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CDUVTCEV Vietnam is a country that is assessed to have a lot of potential in creating solar energy sources, the number of solar power projects is increasingly spreading across the countr

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CDUVTCEV

Vietnam is a country that is assessed to have a lot of potential in creating solar energy sources, the number of solar power projects is increasingly spreading across the country However, making investment decisions based on project efficiency as well as construction management of solar energy projects and project infrastructure is still new In the context

of this development, students have conducted surveys and researched the factors affecting the efficiency or productivity of a solar power project

By studying previous studies, papers and surveying the experts, the study identified

16 factors that directly affect the productivity of a solar power plant construction project in Vietnam, such as: The responsiveness of the local power grid, the intensity of light and the intensity of solar radiation emitted, the elevation of the construction terrain,È etc These

factors will be an important reference base for Investors evaluate the initial potential when intending to invest in a solar power project

Beside of finding out 16 factors affecting the productivity of solar power systems, the study also optimizes the predictive performance of solar power systems by using Clementine software (or also known as IBM SPSS Modeler) applies six single artificial intelligence models including: linear regression (LR), generalized linear regression (GENLIN), artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM), Classification

to conduct the analysis to exploit the data collected from the Global Solar Atlas website Six models were used independently to mine the collected data, by performing cross-validation using the k-fold model Six single models with 10 data files are evaluated through the SI performance factor from which students continue to create four combinated models that combine the best performing single models to optimize results predicting the yield of a solar power construction project

The results show that for the single model group, the two models with the best predictive results are SVM and ANN, and the two models with the worst results are GENLIN and CHAID The combined model MH2 is combined from the SVM and ANN models, giving the optimal results that are superior to the previous single models

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RJ影"N影E"3"- D謂PI"EåW"J碓K"MJ謂Q"UèV"EèE"PJåP"V渦"謂PJ"J姶雲PI 91

RJ影"N影E"4"Î M蔭V"SW謂"MK韻O"A卯PJ"ETQPDCEJÓU"CNRJC 98

RJ影"N影E"5"- M蔭V"SW謂"RJåP"VëEJ"GHC 103

RJ影"N影E"6"Î D浦"F頴"NK烏W"U盈"F影PI"EJQ"PIJKçP"E永W"IKCK"AQ萎P"4 113

RJ影"N影E"7"- M蔭V"SW謂"V渦K"姶W"F衛"AQèP"P;PI"UW遺V"J烏"VJ渦PI"AK烏P"P;PI" N姶営PI"O咽V"VT云K"V洩"EèE"Oð"JîPJ 122

FCPJ"UèEJ"EèE"EJW[çP"IKC"VJCO"IKC"MJ謂Q"UèV 172

N""N卯EJ"VTëEJ"PICPI 173

Trang 12

FCPJ"O影E"JîPJ"謂PJ

H·nh 1.1 Công su医t l逸r"8員v"p<pi"n逢嬰ng m員t tr運i khu v詠c ASEAN t瑛 2010 - 2019[2] 2

H·nh 2.1 Bi吋w"8欝 s詠 phát tri吋p"p<pi"n逢嬰ng khu v詠e"CUGCP"ikck"8q衣n 2005 Î 2040[2] 6

H·nh 2.2 B違pi"8欝 công su医v"8k羽n m員t tr運i t衣i m瓜t s嘘 t雨nh thành.[4] 7

H·nh 2.3 永ng d映ng c栄c"CK"vtqpi"p<pi"n逢嬰ng tái t衣o 10

H·nh 2.4 Mô hình hóa quy trình c栄a trí tu羽 nhân t衣o 15

H·nh 2.5 Mô hình phân lo衣i các thu壱t toán Machine learning 17

H·nh 2.6 Mô hình thu壱t toán ANN 19

H·nh 2.7 Mô hình thu壱t toán SVM 21

H·pj"40:0"O»"j·pj"rj逢挨pi"rj r"mk吋m ch泳ng chéo 27

H·nh 3.1 U挨"8欝 kh嘘i quy trình nghiên c泳w"ikck"8q衣n 1 29

H·nh 3.2 U挨"8欝 kh嘘i quy trình nghiên c泳w"ikck"8q衣n 2 30

H·nh 4.1 Bi吋w"8欝 th吋 hi羽p"e挨"e医u chuyên ngành c栄c""8嘘k"v逢嬰ng tham gia kh違o sát 43

H·nh 4.2 Bi吋w"8欝 th吋 hi羽p"e挨"e医u s嘘 p<o""8嘘k"v逢嬰ng tham gia kh違o sát 44

H·nh 4.3 Bi吋w"8欝 th吋 hi羽p"e挨"e医u v鵜 trí làm vi羽c c栄c"8嘘k"v逢嬰ng tham gia kh違o sát 45

H·nh 4.4 Bi吋w"8欝 th吋 hi羽p"e挨"e医u th運i gian làm vi羽e"vtqpi"n pj"x詠e"p<pi"n逢嬰ng tái t衣o c栄a 8嘘k"v逢嬰ng tham gia kh違o sát 46

