competition levels from foreign enterprises can threaten the domestic manufacturingand financial market, which results in lower economic growth in developing countries.It is clear that p
Trang 2Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment
of the Requirement for the MSc in Finance
UWE of the
Bristol I England
FINANCE DISSERTATION ON
ECONOMIC FREEDOM AND GROWTH:
AN EMPIRICAL STUDY IN ASEAN
PHAN THUY LINH
ID No: 17047708 Intake 1
Supervisor: Dr TRAN VIET DUNG
September 2018
Trang 3After an intensive period of months, it is time to finish this dissertation I wouldlike to send this note of thanks to the people who have supported and encouraged me somuch throughout this period
Firstly, I would like to express the deepest appreciation to my advisor, DoctorTran Viet Dung, for the continuous motivation of related research He always spendstime to reply my question as soon as possible whenever I ran into a trouble spot Hisguidance helped me a lot in all the time of research and writing of this dissertation.Without his persistent support, this dissertation would not be possible
I would like to acknowledge University of the West of England andInternational School of Business (Banking Academy of Vietnam) for bringing us a highqualified Master program In addition, I would like to express my sincere gratitude to alllecturers who put attempt to teach us enthusiastically
I thank my fellow for the stimulating discussions, for the days we were workingtogether before deadlines, and for all the joyful memories we have had in a year
Last but not least, I would like to express my very profound thank to my familyfor providing me with continuous encouragement throughout my year of study andthrough the process of writing this dissertation
Thank you!
Phan Thuy Linh
I
Trang 4This study examines the impact of economic freedom on economic growth usingdata of ASEAN countries over the sample period 2000-2017 The results employ fixedeffects models and show that higher economic freedom appears to increase economicgrowth To capture the characteristics of ASEAN liberalization purposes, this studyemploys trade freedom, labor freedom and financial freedom as proxies of economicfreedom This study finds that higher labor freedom significantly fosters economicgrowth However, the more trade freedom appears to inhibit economic growth inASEAN countries In addition, no significant relationship between financial freedomand economic growth is reported These findings survive robustness tests Our study is
of interest of policy makers
Key words: Economic freedom, labor freedom, trade freedom, financial freedom,
economic growth
II
Trang 5Acknowledgment I Abstract II
1 Introduction 1
2 Literature review 4
2.1 Definition of economic freedom 5
2.2 Theoretical framework of the association between economic freedom and economic growth 6
2.3 Financial freedom and economic growth 9
2.4 Trade freedom and economic growth 11
2.5 Labor freedom and economic growth 14
3 Data and variables 16
3.1 Data 16
3.2 Economic growth measurement 17
3.3 Economic freedom measurement 17
3.3.1 Labor freedom measurement 17
3.3.2 Trade freedom measurement 18
3.3.3 Financial freedom measurement 19
3.3.4 The overall economic freedom index 21
3.4 Control variables 21
3.4.1 Foreign direct investment (FDI) 21
3.4.2 Inflation 22
3.4.3 Private sector credit 23
3.4.4 Unemployment 24
3.4.5 Export of goods and services 25
4 Research method 26
5 Data analysis 27
5.1 Descriptive statistics 27
5.2 Economic freedom in ASEAN 29
6 Empirical findings and discussions 32
6.1 The impact of economic freedom on growth in ASEAN 32
6.2 Robustness check 37
7 Conclusions 41
7.1 Conclusions 41
7.2 Research limitations 43
7.3 Future research recommendations 44
III
Trang 6References 44
Appendix 48
Lists of tables and figures Table 1: Descriptive statistics 28
Table 2: Economic freedom and economic growth in ASEAN -Fixed effects model 36
Table 3: Economic freedom and economic growth (GDP growth) in ASEAN countries 40
Figure 1: Economic freedom in ASEAN by year 31
Figure 2: Economic freedom in ASEAN by country 32
IV
Trang 71 Introduction
Stimulating economic growth is the central in any country’s policies either ofmonetary or fiscal policy This is why the determinants of economic growth have awidely investigated in the world by academics Policy makers in ASEAN economieshave switched their attention on policies that boost economic freedom as preparation forhigher integration by 2020 ASEAN countries are in the process of achieving anintegrated financial market The integrated market is defined as the region where goods,services, investment, skill labor and capital can freely move among ASEAN countries(Asian Development Bank, 2013) The main purpose of a comprehensive integrationmarket is to boost economic development and reduce poverty and socio-economicdisparities in ASEAN (Guerrero, 2010) This is because the increased capital flows,trading activities, and skill labor are main dynamics of economic growth Economicfreedom boosts capital flows from trading and investment activities in the economy byremoving financial obstacles and export and import tariffs (Wu, 2011) Economicfreedom also leads to the higher movements of high-skill labors, which improves thequality of human resources and hence stimulates economic growth (Keho, 2017)
While these studies clearly point outs that positive effects of the highereconomic freedom, some recent empirical studies show the negative side of economicfreedom The integrated market is associated with higher levels of economic freedomand financial liberalization, which might have a detrimental impact on economicgrowth This is because the removal of financial protectionism in an integrated marketcan expose low- and low-middle income countries to higher volatility and economicshocks (Almekinders et al., 2015) Hatfield and Kosec (2013) argue that higher
1
Trang 8competition levels from foreign enterprises can threaten the domestic manufacturingand financial market, which results in lower economic growth in developing countries.
