: M Ş KAVSAOGLU, Istanbul Technical Univ., Turkey

1 Bill SWAN, Boeing; Nicole ADLER, Hebrew University “Aircraft Trip Cost Parameters: A Function of Stage Length and Seat Capacity”

2 Érico Soriano Martins SANTANA, Mauricio Ferreira HUPALO,

Milton Valdir de Matos FEITOSA, Carlos MÜLLER, Sao Jose dos

Campos Brazil, “A Simulation Based Analysis Of Aircraft’s Delay

And Operational Costs At Sao Paulo Terminal Maneuvering Area (TMA-SP)”

3 Chien-tsung LU, Central Missouri State University, “Aviation Rulemaking Dynamics in the United States: An Inductive Research of Nonregulatory Maintenance Resource Management (MRM) Training”

4 Mário Marcondes MACHADO, Vladimir Lima da SILVA, Gustavo

ZANETTINI, Respicio A Espirito SANTO Jr., Federal University of

Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, “A Fuzzy-Logig Approach to the Aircraft

Acquisition Procedure in Brazil”

July 2, 2004; 17:30 – 19:00 Concurrent Sessions Series 3

Session 3A Airport Governance and Regulation (Room A)

Chair: Valerie DUFOUR, Transport Canada, Canada

1 Achim CZERNY, Berlin University of Technology, “Price Cap Regulation of Congested Airports: Single-Till Versus Dual-Till”

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2 Shinya HANAOKA, Asian Institute of Technology,

“Privatization and Productivity Performance of Thailand Airports”

3 P.S SENGUTTUVAN, Airports Authority of India, “A Global Trends, Issues and Impact of Airport Privatization

in Developing Economies - A Theoritical Approach”

4 Guillaume BURGHOUWT, Ton KREUKELS, Jaap de WIT,

Netherlands, “Flexible Planning and Flexible Pricing of

Hub Airport Facilities”

Session 3B Passenger Services Quality and Evaluation

(Room B)

Chair: Yurdanur TULUNAY, Istanbul Technical Univ., Turkey

1 John F O'CONNELL and George WILLIAMS, Cranfield

University, “A Comparison of the Passenger Perception

and Selection Criteria Between No-Frills And Full Service Airlines in a Mature European Market and in a Fast Growing Asian Market”

2 Mustafa KARAŞAHİN and R Koray KIRILDI, Süleyman

Demirel University, “Terminal Performance Measurement

of Antalya Airport From Customer’s View Point”

3 Jin-Long LU and Chun-Yi CHEN, Chang Jung Christian

University, “The Differences Between Cross-Strait

Airlines in Service Quality – The Viewpoint of Taiwanese Travelers”

4 Mark LIJESEN, Netherlands Bureau for Economic

Policy, “Analysis Measuring Consumer Valuation of

Frequency in Civil Aviation”

Session 3C Low Cost Carriers III (Room C)

Chair: Martin DRESNER, Univ of Maryland, USA

1 Dieter WILKEN and Peter BERSTER, German Aerospace Center

(DLR), “Market Penetration and Demand Generation of Low Cost

Carriers in Germany”

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2 Paul HOOPER, “Challenges Facing Emerging Low Cost Airlines in Asia”

3 Fariba ALAMDARI, Cranfield University, “Strategies for full

cost competition”

4 Anthony CHIN, National University of Singapore, “Wither Asian Budget Airlines?”

Session 3D Environmental Issues and Policy (Room D)

Chair: Cheng-min FENG, National Jiaotong University, Taiwan

1 Ralf BERGHOF, German Aerospace Centre,

“Constrained Scenarios On Aviation And Emissions -CONSAVE 2050 Project (EC-funded)”

2 Etienee de VILLEMEUR and Kévin GUITTET, University of

Toulouse, “Optimal Structure of Air Transportation

Services when Environmental Costs are Taken into Account”

3 Uğur KESGİN, Yıldız Technical University, “A Study on the Aircraft Emissions at Turkish Airports”

4 André Felipe SIMÕES, Roberto Schaeffer Respicio A.

Espirito SANTO Jr, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro,

Brazil, “Mitigation Alternatives for Co2 Emissions by the

Air Transport Industry in Brazil”

Session 3E Airline Operation and Management III (Room E)

Chair: Hans-Martin NIEMIER, Univ of Bremen, Germany

1 Zhi WANG, Charles Sturt University NSW Australia, “Maintaining

a Technological Edge: Analysis of the Business Model”

2 Yu-Chiun CHIOU, Feng Chia University, “Routes Performance Evaluating for Domestic Airlines, by Data Envelopment Analysis”

3 John LAINOS, “Particularities of Labor Productivity in An International Scheduled Airline.CASE STUDY : The comparative change of the average labor’s productivity trend between the ΟLYMPIC AIRWAYS's S.A (Greece) and the average Ι.Α.Τ.Α.'sLYMPIC AIRWAYS's S.A (Greece) and the average Ι.Α.Τ.Α.'s Airline (1975-2000)”

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4 Seockjin HONG, University of Incheon; Francois VELLAS,

University of Toulouse, “Efficiency Study of Airlines and Air Cargo

Divisions- Using a DEA Approach”

Saturday, July 3, 2004 July 3, 2004, 9:30-11:00 Concurrent Sessions Series 4

Session 4A Airport Management and Operation I (Room A)

Chair: Hayri ACAR, Istanbul Technical Uni., Turkey

1 Tomoki ISHIKURA, Yoshihisa SUGIMURA, National Institute for

Land and Infrastructure Management, Japan, “A Financial Analysis

of Incheon Int'l Airport and Kansai Int'l Airport”

2 David JARACH, SDA Bocconi Business School, “Aviation-Related Airport Marketing in an Overlapping Metropolitan Catchment Area: The Case of Milan’s Three Airports”

3 P.S SENGUTTUVAN, Airports Authority of India, “Study on Modern Strategic Marketing Tecniques Espouse "Airport Brand Building" in the Emerging Airport Internationalization Era"

4 Vildan KORUL, Anadolu University, “Guide to the Implementation

of Iso 14001 at Airports”

5 Ayça KOLUKISA, Anadolu University, “A Comparison Between Turkey's and Developed Countries' Ground Handling Sector Along with the Possible Tasks to be Done in the Adaption Period”

Session 4B Airline Economics: Application of Game Theory (Room B)

Chair: Ken BUTTON, George Mason University

1 David CAHILL, Kuehne-Centre fro Logistics

Management, “A Game Theoretic Approach for Modelling

Negotiations Between No Frills Airlines And Airports”

2 Karim ZBIDI, ENAC, “Entry Models of Multiple Agents: Empirical Application to Domestic Air Transport within the European Union”

3 Li ZOU, Martin DRESNER, and Robert WINDLE, University of

Maryland, “Many Fields of Battle: How Cost Structures

Affect Competition Across Multiple Markets”

4 Marco ALDERIGHI, Bocconi Universtiy; Alessandro CENTRO,

Peter NIJKAMP, and Piet RIETVELD, Free University, Amsterdam,

“The Entry of Low Cost Airlines: Price Competition in the European Airline Market”

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