H·nh 5.1 N逢w"8欝 mô hình nghiên c泳u 58

H·nh 5.2 U挨"8欝 phân chia d英 li羽u thành 10 Î fold 62

H·nh 5.3 Nh壱p t壱p d英 li羽u s嘘 1 vào mô hình Clementine khai báo các thông s嘘 63

H·nh 5.4 Gán d英 li羽u hu医n luy羽n vào mô hình Clementine 64

H·nh 5.5 Ví d映 khai báo cho mô hình SVM 67

H·nh 5.6 Mô hình hu医n luy羽p"8挨p"vtqpi"Engogpvkpg 67

H·nh 5.7 Bi吋w"8欝 th吋 hi羽n ch雨 s嘘 8 pj"ik "o泳e"8瓜 quan tr丑ng c栄a bi院n mô hình SVM 72 H·nh 5.8 Bi吋w"8欝 th吋 hi羽n ch雨 s嘘 8 pj"ik "o泳e"8瓜 quan tr丑ng c栄a bi院n mô hình ANN 73 H·nh 5.9 Bi吋w"8欝 th吋 hi羽n ch雨 s嘘 8 pj"ik "o泳e"8瓜 quan tr丑ng c栄a bi院n mô hình GENLIN 73

H·nh 5.10 Bi吋u 8欝 th吋 hi羽n ch雨 s嘘 8 pj"ik "o泳e"8瓜 quan tr丑ng c栄a bi院n mô hình LR 74

H·nh 5.11 Bi吋w"8欝 th吋 hi羽n ch雨 s嘘 8 pj"ik "o泳e"8瓜 quan tr丑ng c栄a bi院n mô hình CART 75

H·nh 5.12 Bi吋w"8欝 th吋 hi羽n ch雨 s嘘 8 pj"ik "o泳e"8瓜 quan tr丑ng c栄a bi院n mô hình CHAID 75

Trang 13

H·nh 5.13 Mô hình hu医n luy羽n k院t h嬰p trong Clementine 76

H·nh 5.14 Bi吋w"8欝 th吋 hi羽n h羽 s嘘 hi羽u su医t t鰻ng h嬰p SI c栄a các mô hình 81

H·nh 5.15 Bi吋w"8欝 th吋 hi羽n h羽 s嘘 TQTT R c栄a các mô hình 82

H·nh 5.16 Bi吋w"8欝 th吋 hi羽n MAPE c栄a các mô hình 82

H·nh 5.17 Bi吋w"8欝 th吋 hi羽n MAE c栄a các mô hình 83

H·nh 5.18 Bi吋w"8欝 th吋 hi羽n RMSE c栄a các mô hình 83

Trang 14

FCPJ"O影E"D謂PI"DK韻W

B違ng 2.1 Th嘘ng kê s嘘 gi運 n逸pi"vtqpi"p<o"v衣i m瓜t s嘘 vùng trên c違 p逢噂c 5

B違ng 2.2 M映e"vk‒w"p<pi"n逢嬰ng tái t衣o t亥m nhìn 2030 8

B違ng 2.3 B違ng các nhân t嘘 8隠 xu医t 違pj"j逢荏pi"8院p"p<pi"uw医t h羽 th嘘pi"8k羽p"p<pi"n逢嬰ng m員t tr運i 13

B違ng 3.1 B違ng các nhân t嘘違pj"j逢荏pi"8院p"p<pi"uw医t h羽 th嘘pi"8k羽p"p<pi"n逢嬰ng m員t tr運i 31

B違ng 3.2 M泳e"8瓜違pj"j逢荏ng c栄a các nhân t嘘 33

B違ng 3.3 M泳e"8瓜違pj"j逢荏ng c栄a các nhân t嘘 34

B違ng 3.4 Giá tr鵜 tiêu chu育n c栄a h羽 s嘘 t違k"v逢挨pi"泳ng v噂k"m ej"vj逢噂c m磯u 39

B違ng 4.1 Th嘘ng kê chuyên ngành làm vi羽c c栄c"pi逢運i tham gia kh違o sát 42

B違ng 4.2 Th嘘ng kê s嘘 p<o"mkpj"pijk羽m làm vi羽c c栄c"pi逢運i tham gia kh違o sát 43

B違ng 4.3 Th嘘ng kê v鵜 trí làm vi羽c c栄c"pi逢運i tham gia kh違o sát 44

B違ng 4.4 Th嘘ng kê th運i gian làm vi羽c vtqpi"n pj"x詠e"p<pi"n逢嬰ng tái t衣o c栄a c栄c"pi逢運i tham gia kh違o sát 45

B違ng 4.5 K院t qu違 ki吋o"8鵜pj"EtqpdcejÓu"Cnrjc"8嘘i v噂i t瑛ng nhóm nhân t嘘 46

B違ng 4.6 H羽 s嘘 EtqpdcejÓu"Cnrjc"pj„o"pj¤p"v嘘 nk‒p"swcp"8院n quy ho衣ch và xây d詠ng 47 B違ng 4.7 H羽 s嘘 EtqpdcejÓu"Cnrjc"pj„o"pj¤p"v嘘 nk‒p"swcp"8院n th運i ti院t và v鵜 vt "8鵜a lý 48 B違ng 4.8 H羽 s嘘 EtqpdcejÓu"Cnrjc"pj„o"pj¤p"v嘘 nk‒p"swcp"8院n k悦 thu壱t c栄a h羽 th嘘pi"8k羽n m員t tr運i 49

B違ng 4.9 H羽 s嘘 EtqpdcejÓu"Cnrjc"pj„o"pj¤p"v嘘 nk‒p"swcp"8院n ch医v"n逢嬰ng c栄a h羽 th嘘ng 8k羽n m員t tr運i 50