It is clear that previous studies show inconsistent view of the implications ofeconomic freedom on growth Fill this literature gap is one of the main contributions ofthis study Moreover, recent literatures tend to focus on the effects of economic freedom
on growth rate in worldwide economies (Hussain and Haque, 2016; Azman-Saini et al.,2010) or developed countries (Compton et al., 2011) The effects on ASEAN economicgrowth is less discussed Therefore, this study aims to investigate the effects ofeconomic freedom on growth in ASEAN economies
Economic freedom is however a general term There are a range of factors thatcan be used to proxy economic freedom They are called the Heritage economicfreedom indices, and the dataset is provided by the Heritage Foundation/Wall StreetJournal (HF/WSJ)
This study uses the trade freedom, financial freedom, and labor freedom toproxy for economic freedom as they are appropriate to the aim of ASEAN countries increating a region where goods, services, investment, and skill labor can freely moveamong ASEAN countries (see Asian Development Bank, 2013) Guerrero (2010) pointout that stronger capital flows, trading activities, and skill labor movements are vital forASEAN economic development in the integration market In particular, followingMiller et al (2018), higher financial freedom is associated with more capital flows byremoving financial obstacles Trading freedom removes a number of tariffs and non-tariffs, leading to the higher export and import activities Labor freedom encourage themovements of high-skill labor among ASEAN countries Hussain and Haque (2016)also employ the indices of financial freedom, trade freedom, and labor freedom to proxyfor economic freedom
2
Trang 9This study follows Hussain and Haque (2016) to use financial freedom, tradefreedom, and labor freedom to proxy for economic freedom because these freedomindicators are consistent with the general aims of ASEAN integration policies Note thatthe focus of this study is to examine economic freedom factors that are the mostimportant to ASEAN integration process Therefore, economic freedom used in thisstudy implies financial freedom, trade freedom, and labor freedom Moreover, this studyalso includes an overall economic freedom index which covers twelve differentindicators of economic freedom to capture the influence of the overall economicfreedom to economic growth in ASEAN However, this variable is not the main focus
on this study as it refers to a board range of economic freedom, while the focuses of thisstudy are the most important economic freedom factors that are expected to be highlyinfluenced during ASEAN integration process, namely financial freedom, tradefreedom, and labor freedom
Based on the chosen proxies of economic freedom, the purpose of this studyparticularly aims to answer the following questions:
Whether and how financial freedom affects economic growth?
Whether and how trade freedom affects economic growth?
Whether and how labor freedom affects economic growth?
In addition to the main independent variables (financial freedom, trade freedom,and labor freedom) this study also takes into account a number of control variables thatmay influence economic growth, namely foreign direct investment, credit to privatesector, unemployment, inflation, and exports of goods and services
Using fixed effects model, this study reports interesting findings on therelationship between economic freedom and economic growth Firstly, this study finds a
3
Trang 10positive and statistically significant relationship between economic freedom andeconomic growth This means that ASEAN countries with higher levels of economicfreedom have higher economic growth Secondly, this study finds that higher tradefreedom appears to foster economic growth in ASEAN countries Finally, this studyreports robust evidence that more trade freedom inhibits economic growth Financialfreedom, however, exerts insignificant influence on economic growth.