B違ng 4.10 H羽 s嘘 EtqpdcejÓu"Cnrjc"pj„o"pj¤p"v嘘 nk‒p"swcp"8院n v壱n hành h羽 th嘘pi"8k羽n m員t tr運i 51

B違ng 4.11 K院t qu違 ki吋o"8鵜pj"MOQ"x "DctvngvvÓu 52

B違ng 4.12 K院t qu違 phân tích nhân t嘘 52

B違ng 4.13 B違ng x院p h衣ng m泳e"8瓜違pj"j逢荏ng c栄a các nhân t嘘 8院p"p<pi"uw医t c栄a h羽 th嘘ng 8k羽p"p<pi"n逢嬰ng m員t tr運i 55

B違ng 5.1 B違ng x院p h衣ng các nhân t嘘違pj"j逢荏ng nhi隠u nh医v"8院p"p<pi"uw医t h羽 th嘘pi"8k羽n p<pi"n逢嬰ng m員t tr運i 59

B違ng 5.2 Các nhân t嘘 8逢嬰c ch丑n ph映c v映 thu th壱p d英 li羽w"ikck"8q衣n 2 60

B違ng 5.3 B違ng các thông s嘘 khai báo mô hình 64

Trang 15

B違ng 5.4 K院t qu違 các thông s嘘 8 pj"ik "o»"j·pj 8挨p cho fold 1 68

B違ng 5.9 K院t qu違 các thông s嘘 8 pj"ik "o»"j·pj"8挨p cho fold 1 70

B違ng 5.14 K院t qu違 t鰻ng h嬰p các ch雨 s嘘 8 pj"ik "8嘘i v噂k"o»"j·pj"8挨p 71

B違ng 5.15 Mô hình k院t h嬰p 75

B違ng 5.16 K院t qu違 các thông s嘘 8 pj"ik "o»"j·pj"m院t h嬰p cho fold 1 76

B違ng 5.27 B違ng so sánh các ch雨 s嘘 8 pj"ik "o»"j·pj"8挨p"x "m院t h嬰p 80

Trang 16

TOE: T医p"f亥w"v逢挨pi"8逢挨pi"*Tonne Oil Equivalent)

PNR<"Z穎"n#"pi»p"pi英"v詠"pjk‒p (Natural Language Processing)

Trang 17

O瓜v"u嘘"nq衣k"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"e„"vj吋"v k"v衣q"vk隠o"p<pi"pj逢<"Ik„."o員v"vt運k."p<pi"n逢嬰pi"ukpj"mj嘘k."8鵜c"pjk羽vÈ"e e"vj pj"rj亥p"p {"8cpi"f亥p"vt荏"vj pj"o瓜v"rj亥p"mj»pi"vj吋"vjk院w"e栄c"

pi pj"8k羽p."d‒p"e衣pj"8„"n "vj栄{"8k羽p0"Theo [1] 8逢嬰e"8<pi"vt‒p"vtcpi"ygd"Qwt"Yqtnf"kp"

Data.""dk吋w"8欝"f詠"d q"zw"j逢噂pi"v<pi"vt逢荏pi"e栄c"NLTT vq p"e亥w"8逢嬰e"vj吋"jk羽p"荏"j·pj"3030

Ngành PN"v k"v衣q 8逢嬰e"f詠"d q"u胤"rj v"vtk吋p"x逢嬰v"d壱e trong mjq違pi"vj運k"ikcp v噂k."8¤{"

n "zw"j逢噂pi"ejwpi"e栄c"vq p"e亥w 8吋"j衣p"ej院"v鰻p"j衣k"x隠"o»k"vt逢運pi"x "8違o"d違q"cp"pkpj"p<pi"n逢嬰pi

A»pi"Pco"è"mj»pi"p茨o"piq k"zw"j逢噂pi"p {."pi pj"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"v k"v衣q"nk‒p"v映e"v<pi"vt逢荏pi"8 k"j臼k"xk羽e"z¤{"f詠pi"x "sw違p"n#"z¤{"f詠pi"e e"e挨"u荏"ejq"pi pj"n "x»"e pi"e亥p"vjk院v"x "e医r"d ej0"Xk羽v"Pco"8逢嬰e"xem xét n "o瓜v"8医v"p逢噂e e„"pjk隠w"n嬰k"vj院 8吋"rj v"vtk吋p"

n pj x詠e"p {"荏"mjw"x詠e"A»pi"Pco"è"f詠c"vt‒p e e"u嘘"nk羽w"vj嘘pi"m‒"x隠"pj英pi"f詠" p"z¤{"f詠pi"x "8cpi"ej運"e医r"rjﬁr0

U詠 v<pi"vt逢荏pi"e栄c"e e"piw欝p"NLTT v衣k"Xk羽v"Pco"v逢挨pi"8嘘k"o衣pj."vtqpi"d嘘k"e違pj"

e e"pj "o {"vj栄{"8k羽p"e„"v e"8瓜pi khá n噂p"8院p"o»k"vt逢運pi"v詠"pjk‒p"x "dân e逢 V pj"8院p"p<o"423;."Xk羽v"Pco"n "8医v"p逢噂e 8k"8亥w trong ew»pi"ew瓜e z¤{"f詠pi"e e"pj "o { 8k羽p

NLMT

Vtqpi"vj運k"ikcp"i亥p"8¤{."Xk羽v"Pco"n "sw嘘e"ikc"e„"v嘘e"8瓜"z¤{"f詠pi"8k羽p"NLTT nhanh ej„pi"vt違k"f k"mj逸r"vq p"sw嘘e0"