The results of this study suggest that policy makers in ASEAN should furtherpromote economic freedom and labor freedom to foster economic growth Moreover,they should enhance the competitive power and efficiency of domestic firms to reducethe detrimental impacts of trade freedom on economic growth The findings arevaluable as ASEAN countries are in the periods of liberalizing their economies to create
an integrated market by 2020
The remainder of this study is organized as follows Section 2 defines economicfreedom and reviews literature Section 3 provides information of data and variables.Section 4 provides empirical models Section 5 presents an analysis of data Section 6reports empirical findings and discussions Conclusions are offered in Section 7
2 Literature review
This section reviews the previous findings and arguments on the relationshipbetween economic freedom and economic growth The definitions of economic freedomare also clarified to build a theoretical framework of economic freedom and growth.Based on the empirical findings, hypotheses are also provided to test the effects ofeconomic freedom on economic growth
4
Trang 112.1 Definition of economic freedom
Economic theories are unable to provide a full picture on the determinants ofeconomic growth Smith (1776) was among the first argue that economic freedom is avital factor fostering economic development Simth suggests that the governmentsupports play an important role in maintaining a well-functioning market The idea hasbeen a cornerstone in economic theory relating to economic freedom and growth Inrecent decades, the concept of economic freedom has also been proposed as a conditionand effective mean to stimulate economic growth (Borovic, 2014) As defined byGwartney and Lawson (2003), economic freedom refers to people’s choice and freedom
to decide their lives and the right to protect their property Based on that, people canfreely decide how to use their time, assets and talents This is why Nikolaev and Bennett(2016) suggest that people tend to achieve more when people have more freedom todecide for their lives
Gwartney and Lawson suggest institutions and government policies are closelyrelated to economic freedom because they directly provide protections to peopleproperty and rights and allow people to do right things Higher economic freedommeans that the government provide appropriate legal framework and strong legalenforcement system to protect people’s property and rights In contrast, lower economicfreedom is recognized when the government issues a number of taxes, policies orexpenditure that against people choice, freedom, and market coordination
To examine how the economic freedom relates to economic growth, the nextsub-section reviews the theoretical framework for the relationship between economicfreedom and economic growth
5
Trang 122.2 Theoretical framework of the association between economic freedom and
economic growth
Economic freedom refers the different aspects of the economy It measures how
a country interacts with the world economy such as financial liberalization, freedom oftrade and investment, or government effectiveness and integrity More importantly, theindex of economic freedom assesses the liberty of labor and financial markets (Miller etal., 2018) More economic freedom achieves when people face less governmentconstraints and interventions This implies that economic freedom lowers theinterventions of the government to the economy This does matter as governmentactions tend to rise beyond the minimal necessary level through a number of constraints
on economic activities, which infringes people or personal freedom As the results, thegovernment may divert firm resources and productive activities to unearned benefits,leading to the decline of a country’s prosperity
Examining the nature of economic freedom, Nikolaev and Bennett (2016)suggest that when people have greater control over their lives, they tend to better pursuepassion and yield more achievements This is the dynamic for economic developmentand growth Economic freedom theoretically improves a country growth and prosperity
by letting people to decide for their lives The self-directed people can work alone or in
a company, generate goods and services that best meet the needs of the market (Miller
et al., 2018) Individuals can freely work, consume or invest in any channel that benefitsthem This in turn increases market efficiency and economic growth (Wu, 2011) Thesestudies highlight that the freedom of people to decide and control their lives improvepeople lives and hence strengthen economic growth This in turn allows people to workalone or in a company, and to generate goods and services that best meet the needs ofthe market (Miller et al., 2018) When people have freedom to work, consume or invest
6
Trang 13in any channel that benefits them, market efficiency and economic growth will beelevated (Wu, 2011).