Trang 18

H·nh 1.1 E»pi"uwＸv"nｈr"8ｐv"p<pi"n⇔ぢpi"oｐv"vtぜk"mjw"xばe"CUGCP"vな"4232"- 2019[2]

3040 A咽V"X遺P"A陰

Vt‒p"vj院"ik噂k"v欝p"v衣k"v逢挨pi"8嘘k"n噂p e e"pijk‒p"e泳w"x隠"xk羽e"u穎"f映pi e e"vjw壱v"vq p"vt "vw羽"pj¤p"v衣q"x "u穎"f映pi"o {"v pj"pj逢"o瓜v"e»pi"e映"j英w"jk羽w"8吋"vk‒p"8q p."v嘘k"逢w"p<pi"uw医v"ukpj"n運k"e pi"pj逢"x壱p"j pj"f詠" p0"Fq"8„"v e"ik違"oqpi"ow嘘p"泳pi"f映pi"v逢挨pi"v詠"ejq"pgành công pijk羽r"pqp"vt飲"p {"vtqpi"8k隠w"mk羽p"pi pj"z¤{"f詠pi"e e"f詠" p"PNVV"v衣k Xk羽v"Pco0

Vt逢噂e"u詠"v<pi"vt逢荏pi"o衣pj x "z¤{"f詠pi"e„"m院"jq衣ej"e栄c"e e"f詠" p"8k羽p"PNOV."vw{"

nhiên e e"pijk‒p"e泳w"e„"u詠"v欝p"v衣k"e栄c"{院w"v嘘"mj "j壱w, v鵜"vt "XD, CSVC và KT x磯p"e n v逢挨pi"8嘘k" v0

Pi pj"e»pi"pijk羽r"NLTT x "p<pi"n逢嬰pi"MT là e e"pi pj"o噂k"o飲"v衣k"Xk羽v"Pco"x "có pjk隠w"e挨"j瓜k 8吋"rj v"vtk吋p, pj逢pi xk羽e"v·o"mk院o."逢噂e"v pj"x "v嘘k"逢w"p<pi"uw医v"e栄c"o瓜v"j羽"vj嘘pi"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"f詠c"vt‒p"e e"{院w"v嘘"違pj"j逢荏pi"8逢嬰e"mj違q"u v"x "pijk‒p"e泳w"v衣k"Xk羽v"Pco"n "ej逢c"pjk隠w0"Ak隠w"8„"8員e"tc"x医p"8隠"x隠"v pj"e亥p"vjk院v"x "e医r"vjk院v"rj違k"e„"e e"pijk‒p"e泳w"x隠"x医p"8隠"p {"8吋"jk吋w."sw違p"n#"x "z¤{"f詠pi"e e"f詠" p"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"e pi"pj逢"NLTT o瓜v"e ej"e„"jk羽w"sw違"x "8衣v"8逢嬰e"n嬰k" ej"v嘘k"逢w"pj医v0

3050 O影E"VKçW"A陰"VÉK"PIJKçP"E永W

O映e"vk‒w"ej pj"e栄c"8隠"v k"p {"n "泳pi"f映pi"vt "vw羽"pj¤p"v衣q"8吋"v嘘k"逢w"e e"pj "o {"PNOV"v衣k"Xk羽v"Pco."x噂k"o泳e"x嘘p"8亥w"v逢"n噂p"x "jk羽w"sw違"vjk院v"vj詠e0"Piq k"tc"pijk‒p"e泳w"e p"v壱r"vtwpi"x q"xk羽e"ej雨"tc e e"pj¤p"v嘘"違pj"j逢荏pi"8院p"jk羽w"p<pi e栄c"e e"pj "o {"p {"v衣k"Xk羽v"

Trang 19

Pco"x "8 pj"ik "e e"pj¤p"v嘘"8„0"

Z¤{"f詠pi"o»"j·pj"v嘘k"逢w"p<pi"uw医v"f詠c"vt‒p"e e"pj¤p"v嘘"違pj"j逢荏pi"8«"z e"8鵜pj"8逢嬰e0 A逢c"tc"rj逢挨pi"j逢噂pi"ejq"e e"pijk‒p"e泳w"vk院r"vjgq"vtqpi"n pj"x詠e"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"v衣k"Xk羽v"Pco"p„k"tk‒pi"x "vt‒p"vj院"ik噂k"p„k"ejwpi0

3060 RJ萎O"XK"PIJKçP"E永W

A嘘k"v逢嬰pi"pijk‒p"e泳w<

-"E e"pj "o {"8k羽p"NLMT v衣k"Xk羽v"Pco

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-"E e"pj "ewpi"e医r."8挨p"x鵜"u違p"zw医v"e e"v医o"rkp"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k0

E e"vjw壱v"vq p"8逢嬰e"u穎"f映pi"8吋"pijk‒p"e泳w"v嘘k"逢w"p<pi"uw医v"j羽"vj嘘pi"8k羽p"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"f詠"mk院p"8逢嬰e"f́pi"vtqpi"pijk‒p"e泳w<

Trang 20

A隠"zw医v"8逢嬰e"j逢噂pi"pijk‒p"e泳w"mj e"ejq"e e"pijk‒p"e泳w"v噂k0

Trang 21

V蔚PI"SWCP"A陰"VÉK"XÉ"EèE"PIJKçP"E永W"JK烏P"V萎K

4030 VîPJ"JîPJ"RJèV"VTK韻P"PIÉPJ"AK烏P"O咽V"VT云K

403030 "Ak隠w"mk羽p"vjk‒p"pjk‒p"v衣k"Xk羽v"Pco"vjw壱p"n嬰k"ejq"u詠"rj v"vtk吋p"p<pi"n逢嬰pi" o員v"vt運k0