Moreover, higher economic freedom would exert positive effect on a country’sinstitution by lowering the misappropriate aid funds and improve market transparencywhich in turn translate the funds to beneficial activities to stimulate economic growth(Dutta and Williamson, 2016) This is matter because the government supports candistort market efficiency by channeling funds to inefficiency projects of state-ownedcompanies or private companies with strong politically-connected relationships (Caliand Velde, 2011) Heckelman and Knack (2008) report the that political leaders maysupport state-owned enterprises and allocating financial resources of inefficientinvestment projects for private benefits Theoretically, higher economic freedom willlower state ownership and the influence of the government to the economy, therebyenhancing market efficiency and institutional quality, leading to the higher economicgrowth
Furthermore, economic freedom is associated with more foreign entry because itlowers or removes a number of obstacles Dreher and Gehring (2012) argue that foreignaid can theoretically stimulate economic growth through three channels Firstly, higherforeign entry will associate with more international investments and direct moneytransfer, leading to the stronger development of the economy Higher money pumpedinto the economic would provide sufficient funds for stronger economic development.Secondly, foreign entry improves international standards of domestic markets This isbecause the government policies and domestic product and services have to meet certainrequirements for deeper integration The improvement in government policies as well asproduct quality would exert positive effect on economic growth Finally, foreign aidleads to the higher knowledge transfer Domestic firms will benefit from the higher
7
Trang 14technology transfer from foreign companies This can improve firm efficiency andprofitability The effect could be more pronounced in emerging countries where firmstend to have low technology and management experience.
On the other hand, some studies clearly show the benefits of economic freedom,some existing arguments point out the negative influence of economic freedom ongrowth Sturm and De Haan (2001) argue that increased economic freedom willincrease domestic competition, which can reduce firm performance They suggest thatdomestic firms with poor operating efficiency, international standards as well astechnology are more likely to left behind in their markets Ryan et al (2011) point outthe economic freedom lead to the higher interconnection among economies This meansthat systematic risk can spread out of the world and freeze international financial systemduring a short time period, thereby reducing economic growth Moreover, it is worthstressing that the government role in leading and controlling the economy is important.Less government interventions may increase the vulnerability of the economy toeconomic shocks and systemic risk (Compton et al., 2011)
To proxy for economic freedom, this study uses the indices of financial freedom,trade freedom, and labor freedom They capture the characteristics of the economicfreedom policies, which aim to create a region where goods, services, investment, skilllabor and capital can freely move among ASEAN countries The next subsectionsreview recent empirical findings on the impact of financial freedom, trade freedom, andlabor freedom on economic growth
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Trang 152.3 Financial freedom and economic growth
The slow economic growth in some developing countries can be attributable tothe low financial freedom policies Wu (2011); Hye and Yeap (2017) suggests that lowlevels of financial freedom inhibits capital flows from trading and investment activities
to the economy This shed light the argument of Dreher and Gehring (2012) whichstates that the increased direct money transfer and foreign investments can significantlyfill the insufficient funds for developments in the host countries Borovic (2014)indicates the importance of financial investments to the domestic financial markets such
as stock and bond markets This provides funds for domestic firms to develop and henceincreasing economic growth The higher financial freedom achieves when a countryremoves or lowers their financial obstacles to attract more investments from foreigneconomies
Investigating financial sectors, Hafer (2013) highlight that the contributions ofthe sector to economic growth is much higher than other sectors The stability andefficiency of the financial sector closely relates to economic performance Hafer findsthat financial liberalization reduces the likelihood of banking crisis and hence stimulateeconomic growth This is because banking crises are always associated with sharpdecline in economic growth (Borovic, 2014) The same finding is reported in the study
of Akinsola and Odhiambo (2017) in Sub-Saharan Africa countries Moreover, higherfinancial freedom can also increase the transparency and efficiency of financial sector(Chortareas et al., 2013; Bumann et al., 2013), which significantly contribute toeconomic growth rate This could be because regulations on domestic financial systemhave to change for higher liberalization and international standards, leading to thehigher quality of financial institutions Lopes and Jesus (2015) consider a sample of 77countries and finds that the increased financial liberalization has a positive effect on
9
Trang 16economic growth They argue that the change in financial policies allows financialinstitutions to improve their efficiency and quality as well as credit provisions to theeconomy.