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j pi"p<o"t医v"ecq"v瑛"3722"Î 3922"ik運"o瓜v"p<o"荏"ok隠p"D逸e"x "v瑛"4222"Î 2622"ik運"o瓜v"p<o"荏"ok隠p"Pco0"X噂k"n嬰k"vj院"p {"8« v衣q"e挨"j瓜k rj v"vtk吋p"ejq"e e"pj "o {"8k羽p"o員v"vt運k0"" X噂k"u嘘"ik運"p逸pi"ecq."n逢嬰pi"d泳e"z衣"o員v"vt運k"Î o瓜v"vtqpi"pj英pi"pj¤p"v嘘"違pj"j逢荏pi"8院p"p<pi"uw医v"e栄c"j羽"vj嘘pi"8k羽p"o員v"vt運k."e pi"e„"u違p"n逢嬰pi"t医v"n噂p"x "f欝k"f q"v瑛"508;"mYj1o4"f院p"708mYj1o40

jq p"vq p"rj́"j嬰r"8吋"rj v"vtk吋p"e e"f詠" p"8k羽p"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"v衣k"Xk羽v"Pco0

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D荏k"ej pj"u ej"8鰻k"o噂k"e栄c"pj "p逢噂e x "8員e"dk羽v"n "8k隠w"mk羽p"v詠 pjk‒p"vjw壱p"n嬰k"8«"ik¿r"v<pi"vt逢荏pi"x隠"u嘘"n逢嬰pi"pj "o {"8k羽p"PNOV"vtqpi"vj運k"ikcp i亥p"8¤{ Vjqg"逢噂e"v pj"e„"

102 pj "o {"8k羽p"o員v"vt運k"8k"x q"jq衣v"8瓜pi"x "ewpi"e医r"j挨p"5.245OY"8k羽p"o員v"vt運k"ejq"

Trang 22

vj鵜"vt逢運pi x q"p<m 2020 Song song v衣k"vj運k"8k吋o"p {"có 482"f詠" p"8«"x "8cpi"8逢嬰e"vk院p"

j pj"8亥w"v逢"x噂k"v鰻pi"e»pi"uw医v"4:0522OY0

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Theo[3]<"Ð60"A鵜pj"j逢噂pi"rj v"vtk吋p"piw欝p"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k<

雲"o瓜v"u嘘"x́pi"mj„"mj<p x́pi"u¤w"zc"ej逢c"e„"o衣pi"n逢噂k"8k羽p"vj·"xk羽e"z¤{"f詠pi"j羽"vj嘘pi"8k羽p"o員v"vt運k"u胤"ik¿r"ejq"pj英pi"x́pi"p {"e„"8k羽p"8吋"u穎"f映pi0"Ak羽p"p<pi"v瑛"j羽"vj嘘pi"

p {"e„"mj嘘k"n逢嬰pi"v瑛"32"vtk羽w"mYj"*4237+"n‒p"3.6"v益"mYj"*4242+="mjq違pi"57.6"v益"mYj"

*4252+"x "432"v益"mYj"*4272+0"V<pi"o泳e"8k羽p"p<pi"u違p"zw医v"v瑛"piw欝p"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"v瑛"o泳e"mj»pi"8 pi"m吋"jk羽p"pc{"n‒p"8衣v"mjq違pi"2.7'"*4242+."mjq違pi"8'"*4252+"x "mjq違pi"

20% (2050)

Xk羽e"u穎"f映pi"j羽"vj嘘pi"8k羽p"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"8吋"ewpi"e医r"ejq"e e"j瓜"f¤p"e逢"pj茨o"o映e"8 ej"ejq"xk羽e"u違p"zw医v x "f鵜ej"x映0"V鰻pi"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"ewpi"e医r"pjk羽v"v<pi"v瑛"3.3"vtk羽w"VQG"(2020) n‒p"mjq違pi"5.3"vtk羽w"VQG"(2030) x "8.2"vtk羽w"VQG"(2050)

Trang 23

H·nh 2.2 DＶpi"8げ"e»pi"uwＸv"8kうp"oｐv"vtぜk"vＴk"oじv"uぐ"vえpj"vhành.[4]

Theo [5]<"V<pi"vt逢荏pi"piw欝p"8k羽p"PNOV"dcq"i欝o"e違"piw欝p"8k羽p"n逸r"8員v"vt‒p"o員v"8医v"x "o k"pj <"A逢c"v鰻pi"e»pi"uw医v"piw欝p"8k羽p"o員v"vt運k"v瑛"o泳e"mj»pi"8 pi"m吋"jk羽p"pc{"n‒p"Mjq違pi":72"OY"(2020)."Mjq違pi"60222"OY"(2025) x "Mjq違pi"340222"OY"(2030) Ak羽p"p<pi"u違p"zw医v"v瑛"piw欝p"8k羽p"o員v"vt運k"ejk院o"v益"vt丑pi"Mjq違pi"2.7'"p<o"4242."Mjq違pi"

1,6% (2025) x "Mjq違ng 3,3% (2030)