However, existing literature also point out the negative implications of financialfreedom on economic growth While Lopes and Jesus (2015) finds that financialfreedom can increase economic growth, the positive effect can only exist in countrieswith high democratic system In restricted countries, higher financial liberalization canshrink economic growth They point out that the poor quality of the domesticinstitutions and financial sector will be vulnerable to changes in liberalized policies.This could be attributable to the low skilled management of financial institutions andpolicy makers (Azmeh et al., 2017)
In addition to the low quality of domestic financial institutions, higher financialfreedom also leads to the more intense systematic risk Akinsola and Odhiambo (2017)warns that elevated financial freedom increases the risk spread-out effects wheneconomies are highly intercorrelated The authors employ the linear generalizedmethods of moments to consider financial freedom in sub-Saharan Africa countries andfind that financial freedom increases the likelihood of banking crisis and then financialcrisis in emerging countries and hence reduces economic growth The finding isconsistent with Chang and Mendy (2012) who argue that more financial opennessincreases the overall insolvency risk and the probability of financial crisis, which lowereconomic growth in Africa
Examining the performance of domestic financial institutions, Mian (2003)suggests that domestic financial institutions tend to have lower resilience to risk andcompetitive power than foreign competitors Mian suggests that higher financialfreedom could lead to the more inefficient competition, which could be harmful for
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Trang 17economic growth Using a meta-analysis study on financial liberalization and economicgrowth, Bumann et al (2013) report a negative link between them during the 1970s.However, the findings are too old to reflect the current characteristics of financialfreedom.
While these findings provide conflicting views of the implications of financialfreedom on economic growth, this current study conjectures that increased financialfreedom can reduce economic growth by lower management and risk control indomestic countries (Azmeh et al., 2017) and institutional quality (Lopes and Jesus,2015), higher risk spread-out effects and the likelihood of financial crisis (Borovic,2014), and inefficient competition (Mian (2003) Therefore, the first hypothesissuggests a negative relationship between financial freedom and economic growth
H1: Higher financial freedom reduces economic growth
2.4 Trade freedom and economic growth
There is an ongoing debate about whether the trade freedom with respect toeconomic growth nexus is positive or negative One the one hand, investigating tradeliberalization in Southern African Custom Union countries, Manwa and Wijeweera(2016) finds that higher levels of trade freedom is positively and significantly affecteconomic growth in long-run This could possibly be because trade liberalizationremoves a number of tariff and reduce taxes, leading to the more benefits of healthycompetition (Manwa and Wijeweera, 2016) The authors suggest that increasedcompetition is associated with more technology transfer, product variety and economies
of scale, which in turn improves economic growth In other words, domestic firms can
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Trang 18apply advanced technology from foreign peers to enhance their efficiency andprofitability This could have a positive influence on economic growth.
Turning to the previous study of Krugman (1990) who suggests two channelsthrough which trade freedom fosters economic growth in emerging economies The firstchannel relates to the expansion of domestic producers to international markets.Krugman suggests that production pattern in emerging countries is highly orientated andfocused on labor-intensive services, agriculture and manufacturing However, thevolume of goods and services is lower than the potential of producers because of thelimit domestic demand Trade freedom allows low-cost producers to increase expandtheir markets to the world and provide goods that exceed domestic demand This istranslated into the higher country outputs and hence economic growth The secondchannel relates to the removing of government protections on domestic producers.Krugman argues that larger foreign competitors force domestic firms to restructure andimprove efficiency to enhance competitive advantages This will certainly exert positiveeffects on economic growth
Manni and Afzai (2012); Hye and Yeap (2017) consider the effects of tradeopenness in emerging countries and find robust evidence that grater trade opennessleads to the higher exports and fosters economic growth The increase in exports meanshigher net export, which is a component of GDP formula Manni and Afzai also findthat higher trade freedom also increases import However, the effects are statisticallyinsignificant, and they clearly show the positive link between trade freedom andeconomic growth They find that one third of emerging countries in the world achievestrong economic growth and poverty reduction over the last two decades when theyexperience significant increase in trade freedom with lower tariff and non-tariff barriers.Considering 75 liberalizing countries, Foster (2008) finds that low-income countries
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Trang 19would benefit most from trade liberalization in the long run even though they tend tosuffer from negative effects of trade liberalization in short run Foster suggests that tradeliberalization negatively affects domestic firms because of the increased competition inthe short run However, domestic firms would gradually improve their operations andthen lead to the higher efficiency This is translated into higher economic growth in thelong run Using Granger causality tests, Keho (2017) finds strong evidence of positivelink between trade liberalization and economic growth in both long-run and short-run.
On the other hand, using a panel causality approach to examine trade freedomand economic growth in African countries, Menyah et al (2014) argue that more tradefreedom can exert detrimental impact on economic growth Domestic firms with lowerexperience, technology and funds would suffer from the increased competition.However, foreign firms also face some international problems such as agency costs andinternational obstacles This coupled with inefficient competition resulting in the lowereconomic growth and higher overall risk (Kim et al., 2012) Kneller et al (2008) useboth theoretical and empirical works to examine the effects of trade freedom oneconomic growth and find inconsistent results They suggest that the heterogeneousoutcomes could be attributable to a number of omitted variables in regression models
Although the effects of trade freedom on economic growth are heterogeneousacross countries, this study posits that higher trade freedom can significantly increaseeconomic growth because of the benefits of healthy competition (Manwa andWijeweera, 2016), international market access (Krugman, 1990), higher exportactivities (Manni and Afzai, 2012) Therefore, the second hypothesis can be proposed asfollows:
H2: Higher trade freedom increase economic growth
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Trang 202.5 Labor freedom and economic growth
Gwartney and Lawson (2003) suggest that when people can freely decide how touse their time, assets and talents, this will generate strong motivation for economicdevelopment This is why Nikolaev and Bennett (2016) suggest that when people tend
to achieve more when people have more freedom to decide for their lives Higher laborfreedom refers to the more freedom for people to determine their lives In the literature,some arguments in favor of labor freedom tend to suggest that it exerts positive effects
on economic growth by improving the quality of labor market A country with morelabor freedom can better attract high-skill labor and tend to have lower unemploymentrate, which in turn stimulate economic growth (Wu, 2011) Keho (2017) uses Grangercausality tests to examine the effects of labor freedom and economic growth and findsthat higher labor freedom is associated with lower economic growth Keho suggests thatthe more freedom of human resources movements would transfer high-skill labors tomore attractive countries This means that countries providing more benefits to thoselabor would the benefit most Keho also shows that innovative labor contributes around17% of GDP for Cote d’Ivoire These findings refer that the effects of labor freedomdepend on the attractive policies of high-skill labors The main purpose of laborfreedom is to improve the quality of domestic labor market and attract more qualitylabors
While some countries issue laws on minimum wage to protect labor rights, thislower the labor freedom The new minimum wage laws can prevent low-skill workers toenter the labor market because entrepreneurs are unable to pay lower than the requiredrate for those workers This raises the rate of unemployment and lowers a country’s
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Trang 21output, leading to the lower economic growth (Compton et al., 2011) Thus, higherlabor freedom policies can balance the demand and supply in labor of market, leading tothe lower unemployment, efficiency and economic growth Examining the liberalization
on labor market, Hye and Yeap (2017) find that skill labor market plays vital role inimproving economic growth They argue that more labor freedom increases thecompetition in the labor market, which is associated with higher quality of labor force.This eventually has a positive effect on economic growth by improving country’s outputand efficiency
Nelson and Phelps (1966) are among first who consider labor force quality as asource of productivity growth because it directly relates to the innovative technologies,which improves the efficiency of the economy and boosts economic growth Thefinding sheds lights on the study of Bumann et al (2013) who argue that higher laborfreedom attracts high-skill labor and improve the quality of domestic labor market Thisencourages the technology innovations and hence improves economic growth
As these findings all suggests positive effects of labor freedom on economicgrowth, this study conjectures that higher labor freedom can increase economic growth
by encouraging innovation (Nelson and Phelps, 1966), improving the competition oflabor market (Hye and Yeap, 2017), and attracting more skilled labor from othercountries (Wu, 2011) Therefore, the third hypothesis is given as follows:
H3: Higher labor freedom increases economic growth
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Trang 223 Data and variables
3.1 Data