Trang 24

404030 Vt "vw羽"pj¤p"v衣q"x "e e"泳pi"f映pi0

Vt "vw羽"pj¤p"v衣q"8cpi"n "zw"j逢噂pi"8逢嬰e"dùng 8吋"泳pi"f映pi"v嘘k"逢w"vtqpi"pjk隠w"n pj"x詠e"8運k"u嘘pi0"Mj違"p<pi"j丑e"x "nâng cao m院v"sw違"vjgq"vj運k"ikcp"e栄c"vjw壱v"vq p"vt "vw羽"pj¤p"v衣q."ik¿r"m院v"sw違"f詠"8q p"v嘘k"逢w"e pi"ej pj"z e"j挨p"vjgq"vj運k"ikcp0"[6]

D‒p"e衣pj"8„"mj違"p<pi"z穎"n#"8逢嬰e"f英"nk羽w"n噂p."pjk隠w"dk院p"rj泳e"v衣r"x噂k"u詠"j厩"vt嬰"e栄c"

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Trong ngành z¤{"f詠pi."vt "vw羽"pj¤p"v衣q"ik英"xck"vt e亥p"vjk院v vtqpi"sw "vt·pj"v嘘k"逢w"j„c"vjk院v"m院."u穎"f映pi"piw{‒p"x壱v"nk羽w"x "ejk"rj "vj ej"j嬰r"ejq"f詠" p"jq員e"泳pi"f映pi vt "vw羽"

nj¤p"v衣qÑtrong o衣pi"n逢噂k 8»"vj鵜."e<p"j瓜"vj»pi"okpj"n "o瓜v"zw"j逢噂pi"8cpi"8逢嬰e"泳pi"f映pi"o衣pj"o胤0"Pi pj"QL z¤{"f詠pi"e pi"pi { e pi"pjk隠w"pijk‒p"e泳w"x "泳pi"f映pi"vt "vw羽"pj¤p"v衣q"8逢嬰e"8逢c"tc0"V詠"8瓜pi"j„c"x "v嘘k"逢w"j„c"f詠"8q p"j羽"vj嘘pi"NLMT n "8隠"v k"p逸o"d逸v"zw"

h逢噂pi"p {"n "vj臼c"o«p"v pj"e医r"vjk院v"e栄c"vj詠e"v院"pi pj"vtqpi"vj運k"ikcp"i亥p"8¤{0

Trang 25

V詠"8瓜pi"j„c"sw "vt·pj"逢噂e"n逢嬰pi"p<pi"uw医v"f詠" p"8k羽p"o員v"vt運k"vj»pi"swc"e»pi"uw医v"u違p"ukpj"swcpi"8k羽p"f詠c"vt‒p"e e"u嘘"nk羽w"x "pj¤p"v嘘 v e"8瓜pi"mj ej"swcp"mj»pi"ej雨"8吋"v<pi"jk羽w"sw違"f詠"d q"o "e p"8吋"nq衣k"vt瑛"e e"{院w"v嘘"uck"u„v"fq"ej栄"swan

404040 J逢噂pi"pijk‒p"e泳w"泳pi"f映pi"vt "vw羽"pj¤p"v衣q"vtqpi"n pj"x詠e"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"v k" v衣q0

Vtqpi"z¤{"f詠pi."CK"e„"pjk隠w"泳pi"f映pi"pj逢<

- Ak隠w"mjk吋p"v壱r"vtwpi."vj»pi"okpj"Î V嘘k"逢w"j„c"jk羽w"p<pi x "f詠"d q"p<pi"uw医v"e栄c"j羽"vj嘘pi"vtqpi"pjk隠w"8k隠w"mk羽p"rj泳e"v衣r"o "mj違"p<pi"e栄c"eqp"pi逢運k"ik噂k"j衣p0[7]

m院v"j嬰r"Fuzzy FMEA và Fuzzy AHP [8]

- Mk吋o"uq v"cp"vq p"vt‒p"e»pi"vt逢運pi"vj»pi"swc"j羽"vj嘘pi"pj壱p"fk羽p"t栄k"tq"d茨pi"vt "vw羽"pj¤p"v衣q0"[9]

O瓜v"u嘘"zw"j逢噂pi"泳pi"f映pi"CK"vtqpi"n pj"x詠c"NLTT e„"vj吋"m吋 8院p"pj逢<

- F詠"8q p"x "v嘘k"逢w"j„c"p<pi"uw医v"e栄c"j羽"vj嘘pi"8k羽p."f詠c"vt‒p"e e"f英"mk羽p"vj運k"vk院v"x "j羽"vj嘘pi0[16]

- Nâng cao o衣pi"n逢噂k"8k羽p"pj臼"mjk"8医w"p嘘k"x q"o衣pi"n逢噂k"8k羽p"n噂p0 [17]

- Vjw"vj壱r"f英"nk羽w"x "e違k"vjk羽p"8瓜 cp"vq p"x "vkp"e壱{"e栄c"n逢噂k"8k羽p."n o"ejq"j羽"vj嘘pi"8k羽p"vj»pi"okpj"x "8k羽p"8逢嬰e"n逢w"vt英"o瓜v"e ej"vj»pi"okpj.[18]