Data for economic freedom is collected from the Heritage Economic FreedomDatabase Some recent papers also use the Heritage freedom database to proxy foreconomic freedom (see Borovic, 2014; Hye and Yeap, 2017; Akinsola and Odhiambo,2017), and data of macroeconomics factors (inflation, unemployment, foreign directinvestment, credit to private sector, and exports of goods and services) is available fromthe World Development Indicators of World Bank In addition, this study uses theannual GDP growth rate and GDP per capital growth rate to proxy economic growth(dependent variables), consistent with the economic-development indicators presented
in the studies of Azman-Saini et al (2010); Hussain and Haque (2016) The data forGDP growth and GDP per capital growth is also available from the World DevelopmentIndicator dataset of the World Bank
The sample data of this study includes 10 ASEAN countries over the period2000-2017 However, as economic freedom data is unavailable for Brunei Darussalamand Myanmar, they are taken out of the sample The remain eight countries includesCambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam.Moreover, data for labor freedom is only available from 2005 to 2017, resulting in thelower observations of labor freedom compared to other economic freedom variables.Regression models of this study, therefore, includes each time one economic freedomindicator to avoid observations loss
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Trang 233.2 Economic growth measurement
Following the recent literature on the determinants of economic growth (see e.g.Keho, 2017; Manni and Afzai, 2012; Hye and Yeap, 2017), this study uses the annualpercentage growth rate of GDP per capita to proxy economic growth The rate isparticularly calculated by the rate of GDP per capita (gross domestic product) divided
by midyear population
3.3 Economic freedom measurement
Economic freedom indicators in this study are chosen in the Heritage EconomicFreedom database The indices’ values vary between 0 and 100 with higher values refer
to the higher degree of economic freedom The measurement methods are clearlyhighlighted in the annual report of the Heritage Economic Freedom (see Miller et al.,2018)
3.3.1 Labor freedom measurement
The index of labor freedom is measured based on a range of legal andregulations of a country’s labor market such as regulations on minimum wages,restraints on higher and hours worked, inhibiting layoffs, or severance requirements Inparticular, the index covers seven areas in labor market including: (1) ratio of minimumwage to the average value added per worker; (2) hindrance to hiring additional workers;(3) rigidity of hours; (4) difficulty of firing redundant employees; (5) legally mandatednotice period; (6) mandatory severance pay; and (7) labor force participation rate (seeMiller et al., 2018) Each component has equally weights to construct the index and isconverted to the scale of 0 to 100 Each sub-factor is calculated as follows:
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Trang 24Sub-factor Score i = 50 × (Sub-factor average / Sub-factor i )
Where data for country i is its comparison with the world average and thenmultiplied by 50 The score of each country is the average value of seven sub-factors.This means that in the calculation of labor freedom includes a comparison with theaverage value of the world
3.3.2 Trade freedom measurement
The index of trade freedom refers to the degree of a country’s tariff and tariff barriers imposed on the exports and imports activities The calculation of theindex is based on the inputs of trade-weighted average tariff rate and nontariff barriers(NTBs) As different goods and services have different tariff rates, the tariff degree of acountry is simply the average value of all type of tariffs The calculation is tradefreedom index can be given as follows:
non-Trade freedom i = 100 (Tariff max - Tariff i ) / (Tariff max - Tariff min - NTB)
Where Tariff max and Tariffmin refers to the upper and lower bounds for tariffrates in percentage, respectively; Tariffmin normally equal zero; Tariff i refers to theweighted average tariff rate in percentage in country i With respect to nontariff barriers,the base score is then subtracted based on the degree of nontariff barriers In particular,the maximum subtraction is 20 when NTBs are extensively across a wide range ofgoods and services The subtraction is 0 when NTBs are not used to limit internationaltrade There are five main areas that NTBs cover: (1) quantity restrictions such asimport quotas, export limitations, countertrade, etc; (2) price restrictions such asantidumping duties or border tax adjustments; (3) regulatory restrictions such as
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Trang 25licensing, packaging, labeling, or sanitary and phytosanitary standards; (4) customsrestrictions such as advance deposit requirements, customs clearance procedure, orcustoms classification procedures; and (5) direct government intervention such assubsidies and other aid, government monopolies, government procurement policies orgovernment industrial policies.