- Pijk‒p"e泳w"x "8 pj"ik "vj鵜"vt逢運pi."v嘘k"逢w"j„c"vj院"o衣pj"8吋"o荏"t瓜pi"vj鵜"vt逢運pi0

Trang 26

Vjgq"pijk‒p"e泳w"e栄c"v e"ik違"Jw pj"V医p"J嬰k< Ð雲"ok隠p"Vtwpi"x "Ok隠p"Pco"Xk羽v"Pco"

n "p挨k"e„"e逢運pi"8瓜"d泳e"z衣"o員v"vt運k"ecq"pj医v"p‒p"荏"jck"x́pi"p {"8逢嬰e"8 pj"ik "e„"vk隠o"p<pi"

rj v"vtk吋p"ecq U嘘"ik運"p逸pi mjq違pi"3622"- 4922"ik運"1"p<o 荏"e e"v雨pj"vj pj"jck"x́pi"ok隠p"

này A嘘k"x噂k"mjw"x詠e"e„"u嘘"ik運"mjq違pi 1.802"ik運"1"p<o"vt荏"n‒p"8逢嬰e"eqk"n "e„"vk隠o"p<pi"mjck"vj e"x "u穎"f映pi0"A嘘k"x噂k"Xk羽v"Pco."vk‒w"ej "p {"rj́"j嬰r"x噂k"pjk隠w"x́pi"ok隠p."8員e"dk羽v"n "e e"v雨pj"rj c"Pco0Ñ]6_"E pi"vjgq"v e"ik違"p {<"ÐXk羽e"u違p"zw医v"8k羽p"v瑛"e e"piw欝p"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"8逢嬰e"ej¿"#"d茨pi"e ej"n逸r"8員v"vt‒p"o員v"8医v"x "vt‒p"o k"pj 0"Xk羽v"Pco"

Trang 27

n "p逢噂e"e„"n逢嬰pi"p逸pi"鰻p"8鵜pj."8員e"dk羽v"n "ok隠p"Pco0"V鰻pi"e»pi"uw医v"e栄c"e e"piw欝p"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"u胤"8逢嬰e"p¤pi"n‒p"mjq違pi"340222"OY"x q"p<o"4252"x "8¤{"8逢嬰e"eqk"n "o瓜v"逢噂e"v pj"医p"v逢嬰pi"x "mj違"vjk0

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x "e„"óc"8»pi"n衣pj."ok隠p"Vtwpi"x "Pco"vtwpi"d·pj"n "5 kWh / m2 雲"Xk羽v"Pco."d泳e"z衣"o員v"vt運k"vtwpi"d·pj"372"mecn"1"o4"ejk院o"mjq違pi"40000-70222"j"o厩k"p<o."x噂k"逢噂e"v pj"vk隠o"p<pi"n#"vjw{院v"n "mjq違pi"65.;"v益"VQG0"Vk隠o"p<pi"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"e pi"8逢嬰e"8 pj"ik "ecq"mjk"Xk羽v"Pco"n "sw嘘e"ikc"e„"vj運k"ikcp"p逸pi"pjk隠w"vtqpi"p<o"x噂k"e逢運pi"8瓜"d泳e"z衣"ecq"荏"ok隠p"Vtwpi"x "ok隠p"Pco0"E e"v雨pj"e„"u嘘"ik運"p逸pi"vtqpi"p<o"mjq違pi"3622-4922"ik運"1"p<o0"Vjgq"8 pj"ik "pj英pi"mjw"x詠e"e„"u嘘"ik運"p逸pi"v瑛"30:22"j"1"p<o"vt荏"n‒p"8逢嬰e"eqk"n "e„"vk隠o"p<pi"mjck"vj e"u穎"f映pi0"A嘘k"x噂k"Xk羽v"Pco."vk‒w"ej "p {"rj́"j嬰r"x噂k"pjk隠w"x́pi"ok隠p."8員e"dk羽v"n "e e"v雨pj"rj c"Pco0Ñ[21]

4060 O浦V"U渦"PIJKçP"E永W"永PI"F影PI"VTë"VW烏"PJåP"V萎Q"VTQPI"N PJ" X衛E"P;PI"N姶営PI"O咽V"VT云K0

Vtqpi"d k"pijk‒p"e泳w x隠"xck"vt "e栄c"AI vtqpi"vjk院v"m院"x "8k隠w"mjk吋p"j羽"vj嘘pi"8k羽p"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"e栄c"C0[qwuugh."O0"Gn"Î Vgndcp{"x "C0"¥gmt{"Ck"E壱r"8«"vj嘘pi"m‒"8逢嬰e"e e"vjw壱v"vq p"vj逢運pi"8逢嬰e"泳pi"f映pi"vtqpi"n pj"p {"pj逢"Pgwtcn"Pgvyqtm"*PP+."Particle Swarm

optimization (PSO), Fuzzy logic (FL), Simulated Annealing (SA), Genertic Algorithm (GA), Ant Colony (ACO), Hydrid techniques, Adaptive-Neuro Fuzzy Inference Systems (ANFIS), GA-fuzzy and NN-fuzzy [6]

Vtqpi"d k"d q"ÐF詠"d q"e»pi"uw医v"swcpi"8k羽p"vtqpi"vj運k"ikcp"pi逸p"d茨pi"e ej"u穎"f映pi"vjw壱v"vq p"d亥{"8 p"o衣pi"p挨-tqp"rj泳e"j嬰r [22], nj„o"v e"ik違"Crtknnkc."Jcrr{"[cpi."Jqpi"V|gt"Jwcpi."Ejcq"Okpi"8«"v衣q"tc"7"o»"j·pj"f詠"8q p"泳pi"p<pi"uw医v"e栄c"j羽"vj»pi"rkp"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"泳pi"x噂k"7"nq衣k"vj運k"vk院v"<"o逢c."pjk隠w"o¤{."e„"o¤{." v"o¤{."x "p逸pi0"Ucw"8„"uq"u pj"jk羽w"sw違"e栄c"e e"vjw壱v"vq p"p {Ñ

F英"nk羽w"e栄c"e e"j羽"vj嘘pi"rkp"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"8«"8逢嬰e"pj„o"v e"ik違"Oqpqyct"

Trang 28

Hossain, Lanre Olatomiwa, Shahaboddin Shamshirband, Saad Mekhilef , Malihe Danesh,

vjw"vj壱r"x "u穎"f映pi"o»"j·pj"Gzvtgog"ngctpkpi"ocejkpg."UXO"x "Ctvkhkekcn"pgwtcn"pgvyqtm"

Artifickcn"8吋"f詠"8q p"p<pi"uw医v"pi逸p"j衣p"e栄c"j吋"vj嘘pi"p {."o»"j·pj"p {"e„"mj違"p<pi"f詠"8q p"e»pi"uw医v"8亥w"tc"e栄c"j羽"vj嘘pi"8k羽p"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"荏"sw{"o»"pj臼0[23]

Vjgq"pijk‒p"e泳w"x隠"泳pi"f映pi"j丑e"u¤w"x q"f詠"8q p"p<pi"uw医v"e栄c"j羽"vj嘘pi"rkp"p<pi"n逢嬰pi"o員v"vt運k"e栄c"Nk."Rgpivcq"¥jqw."Mckng"Nw."Zkpjwk"[cpi."Ujcpnkp."p„ 8«"泳pi"f映pi"

Wavelet packet decomposition (WPD), long short-term memory networks, linear combination method for multiple single LSTM networks WPD-LSTM forecasting model [24]

Vtqpi"d k"d q<"ÐOwnvkrng"uvgru"cjgcf"uqnct"rjqvqxqnvcke"rqygt"hqtgecuvkpi"dcugf"qp"

univariate machine learning models and data re-ucornkpiÑ"e栄c"pj„o"jck"v e"ik違"O0"Tcpc."C0"Tcjocp"x q"p<o""423;"8«"vt·pj"d {"o瓜v"rj逢挨pi"rj r"8挨p"dk院p"8挨p"ik違p"pj逢pi"jk羽w"sw違"8吋"f詠"8q p"u違p"n逢嬰pi"8k羽p"o員v"vt運k"d茨pi"pjk隠w"d逢噂e0"O映e"vk‒w"n "fw{"vt·"8瓜"ej pj"z e"ecq"e栄c"e e"vjw壱v"vq p"j丑e"o {"8吋"f詠"8q p"vt逢噂e"pjk隠w"d逢噂e0"U詠"o噂k"o飲"e栄c"d k"d q"n "

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Theo [16] Pjk羽v"8瓜."n逢嬰pi"o逢c."8瓜"育o"v逢挨pi"8嘘k."d泳e"z衣"d亥w"vt運k"swcpi"8«pi."pjk羽v"8瓜"

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Trang 29

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409060 O衣pi"vj亥p"mkpj"pj¤p"v衣q"CPP

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H·nh 2.6 O»"j·pj"vjwｆv"vq p"CPP

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Trang 36

Vtqpi"n pj"x詠c h丑c máy, mô hình máy h厩 tr嬰 vector là m瓜t thu壱v"vq p"8逢嬰c phân lo衣i

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Trang 37

Vtqpi"8„<"捲" 樺柴, 降樺柴

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Trang 38

409080 O»"j·pj"j欝k"sw{"vw{院p"v pj""*Nkpgct"Tgitguukqp+

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Trang 39

g欝m h厩n h嬰p các bi院n phân lo衣i và bi院n liên t映c [31]

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4090:040 O»"j·pj"ECTV"vtqpi"vぐk"⇔w"p<pi"uwＸv"jう"vjぐpi"8kうp"p<pi"n⇔ぢpi"oｐv"vtぜk0

Ikpk"vj逢運pi"8逢嬰c s穎 d映ng trong thu壱t toán CART Tuy nhiên vi羽c l詠a ch丑n v鵜 trí phân

chia cho mô hình còn ph映 thu瓜c vào m映c tiêu

Ikpk"vj逢運pi"8逢嬰c s穎 d映ng khu m映e"vk‒w"n "v逢嬰pi"vtwpi"vtqpi"n¿e"8„"rj逢挨pi"rj r"d·pj"rj逢挨pi"e詠c ti吋u s胤 ch丑n các m映c ti羽u m瓜t các liên t映e"8瓜ng mà không gi違k"vj ej"8逢嬰c

chúng Gini là thông s嘘 8 pj"ik "o泳e"8瓜 8欝ng b瓜 hay nhi宇u c栄a d英 li羽u, s詠 khác bi羽t giá

Ikpk"8逢嬰c tính theo công th泳c sau:

Tiêu đề	Tối ưu hóa năng suất điện mặt trời bằng các mô hình trí tuệ nhân tạo đơn và kết hợp
Người hướng dẫn	TS. Piw{宇p, PGS. TS. Vt亥p, VU0 Piw{宇p, VU0 A厩 Vk院p, TS. Piw{宇p
Trường học	Trường Đại Học Công Nghệ Thông Tin
Chuyên ngành	Chuyên Ngành Kỹ Thuật Điện
Thể loại	thesis
Năm xuất bản	2022
Thành phố	Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh

Định dạng
Số trang	189
Dung lượng	2,52 MB