3.3.3 Financial freedom measurement
The index of financial freedom measures the degree of bank efficiency, theindependence of financial sector from government controls and interventions The indexalso takes into account the government ownership in financial institutions and capitalmarket Higher economic freedom achieves when financial market is less influenced bythe government, credit is allocated based on market demand, low levels of governmentownerships in financial sector, banks are free to extend their credit and deposits, thecentral banks are independent of government influence, and foreign financialinstitutions are freely to operate in domestic financial sector without anydiscriminations The index of financial freedom particularly covers five main areasincluding: (1) the extent of government regulation of financial services; (2) the levels ofgovernment on financial sector through direct and indirect ownership; (3) the extend towhich credit allocation in the economy is influenced by the government; (4) thedevelopment levels of financial and capital market; and (5) the levels of financialliberalization for foreign competition
Miller et al (2018) clearly provides criteria of levels of financial freedom, whichcan be specified as follows:
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Trang 26Levels from 70 to 90 refer to the limited to minimal government interference Inother words, government ownership is small, regulations of financial institutions areminimal, credit allocation is less influenced by the government, etc.
Level of 60 refers to the moderate government influence where banking andfinancial regulation may be considered as burden, the government has significant share
in financial sector, and financial institutions are imposed a range of restrictions
Level 50 refers to considerable government interference, where credit allocation
is significantly influenced by the government, the government ability to enforcecontracts is weak, and government ownership in financial sector makes up large share oftotal financial sector assets
Level 40 refers to the strong government interference, where the central bankhas low freedom for making decisions, the ability to prevent fraud is weak, and thegovernment’s share in financial sector is very high in relative to total financial assets
Levels of 20 to 30 refers to the heavy to extensive government interference,where credit allocation is extensively influenced, the central bank is not independent,and foreign institutions are prohibited
Level 10 refers to the near-repressive where credit allocation is controlled by thegovernment, bank information is restricted, and foreign institutions are prohibited
Level 0 refers to the repressive level, indicating that private financial sector arenonexistent and financial institutions are fully restricted by regulations
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Trang 273.3.4 The overall economic freedom index
The overall index of economic is the average value of twelve indicators ofeconomic freedom in the Heritage Economic Freedom databased including propertyrights, judicial strength, government integrity, tax burden, government spending, fiscalhealth, business freedom, labor freedom, monetary freedom, trade freedom, investmentfreedom, and financial freedom Note that the overall index covers different aspects ofeconomic freedom and might not reflect the characteristics of economic freedom inASEAN economies
In addition to economic freedom variables, this study adds a number of controlvariables into the regression models to reduce the probability of endogeneity problem.The next subsection reviews the impact of control variables on economic growth
3.4 Control variables
In addition to economic freedom variables, this study also examines the effects
of some macroeconomic factors on economic growth
3.4.1 Foreign direct investment (FDI)
Using a sample of 140 countries over the period 1970-2009, Iamsiraroj andUlubasoglu (2015) finds strong evidence that higher FDI positively affects economicgrowth They suggest that more foreign direct investments generate an important source
of savings and capital accumulation of a country Also, higher FDI improves the quality
of labor market and the connections among sectors in the economy The improvement
in labor quality is the main motivation for economic growth (Hye and Yeap, 2017)
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Trang 28Baldwin et al (2005) also finds that higher FDI is associated with more access tointernational markets for the host countries.
There is another strand of literature reporting that higher FDI boosts technologytransfer and hence stimulates economic growth Baldwin et al (2005) finds that higherFDI directly increases economic growth by providing newer technology This in turnimproves the managerial skills, infrastructure, human capital, and hence economicdevelopment Foster (2008) mentions that the technology spillover effect allowsdomestic firms to approach high technology from foreign competitors This improvesthe efficiency of domestic firms, leading to the higher outputs, profitability, andeconomic growth
On the other hand, some studies point out the negative effects of FDI oneconomic growth Borensztein et al (1998) suggest that higher FDI inflow might notreflect the higher efficiency but profit opportunities, which can distort market activities.Gorg and Strobl (2002) argue emerging countries can be more dependent on foreigndirect investment and have lower incentives for economic development Examining therelationship between FDI and economic growth in Spain, Carbonell and Werner (2018)report no statistically significant relationship between them
3.4.2 Inflation
Empirical findings on the association between inflation and economic growthare mixed, resulting in a long-standing debate On the one hand, Valdovinos (2003) useBaxter and King filter to investigate the effects of inflation on economic growth andfinds that lower inflation is associated with higher economic growth in the long run.Hye and Yeap (2017) find that lower inflation ratio benefits employment and
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